We recently published an article titled Why These 15 Real Estate Stocks Are Plunging In 2025. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) against the other real estate stocks.
The real estate market has been hit by a lot of bad news in the first three months of this year, and it looks like it will only get worse in the coming months. Mortgage rates have remained elevated and are a pain for buyers. The Federal Reserve holding higher for longer with very slowly moderating inflation is not going to solve that problem anytime soon.
Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR, noted that consumers are gradually adapting to a new normal of mortgage rates between 6% and 7%.
There’s a lot of uncertainty about where this market could go. Prices are still high, and the Trump administration may still force the Fed to push rates lower. On the other hand, the trade wars combined with an AI slowdown could knock the entire market down, and the real estate market could fall significantly in such a scenario.
Some real estate stocks have already started falling, and there’s a good chance that some of them are already below their intrinsic value.
Methodology
For this article, I screened the worst-performing real estate stocks year-to-date.
I will also mention the number of hedge fund investors in these stocks. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
An aerial view of a large, newly constructed residential community in Arlington, Texas.
Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders In Q4 2024: 16
Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) is a residential lot development company.
The stock is down significantly so far in 2025 due to Forestar reporting Q1 2025 earnings that significantly missed expectations.
Revenue declined 18% year-over-year to $250.4 million, falling short of the $325.4 million forecast, while earnings per share (EPS) dropped 51% year-over-year to $0.32, compared to an expected $0.70.
Furthermore, Forestar announced a tender offer for its outstanding 3.850% Senior Notes due 2026 and issued $500 million in new senior unsecured notes at a higher interest rate of 6.500%. This can lead to increased borrowing costs and lower margins.
The consensus price target of $33 implies 48.79% upside.
Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) stock is down 14.62% year-to-date.
Overall FOR ranks 9th on our list of the real estate stocks that are plunging in 2025. While we acknowledge the potential of FOR as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than FOR but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
