This article looks at the 8 Best Small Cap Defense Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ:ATRO) stands against the other small cap defense stocks. We also dive deep into the impact of ongoing regional military conflicts on the defense industry.
The world has been rocked with conflict over the last few years. On November 19, Ukraine marked 1,000 days since Russia invaded the country, with no immediate end to the war in sight. Armenia and Azerbaijan continue to engage in sporadic exchange of fire across the border, after the former lost control of the Nagorno-Karabakh region to Azeri troops in 2020.
The Middle East is going through its worst crisis since the Arab-Israeli War in 1973, with Israel invading Gaza and then Lebanon in continuation of its response to the October 2023 Hamas-led attack on the country.
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While the human impact of the wars has been tragic, the defense industry has profited by luring investors into piling up their stocks. After Iran launched projectiles toward Tel Aviv and Israeli military bases on October 1, several of the world’s top defense contractors saw their shares book an all-time high. As of November 19, an Aerospace & Defense ETF issued by iShares has gained 19.26% year-to-date, outperforming the broader market by over two percentage points.
However, defense shares in the third week of November following the announcement of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) by President-elect Donald Trump. The Republican-winning candidate nominated Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to co-lead the department, which will work outside the federal stream and aims to improve governance by reducing wasteful spending, cutting unnecessary regulations, and restructuring federal agencies.
In a note published on election day, analysts at Jefferies argued that a renewed focus under the Trump administration to force allies into paying their share can hurt defense sentiment. During his first term in office, the 78-year-old threatened to withdraw from NATO if other member countries didn’t increase their military spending. You can read about the disparities in spending in our 2023 article, NATO Military Spending by Country: Top 20 Countries.
Trump has also vowed to end the tumultuous wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. While talking to Quartz on November 4, Russell Hackmann, president at Hackmann Wealth Partners, stated the following:
Trump is more anti-war and therefore that is worse for the defense stocks.
In contrast, other experts see long-term growth potential in the defense sector under Trump’s second stint. He is credited for leaving a mark on the U.S. military during his first term, which saw defense spending reaching record highs and the establishment of the United States Space Force (USSF). Over the past year or so, Trump has regularly made mention of wanting to build ‘a great Iron Dome missile defense shield over our entire country.’
Methodology
We used stock screeners to identify companies in the aerospace and defense industry with a market cap of between $300 million and $2 billion, as of November 19, 2024. Then we picked the top 8 stocks that had the highest number of hedge funds having stakes in them. We ranked them in ascending order of hedge fund holders in each company. Data on hedge funds was sourced from Insider Monkey’s database of 900 hedge funds for the third quarter of 2024. We have also included firearm companies in our analysis as they are considered a part of the broader defense industry.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A complex assembly line producing aircraft structures for aerospace applications.
Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ:ATRO)
Market Cap: $585 million
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 22
Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ:ATRO) is an American company that provides advanced technologies to clients in the global aerospace, defense, and electronics industries. Some of its offerings include lighting and safety systems, aircraft electronics integration, automated test systems, and distribution and motion systems, among other products and services.
In June, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ:ATRO) secured a $215 million contract for the production of the U.S. Army Radio Test Set TS-4549/T. Under the agreement, the company would be responsible for program management, engineering, and manufacturing of the product to support the operational readiness of American troops’ radio communication devices.
The contract will run for five years and includes an initial delivery order of $15.5 million to cover qualification requirements. At the time of the agreement, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ:ATRO) expected between $10 million and $12 million of revenue to be realized during the fiscal year 2024.
On November 6, the company announced financial results for the third quarter of 2024. Sales increased 25% year-over-year to $203.7 million, which is the highest quarterly revenue since Q1 2019. Adjusted EBITDA was posted at $27 million, which represented 13% of sales. This was a 207% improvement from the prior year and was led by a strong performance by the aerospace segment, whose sales grew 25% for the quarter and 19% for the year.
Net loss for the quarter was at $11.7 million, or 34 cents per diluted share, and included the impact of $7 million worth of refinancing costs. This was an improvement from the net loss of $17 million during the same period last year. Looking ahead, Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ:ATRO) is encouraged by strong demand and is entering the fourth quarter with a backlog of $612 million, which sets it up for continued improvements in financial results toward the end of the year and the beginning of 2025.
According to Insider Monkey’s database for Q3 2024, 22 hedge funds had investments in the company, up from 19 at the end of the second quarter. Astronics Corporation (NASDAQ:ATRO) is among the best small cap defense stocks to buy now.
Overall ATRO ranks 2nd on our list of the best small cap defense stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of ATRO as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ATRO but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
