We recently published a list of the Top 12 Luxury Clothing Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) stands against other top luxury clothing stocks to buy according to hedge funds.
Overview of the Luxury Goods Market
According to a report by Mordor Intelligence, the luxury goods market has a size of $103.10 billion as of 2024. It is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.07% and reach $145.08 billion by 2029. Another study by Global Market Insights published on Yahoo! Finance shows that the luxury packaging market was valued at $17.2 billion in 2023. It is also anticipated to grow and reach $25.8 billion by the end of 2032.
Some of the primary reasons behind this growth include a rise in disposable incomes and wealth in various regions across the globe, especially in emerging markets such as India and China. In addition, younger customers such as millennials and Gen Z are entering the luxury market, with the rise of influencer marketing and social media further increasing the desirability of these products.
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Changing Consumer Spending Patterns
However, analysts expect 2025 to be a challenging year for the luxury sector. The personal luxury goods market declined for the first time since 2008, excluding 2020 due to the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. According to the Fall 2024 Bain-Altagamma Luxury Goods World Wide Market Study, the market fell from a historic high of $387 billion in 2023 to around $381 billion. However, Bain emphasized the “long-term solid fundamentals” of the industry, saying that the luxury market “can still return to solid growth.”
Consumer spending in the personal luxury goods market is affected by macroeconomic uncertainty and a slowdown in China, according to Bain & Company’s annual luxury report. Dwindling customer loyalty and higher costs are resulting in consumers steering clear of high-end brands in 2024, slashing company profits. These consumer spending patterns are anticipated to shrink the sector by an estimated 2% over the full-year period. The report also showed that the overall luxury spending is expected to remain flat year-over-year in 2024, standing at around $1.59 billion even with other segments, such as travel, fine wine, and autos, recording modest growth.
However, the condition is not all bleak. We discussed consumer spending and the luxury market in a recently published article on the Top 12 Luxury Stocks According to Hedge Funds. Here is an excerpt from the article:
On December 17, Simeon Siegel, BMO Capital Markets senior analyst for retail and e-commerce, appeared on CNBC to discuss the state of the consumer in the current holiday shopping season. He said that the US consumer is overly resilient. In the current scenario, the market is seeing winners grow and laggers fall behind, which is how it should be. This trend goes opposite to market dynamics in COVID-19 when every company grew. Siegel was further of the view that the consumers are still spending. For better and for worse, consumers are scared of not having something under the Christmas tree this year.
On December 10, CNBC’s Steve Liesman appeared on ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss the CNBC NRF Retail Monitor. Numbers from the Monitor corroborated Siegel’s claim and showed healthy consumer spending in November despite a shorter holiday shopping season in 2024. Non-store retailers showed a 21.5% year-over-year growth, reflecting these positive trends. Since this holiday shopping season came with lower gas prices and a deflation in the prices of goods overall, consumers had more discretionary dollars in their pockets and paid somewhat less compared to a year ago. Since luxury items fall in the category of discretionary items, these trends show positive stimulus for the industry.
Our Methodology
We sifted through stock screeners, online rankings, and ETFs to compile a list of 20 luxury clothing stocks. We then selected the top 12 most popular stocks among elite hedge funds as of Q3 2024. We sourced the hedge fund sentiment data from Insider Monkey’s database. The list is sorted in ascending order of hedge fund sentiment.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A team of trainers and athletes displaying a wide range of athletic and casual footwear.
NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 75
Nike, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) designs, markets, and distributes luxury athletic footwear, accessories, equipment, and services for sports and fitness activities. The company also designs products specifically for the Converse and Jordan brands. Several of its products are valued at thousands of dollars.
Nike, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) reported a decline of 8% in its revenues on a reported basis and a 9% decline on a currency-neutral basis in fiscal Q2 2025. The company anticipates a slowdown in sales for the next few quarters as it repairs its operations. The company is focusing on scaling back on inventory to build a premium brand and steer clear of markdowns. This strategy is expected to bring Nike, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) back into the game and aid its recovery.
The bull case for the stock is also strong due to the continued growth of the sports industry, with athletes signing million-dollar deals and sports broadcasting booming. According to data from Euromonitor, Nike, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) holds 16.4% of the global sportswear market, with Adidas taking the second place at 9%. This reflects Nike, Inc.’s (NYSE:NKE) strong presence in this growing industry.
The company also saw momentum with positive physical and digital traffic in fiscal Q2 2025. Black Friday week proved to be the largest demand week ever on NIKE Digital, with sales increasing by double-digits. Similarly, 11/11 sales exceeded company plans in Greater China. Fiscal Q2 2025 thus reflected progress in key areas, with the company gaining consumer support.
ClearBridge Large Cap Growth Strategy stated the following regarding NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“Other moves during the quarter included sales of United Parcel Service (UPS) and NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE). Nike has become overly reliant on key platforms, like Jordan, for revenue growth while innovation in areas like running has lagged. Nike could face continued revenue and profit pressure as it invests to re-invigorate innovation and re-position the business back toward wholesale outlets. As such, we are seeking out better ways to participate in the global consumer recovery in companies where earnings estimates have already reset.”
Overall, NKE ranks first on our list of the top 12 luxury clothing stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of NKE, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NKE but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.