Waters Corporation (NYSE:WAT) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Matthew Sykes: Great. And then just one quick follow-up. Just on the academic end market in the quarter. I know you were facing a really challenging comp. I think you grew academic like 45% constant currency. In Q1 of last year. So was there any incremental weakness in that academic end market? Or was it just purely facing difficult comps?

Udit Batra: Yes, I think you nailed it, it’s really difficult comps. I mean it is our smallest segment, in particular, anyway. So you see an exaggerated drop if you just look at year-on-year. And again, if you look at sort of the long-term trend and which is sort of the best way to look at Waters in any case, even in A&G what you find is the 5-year comp is at the low single digit, 5-year CAGR is at the low single-digit range. And ex-China, as I keep saying, there’s really no drama ex-China, you’re at almost 2% to 3% growth versus what we saw 5 years ago on a CAGR basis. And China is down about sort of mid — low to mid-single digits in the academic segment. Again, given the comps from last year, but also a little bit more exaggerated weakness.

Operator: Next, we’ll go to Rachel Vatnsdal from JPMorgan.

Rachel Vatnsdal: So I wanted to dig into the pharma performance in China a little bit. I believe you said that was down 30% this quarter versus rest of world down low single digits. So can you impact that China performance within Pharma for us a little bit Obviously, we’ve seen the headlines related to BIOSECURE Act. Last year at 1Q, you guys called out your overexposure to CDMOs in the region. So can you quantify for us how much of this was driven by those Tier 1 CDMOs in the region this quarter? And then you previously have kind of broken out those trends between Tier 1 versus Tier 2 and 3 CDMOs. So could you do that for this quarter as well?

Amol Chaubal: So look, I mean, great question. As you sort of travel through last year, Q2, Q3, Q4, we saw weakness creep in on different elements of the pharma business in China. But as I said earlier in Q3 and Q4, there was no incremental bad news out of China, and that trend sort of has continued into Q1. And so in a way, what played out, what you see in terms of the decline, is largely baseline related where China, from a pharma point of view has bottomed out and there is no incremental headwind coming into the business. But we are also not seeing sort of growth in activity, both in CDMOs or in branded generics or in biotechs in China. So if anything, let’s call it stable. Now on your second point, which is around the BIOSECURE Act, I mean, look, with the weakness that we observed in 2023, the baseline is largely corrected in China for submarkets like CDMOs, right, including Wuxi.

We are — what we are seeing in the market is customers are taking proactive measures to secure their supply chain. And when they are doing that, our service organization, which is really well respected in the industry and plays a pivotal role in these tech transfers are deeply embedded when these moves happen, right? I mean, our role is to support customers in their pursuits and our customers really value our support when they go through situations like this and move products from one site to another.

Udit Batra: And Rachel, just to embellish on this, and that’s a very good sort of insightful question, just to embellish on what Amol said, on the minus 30% for Q1, it came minus 28%, Q1, it came above our expectations, largely because we started to see customers who have aging LC fleets in branded generics start to move, right? So we started to see that signal, which is a positive sign. And as I commented earlier, as the stimulus starts to roll in towards the latter part of the year, that should have a positive impact on the psychology for spending CapEx. And I’ll remind you that we’re sort of almost 50% delinquent on these replacements in the Branded Generics segment, which is the largest segment for LCs in China. So we expect that to turn at some point and the psychology will have a lot to do with it.

And on BIOSECURE, I mean it’s a net neutral for us at the end, right? I mean we’ve already bottomed out on CDMOs at — in China, and I think as customers look for help in transferring from one vendor to another, we stand ready to help them.

Rachel Vatnsdal: Great. And then my follow-up. I want to push on that China stimulus dynamic a little bit more in terms of some of your peers that are working on proposals for customers at this point, so can you talk about the conversations you’re having on your end with customers and if you’re working on proposals as well. And specifically, what types of instruments and then which industries do you really expect to benefit from within China stimulus? We’ve heard some rumors around this being a little bit more industrial-focused or you seeing down in your proposal funnel as well? And then when do you think that this could eventually translate into orders and revenue? You mentioned back half of the year, some of the psychological impact. So any color on timing expectations that would be helpful as well.

Udit Batra: Everything and anything about the stimulus, Rachel. Look, the timing, I don’t have much more to add than what I said earlier. I think latter half of the year. We are indeed working with several customers on their plans for the stimulus as they hear more across the country. And it is a broad stimulus. I mean this time around, it’s a 3-year stimulus, it’s 3x in size. It’s quite broad across virtually every customer segment, not just limited to A&G. And frankly speaking, I don’t know what people — if they got extra money in academic — academia, what they would do with it because they’ve sort of been chockful. And I remember I commented sort of in Q3 last year about how many instruments they bought high res instruments and how many are still in boxes.

So I don’t expect much of it to go to high-tier A&G customers, but definitely beyond that, there is a lot of conversation across many different customer segments as they plan and they learn more about the details of the stimulus. But I would not — and so we have not incorporated that into the guide, and I would not expect that impact sooner than sort of later this year and in earnest first part of next year. So good conversations with customers, planning going on, like you’ve heard it from others but a broader one, not just limited to academia across industrial, across pharma and the psychological impact I would not underestimate, as I said before, because I think we’re operating at a significant deficit on LC instruments and Branded Generics.

Operator: Next, we’ll go to the line of Daniel Leonard from UBS.