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Why The Road Ahead For Rivian (RIVN) Is Filled With Challenges

Rivian, one of the biggest electric vehicle players in the US, is now facing production delays and serious competition from competitors. It has an added layer of uncertainty because it relies heavily on credits to offset tax liabilities. To add to its problems, growth is being hindered by supply chain constraints. The firm still boasts strong cash reserves, but prospects remain very dim.

Rivian Automotive Inc. is a California-based electric car manufacturing company. Founded in 2009, Rivian specializes in looking for new solutions related to electric vehicles (EVs) and their accessories. This particular company is unique in the line of electric vehicle manufacturers because of its focus on adventure electric vehicles and unique designs such as a multi-functional skateboard platform that accommodates various vehicles including the R1T pick-up truck and R1S sport utility vehicle.

Rivian’s major products are the R1T, a two-row electric pick-up truck seater with a capacity of five occupants, and R1S, a three-row giant electric sport utility vehicle accommodating approximately seven people. The Electric Delivery Van (EDV), which was designed in conjunction with Amazon for use as a delivery vehicle, is also a strong product of the company.

The company makes money through the sale of its vehicles and service lines such as digital financing, telematics-based insurance, vehicle maintenance, repair, charging solutions, and its FleetOS centralized fleet management platform.

Rivian sells to a broad customer base including high-performance electric vehicle seekers and commercial clients such as Amazon, which utilizes Rivian’s EDVs for its delivery operations. The end market is largely eco-conscious consumers and businesses in the growing electric vehicle marketplace with a focus on outdoor recreation enthusiasts and companies seeking environmentally sensitive transport solutions.

Rivian has been going through a tough period recently, with deliveries and production falling in both of the last two quarters. This is in line with what management has said: competition is on the rise, while macroeconomic issues are weighing heavily on the company.

More importantly, reliance on EV tax credits to support production is a huge concern for Rivian, and all other low-price electric vehicle manufacturers for that matter, as regulatory uncertainty looms under the incoming Trump administration. Tesla is also competing with its Cybertruck, which has generated enormous interest and puts Rivian’s R2 SUV, which is set to launch in 2026, in a difficult position.

While Rivian still has plenty of cash with $8.1 billion in liquidity, its path forward isn’t clear. It still battles with supply chain problems and could be presented with even more intense challenges as it ramps up the R2. The alliance with Amazon’s EDVs is a bright spot here but certainly not enough to shine above the intense competition and the operational setbacks that Rivian is dealing with.

We are bearish on Rivian. The over-intensified competition from Tesla, regulatory uncertainties, and supply chain issues make it tough to see any major upside anytime soon. It’s tough to get excited about the prospects if the company cannot demonstrate clearer growth while gradually resolving its challenges.

Rivian ranks 1st on our latest list of the 31 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 31 hedge fund portfolios held RIVN at the end of the second quarter which was 37 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of RIVN as a leading AI investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is as promising as RIVN but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: $30 Trillion Opportunity: 15 Best Humanoid Robot Stocks to Buy According to Morgan Stanley and Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA ‘Has Become A Wasteland’.

Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.

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Click to continue reading…