Who Will Win The Presidency? Here is Our Verdict (Update 2)

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34. North Carolina**

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 0.0 points (not a typo)

Actual result: Trump won by 3.7 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 1.9 points (Last week fivethirtyeight was predicting a 2.5 point Biden victory, so polls are tightening)

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 1.8 points (This is a battleground state, but we think Trump is likely to win NC).

Trump: 157 – Biden:209

35. North Dakota

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 23.5 points

Actual result: Trump won by 35.7 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 22.6 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 34.8 points

Trump: 160 – Biden:209

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