We recently compiled a list of the 10 Stocks That Will Make You Rich In 2025. In this article, we are going to take a look at where MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) stands against the other stocks that will make you rich in 2025.
What to Expect from the Stock Market in 2025
Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Management & Research Company, recently shared his outlook for the stock market in 2025. His analysis reflects cautious optimism, emphasizing potential growth and significant risks. Timmer described 2024 as a “Goldilocks” year for U.S. stock returns, characterized by robust earnings growth and rising valuations. The S&P 500 Index experienced a substantial increase, concluding the year with a gain of approximately 28% as it reached new all-time highs. This performance was driven by strong earnings from major companies, particularly the so-called “Magnificent Seven” stocks whose growth has significantly influenced the overall market dynamics.
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Looking ahead to 2025, Timmer maintained a bullish stance on stocks but cautioned that investors should not expect returns to match the spectacular gains of the previous two years. He noted that while earnings forecasts remain strong, especially for the mega-cap stocks, valuations are stretched, currently sitting in the 90th percentile historically. This suggests that significant further expansion in price-to-earnings (PE) ratios could lead to a bubble scenario, which he believes is unlikely. He expects continued earnings growth to support stock prices in 2025. However, valuations may limit future growth. Timmer suggests that earnings must drive performance rather than further valuation expansion to avoid a bubble scenario.
With the bull market entering its third year, Timmer describes it as being in “later innings,” indicating increased caution regarding future performance. He also suggested several risks that could potentially impact the market in 2025. For instance, heavy reliance on a few mega-cap stocks poses a risk; if these stocks falter, it could drag down overall market performance despite broader participation from other stocks. Secondly, although he does not foresee a return to the high inflation rates of the past decades, he warns that rising inflation could lead to higher interest rates, which would negatively affect the stock market.
Our Methodology
To compile the list of 10 stocks that will make you rich in 2025, we conducted a consensus. We sifted through various internet rankings to get an initial list of stocks expected to explode in 2025. Next, we sourced analyst sentiment for each stock from CNN and ranked our list in ascending order of the analysts’ projected upside potential for the next twelve months. Please note that the data was recorded on Friday, December 20, 2024.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A customer using their phone to access an online commerce platform.
MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI)
Analysts Upside Potential: 35.96%
MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) is a leading e-commerce platform in Latin America. It operates through two main segments: e-commerce and Fintech. It was founded in 1999 and quickly established its competitive first-mover advantage by developing an extensive logistics network across the region. It now operates in 18 countries with most of its revenue coming from Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina. Management quickly developed another strategic advantage by introducing Mercado Pago’s digital payments platform for its shoppers, which later became the foundation of its Fintech segment.
The company reported robust financial performance in the third quarter of 2024. It achieved 34% year-over-year growth in gross merchandise volume (GMV) in Brazil and 27% growth in Mexico. Moreover, in Argentina the number of items sold grew by 16%, surpassing 60 million items sold, marking the highest volume ever for the platform. The company added nearly 7 million new buyers, a figure that exceeds even the peak growth seen during the pandemic.
Despite these impressive growth figures e-commerce penetration in Latin America remains low, with only 15% of commerce occurring online. According to Parnassus Growth Equity Fund, the low online commerce penetration figures in Latin America present a long runway of growth for MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI). Considering its brand presence and robust logistics network throughout the region the company is expected to benefit from shoppers transitioning from offline to online mode of shopping. Here’s what Parnassus Growth Equity Fund stated regarding MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:
“Against the backdrop of macro uncertainty, we opportunistically added high-quality businesses that had sold off amid overstated fears of consumer spending weakness. These new holdings include fast-casual chain Chipotle Mexican Grill and Latin American online retail giant MercadoLibre, Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
MercadoLibre benefits from the ongoing transition from offline to online shopping, along with the growing adoption of digital financial services in Latin America. With its strong brand, robust logistics network, dominant market share, and top-tier management team, the company is well positioned to sustain revenue growth and margin expansion.”
Overall MELI ranks 8th on our list of the stocks that will make you rich in 2025. While we acknowledge the potential of MELI as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MELI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.