Who Will Win The Presidency? Here is Our Verdict (Update 2)

Page 9 of 15

38. Oregon

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 8.8 points

Actual result: Trump lost by 11 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 18.1 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 20.3 points

Trump: 185 – Biden:216

39. Pennsylvania**

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 3.6 points

Actual result: Trump won by 0.7 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 5.5 points (A week ago the margin was 6.3 points, so polls are tightening)

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins/loses by 0.0 points (I can’t make a prediction regarding PA. Biden’s numbers improved significantly in early October. I think Trump will improve enough to make PA a true battleground state. I will make a final call at the end of the article).

Trump: 185 – Biden:216

Page 9 of 15