Weekly Biotech Report Covering Epizyme Inc (EPZM) Tazemetostat & Teva Pharamceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA) Drug Vantrela

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Taken together, if our analysis is correct, Vantrela ER should be extremely difficult to manipulate effectively, and the FDA panel has agreed. Teva’s opinion is that the label for Vantrela will say that the abuse-deterrent properties will reduce but not totally prevent successful manipulation. This is good enough. There is most likely a theoretical way to dose-dump Vantrela, but it would probably cost too much to do and require too much chemistry skills for your average abuser to successfully execute.

Since the June 7 panel recommendation, Teva shares are down 4.5%. This down move is nothing but beta market conditions bringing down large caps generally over the past 2 weeks. As we said last week, if approved, Vantrela could add about 3.6% to Teva’s top line. Now that it will probably gain both approval and the coveted abuse deterrent label on oral, intravenous, and intranasal administration, combined with Teva’s experienced and extensive marketing machine, those numbers now look quite probable.

Teva’s financial situation is quite healthy. As of its last annual report, the generics giant only has about $8.4 billion in debt with a market cap of $47.3 billion. That puts its leverage at only 18%, which is very conservative by industry standards.

A 3.6% bump in revenues is not going to push the stock into the stratosphere or anything like that, but it does increase the likelihood that Teva will outperform its peers or at least grow nicely over the next few years. If and when abuse deterrent opioids gain mainstream market acceptence, and that could happen within the decade, then Vantrela could prove even more helpful to Teva’s bottom line as time progresses.

The 4.5% decline in Teva Pharamceutical Industries Ltd. (NYSE:TEVA)’s stock following this positive FDA panel recommendation should be seen as a buying opportunity. Teva is a long term hold that you can keep in your portfolio without worrying about it for at least the next 5 years.

Note: This article is written by David Rich and originally published at Market Exclusive.

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