We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best TaaS Stocks to Invest in According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) stands against the other TaaS stocks.
Market experts opine that the transportation world is surrounded by tech-infused transformation, which creates significant opportunities for investors to go long on TaaS (transportation-as-a-service) stocks. The digital transformation that is being experienced by the transportation sector continues to make delivery services more accessible and customized.
As per Introspective Market Research, factors including the need for on-demand, affordable, and eco-friendly transport solutions are expected to drive the growth of the transportation-as-a-service market.
Technological advancements including self-driving cars are some of the prominent factors, with healthy improvement in connectivity. Smart cities and the application of loT, primarily in the transportation sector, should also act as contributing factors.
How Technological Advancements Will Drive Growth of the TaaS Market?
The TaaS market saw a transformative shift over the recent past, courtesy of the integration of Artificial Intelligence (Al) and Machine Learning (ML). Al-powered systems tend to optimize fleet operations by analyzing real-time and historical data, predicting vehicle demand, and suggesting efficient routes. ML algorithms focus on analyzing user behavior, preferences, and travel history to offer recommendations. Therefore, both the technologies, Al and ML, have transformed demand forecasting and predictive analytics.
As per Successive Digital, deep learning models, mainly Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, are proficient enough to capture temporal dependencies in data, which helps in demand forecasting. Notably, ML models like ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and Prophet are used to predict future demand by studying time-series data.
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Key Trends to Watch Out in 2025
One of the most important trends likely to drive the growth of the TaaS market in 2025 is the rapid adoption of EVs. The global push towards sustainability continues to support the growth of the EV market. Introspective Market Research believes that stringent emission standards set by governments and incentives provided for EVs continue to support the adoption. Furthermore, the development of battery systems focused on enhancing the driving range and cutting down the cost of EVs should make them affordable to consumers.
Next, Mobility as a Service (MaaS) integration should continue to fuel growth in the TaaS market. MaaS platforms focus on the convenience of users by offering a one-stop app where people can locate modes of transport such as buses, trains, bicycles, ride-hailing, etc. As per Introspective Market Research, the evolution of digital technologies like real-time data and analytics, mobile applications, and loT supported the growth of MaaS. These technologies focus on integrating and managing different forms of transport services.
Our Methodology
To list the 10 Best TaaS Stocks to Invest in According to Hedge Funds, we conducted extensive research and scanned through several online rankings. After getting an initial list of 25-30 stocks, we filtered out the ones having high hedge fund holdings. Finally, the shortlisted ones were ranked in ascending order of their hedge fund sentiment, as of Q3 2024.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A warehouse filled with boxes of parcels, symbolizing the companies reliable logistics services.
United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 43
United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) is a package delivery company that provides services such as transportation and delivery, distribution, contract logistics, ocean freight, and airfreight, among others. The company’s integrated delivery and logistics business model leverages its network to offer end-to-end solutions, managing the entire logistics process, such as transportation, warehousing, and distribution. By integrating advanced technology and leveraging both owned and crowdsourced assets, the company offers flexible, efficient, and scalable transportation solutions.
United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)’s strategic focus on expanding its market share among small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) provides a significant opportunity for future revenue growth. By reducing its reliance on large enterprise customers, the company is expected to create a higher-margin revenue stream. This is because SMBs often need more comprehensive logistics solutions, including value-added services that can command premium pricing.
Analysts view that United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)’s emphasis on SMB business comes at a time when many such businesses are rapidly expanding their online presence. This should help create increased demand for shipping services that United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) is well-positioned to capture. The company’s focus was further bolstered by its investments in digital platforms and tools tailored for SMBs. These can create stronger customer relationships and increase switching costs, leading to higher customer retention and lifetime value.
As United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) becomes a trusted partner for SMBs, it will have an opportunity to leverage these relationships to sell additional services across its portfolio, including international shipping and supply chain solutions.
Artisan Partners, an investment management company, released its Q3 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:
“We made no new purchases in Q3. Instead, our purchase activity was focused on adding to a few of our existing names that remain cheap, such as Dollar General and United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS). When we initiated our position in UPS in late 2023, shares were under pressure due to concerns about its new labor contract diverting volumes and driving up costs, as well as the continued normalization of volumes following COVID-related gains. We welcomed the market’s short-term focus as it provided us an opportunity to purchase UPS at an undemanding valuation of less than 11X our view of normalized earnings. UPS is a good transport operation that easily earns its cost of capital, generates significant free cash, has a wide economic moat, has a strong financial profile and pays an attractive dividend—now yielding 4.8%. More recently, the stock has been weak because profits came in weaker than expected. UPS’ customers traded down to the lower yielding ground segment, which negatively impacted overall pricing and margins. These shifts are common and occur in both directions, but what is important, in our view, is the long-term trend of volume growth remains intact. Nevertheless, investors have lost patience with UPS after a string of earnings disappointments.”
Overall UPS ranks 4th on our list of the best TaaS stocks to invest in according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of UPS as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than UPS but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.