We recently published a list of 10 Best Retail Stocks To Invest In. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Burlington Stores Inc. (NYSE:BURL) stands against the other best retail stocks to invest in.
What Does the Holiday Shopping Season Look Like?
On December 2, Lindsey Bell, Chief Strategist at 248 Ventures, appeared on CNBC to discuss the consumer and economy in the holiday shopping season and the impact of proposed tariffs and the strong dollar on earnings. She said that the economy will see a resilient consumer, economy, and marketplace this week and at the end of the year. Bell expressed optimism going into the end of the year and was of the view that there is opportunity in retail at the present after staying in the shadows as a forgotten area.
As consumers have shifted in how they spend money and what they spend it on over the last several years, the retail sector is starting to see a comeback to discretionary items. Although an opportunity exists, retailers can only avail of it if they have the right merchandise at the right price or offer the right experience for the consumer. This is because the consumer is still value-oriented and price-sensitive simultaneously.
Tariff Threats: Are They Real for Investors and Consumers?
Concerns are circulating in the retail industry about the potential effects of “tariff threats” on the economy. Bell was of the view that it is undoubtedly necessary to stay on top of the potential threats that the president-elect’s proposed tariffs might cause to the markets.
However, she took us back to Trump’s first term as a president and the tariff increases he made, that Joe Biden continued in his term, highlighting that there wasn’t a significant lasting inflationary impact to them. She explained how tariffs work, saying that they go up when put on and have an impact in the near term, but eventually subside over time. The markets saw that in 2018 and 2019, while real inflation came in 2021 and 2022 with the pandemic. She reiterated that although the tariffs are something we need to keep an eye on, the scenario is not something we need to worry about from a consumer perspective this holiday shopping season.
Although the tariffs may not pose threats to consumers, what do they mean for investors? With the dollar up by half a percent at the time of the interview, concerns are rising about the dollar’s possible strength going into the next earnings season and the possible impact on rates that these “tariff threats” might bring about.
Bell agreed that the dollar’s strength impacts the earnings season, as about 50% of the S&P 500 gets its revenues from overseas multinational companies. She said that the dollar’s strength can continue into the year ahead, but this is a relative game. It is important to consider the currency and the strength of the economy around the world, as a strong dollar does depict a strong economy here in the US.
Women in fashionable clothing walking together down a busy city street.
Our Methodology
For this article, we used the Finviz stock screener to identify around 40 retail stocks and narrowed our list to 10 stocks with the highest number of hedge fund holders, as of fiscal Q3 2024. We sourced the hedge fund data from Insider Monkey’s database. The stocks are arranged in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them.
At Insider Monkey, we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 51
Burlington Stores Inc. (NYSE:BURL) is an off-price retailer of branded apparel. It also sells accessories, footwear, and home merchandise for relatively lower prices. The company operates more than 1000 stores, primarily under the brand name Burlington Stores.
Total sales for the company grew by 11% in fiscal Q3 2024, on top of 12% sales growth last year. The primary driver of growth for the company’s fiscal Q3 2024 earnings was its new store opening program. It is on the path to end 2024 with 101 net new stores.
However, the unseasonably warm temperature significantly impacted Burlington Stores Inc.’s (NYSE:BURL) comparable sales trend in fiscal Q3 2024. It reported healthy sales in its back-to-school season, one of the primary drivers of sales in Q3. However, the positive sales trend dropped from mid-September onwards. According to the company, the primary reason behind this impact was that its consumers still consider it a coat company.
Despite this headwind, Burlington Stores Inc. (NYSE:BURL) employed its conservation plan to keep tight control over its receipts and liquidity, reacting quickly to the warmer temperature. The company expects to regain its sales growth in the holiday season and the coming of winter.
Argosy Investors made the following comment about Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL) in its Q3 2023 investor letter:
“Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL) participates in the off-price retail category and competes against well-known players such as TJ Maxx and Ross Stores. BURL recently suffered from an inventory overhang that dented margins and is also suffering from a slowdown in same-store sales. With that said, the company has the capacity to double its stores, double its margins to levels consistent with peers, and expand same-store sales growth. On normalized margins, which the company last achieved in fiscal 2019, BURL is trading at ~10x earnings, with the potential to grow top-line low double digits, increase bottom line mid-teens, and increase EPS high teens over time.”
Overall, BURL ranks 6th on our list of best retail stocks to invest in. While we acknowledge the potential of retail stocks, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than BURL but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
