Who Will Win The Presidency? Here is Our Verdict (Update 1)

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44. Texas

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 9.6 points

Actual result: Trump won by 9.0 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 3.0 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 2.4 points (Texas won’t be a battleground state in this election, but it may be in the next one)

Trump: 246 – Biden:220

45. Utah

Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 10.8 points

Actual result: Trump won by 18.1 points

Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 15.3 points

Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 22.6 points

Trump: 252 – Biden:220

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