We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Financial Services Stocks To Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (NYSE:ICE) stands against the other best financial services stocks to buy according to analysts.
According to the Financial Industry Index, which increased by more than 30% by mid-December and beat the overall market by about 5 percentage points, 2024 was a spectacular year for the financial industry. This growth followed concerns about mid-sized bank collapses in early 2024, which proved to be isolated incidents rather than an issue impacting the industry as a whole.
Meanwhile, as we have mentioned in our article, 10 Best Financial Stocks To Buy According to Hedge Funds, the market for financial services has expanded significantly in the last several years and is further expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.7% in the next few years.
Amidst the growth, as per EY’s report, the financial services industry is also undergoing a change because of artificial intelligence, particularly generative AI, which boosts productivity, modifications, and innovation. AI is helping banks provide individual solutions and improve risk control while accelerating processes like fraud detection, loan processing, and customer support. Large financial institutions are using AI to lower expenses, improve compliance, and create new products like automated tax compliance and predictive analytics. Nonetheless, issues like data privacy, rules of conduct, and AI’s “black box” decision-making continue to exist. Notwithstanding these obstacles, artificial intelligence is revolutionizing financial services by spreading beyond banking to include wealth management, insurance, and payments.
According to IBM’s report 2024, Generative AI is revolutionizing financial services by improving customer satisfaction and propelling advancements in risk assessment as well as personalized financial solutions. Secondly, the use of hybrid clouds is growing as companies seek to boost compliance, scalability, and efficiency. Thirdly, cybersecurity is still crucial, with growing investment in fraud detection systems as AI-driven threats emerge. Businesses are putting a greater spotlight on sustainability by giving green financial products and ESG initiatives top priority. By utilizing AI technologies such as Watsonx Assistant, customer experience management (CXM) increases customer pleasure and loyalty. Moreover, the use of open banking is growing as a result of APIs’ ability to simplify procedures and provide customers with more control over their data. Secure online transactions are being reinforced by the resurgence of digital currencies and blockchain.
Looking ahead, Deloitte’s 2025 investment management outlook predicts that AI, digital transformation, and changing investor demands will quickly impact the investment management industry in 2025. Low-cost funds are dominant, with active management flourishing within ETFs. Sustainability-focused investments, hybrid funds, and private financing are important growth areas. AI has exceeded expectations and is transforming operations and sales, but companies that are not embracing it quickly could fall behind. Regulatory changes, cybersecurity, and the combination of traditional and alternative assets are examples of growing risks. While some companies may find it difficult to survive in a high-risk, high-reward environment, bold companies that use AI and diversify their products may benefit from these changes. The key to success is scaling innovation and satisfying the need for sustainable, affordable solutions.
On the other hand, Deloitte’s 2025 banking and capital markets outlook report stated that banks can strengthen their basis for sustainable growth with creativity and discipline as the banking industry adjusts to a low-growth, lower-rate environment. It is anticipated that GDP growth will be 1.5% in 2025, and inflation will be approaching the 2% target, presenting a low-growth, lower-rate scenario for US banks. With savings exhausted by March 2024 and debt reaching $17.7 trillion, consumer spending may decline. Net interest margins may be compressed as a result of declining interest rates, with the federal funds rate falling to 350-375 basis points. Noninterest income presents opportunities, but growing salaries and technology expenditures drive up costs. Credit quality may slightly improve but is expected to stabilize. As geopolitical and regulatory uncertainty further complicate the picture, Deloitte observes that weak business investment and higher deposit costs will test banks’ adaptability.
A team of mortgage originators using a closing solution platform for quick and accurate mortgage processing.
Methodology
We sifted through holdings of financial ETFs and online rankings to form an initial list of 20 financial services stocks. From the resultant dataset, we chose 10 stocks with a projected upside potential of over 7% based on analyst price targets, as of January 9. The stocks are ranked according to their upside potential. We also considered hedge fund sentiment around each stock using Insider Monkey’s data for Q3 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here)
Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (NYSE:ICE)
Upside Potential as of January 9: 19.44%
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE), one of the Best Financial Stocks, provides supplemental data products and manages vertically integrated financial exchanges. The company runs a significant derivatives exchange, but its most widely recognized asset is the New York Stock Exchange, which it purchased in 2013. The company’s biggest commodity futures offering is the ICE Brent crude futures contract. In addition to its exchanges business, which contributes to about 54% of net revenue, Intercontinental Exchange has acquired a number of companies to develop its mortgage technology business (22% of net revenue) and fixed-income and data services division (24% of net revenue).
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) revealed record transaction revenues of $1.1 billion and record recurring revenues of $1.2 billion in Q3 2024, which helped the company’s net sales reach a new high of $2.3 billion, up 17.27% year over year. A record high of $1.55 was also achieved by adjusted earnings per share, while adjusted pro forma operating income climbed by 12% annually to a record $1.4 billion. The Exchange division’s net sales, which rose 12% year over year to a record $1.3 billion, highlight its outstanding performance. Transaction revenues for this segment increased by 17% to $890 million, mostly due to a 23% increase in energy revenues and a 34% increase in interest rate business.
The Fixed Income and Data Services segment experienced a considerable increase, with record revenues of $586 million. The segment’s recurring revenues increased by 6% from the prior year to a record $461 million. Growth in the index business was roughly 30% year over year. Additionally, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) made significant progress in debt reduction, wiping out almost $600 million in outstanding debt during the quarter and ending with an adjusted leverage ratio of about 3.5 times EBITDA.
Aristotle Core Equity Strategy stated the following regarding Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:
“Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) contributed to portfolio performance in the third quarter, driven by continued strength in the company’s Exchanges segment and expectations that the Mortgage Technology segment’s revenues have troughed ahead of an eventual recovery in U.S. housing market activity. Exchanges’ revenues continue to be driven by growth in energy and interest rate futures trading volumes, with energy trading activity expected to remain elevated, primarily bolstered by increasing data center-driven electricity demand.”
Natixis Global Asset Management’s Harris Associates was the largest stakeholder in the company among the funds in Insider Monkey’s database at the end of Q3 2024. It owns 13.29 million shares worth $2.14 billion as of Q3.
Overall, ICE ranks 2nd on our list of the best financial services stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential for ICE to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ICE but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
