We recently compiled a list of the 7 Most Profitable Canadian Stocks To Invest In. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) stands against the other profitable Canadian stocks.
Economy of Canada
According to a report by S&P Global, Canada’s economy is showing signs of recovery, with growth expected to pick up pace in the coming years. Although the forecasted GDP growth of 1.2% in 2024 and 2.0% in 2025 is still below the country’s potential growth rate of 1.8%, it’s a step in the right direction.
The labor market is experiencing a slowdown, with reduced hiring and rising unemployment. Whereas, wage growth is currently outpacing productivity growth, which is inconsistent with the 2% inflation target. The unemployment rate is expected to reach 7% by the end of 2024 before declining in 2025.
However, the Bank of Canada is turning its focus to potential risks to economic growth, despite the current slowdown. The BoC has already cut interest rates three times in a row and is expected to make further 25 basis point cuts in the fourth quarter and January.
The predicted recovery in 2025 is expected to be driven by investments, particularly in residential and non-residential sectors, rather than consumer spending. Consumer spending is likely to remain subdued due to the cumulative impact of higher interest rates. The effectiveness of changes to immigration policies is a key uncertainty in the forecast.
Canadian households, which hold the highest debt levels among G7 countries, have been severely impacted by interest rate increases since 2022. Real consumer spending per person has declined in five of the last six quarters, with an even more pronounced effect on home-building. However, consumer spending and residential investment are expected to increase as interest rate decreases help restore demand.
Warren Buffett on Investing in Canada
In Berkshire’s 2024 annual meeting, legendary value investor Warren Buffett expressed his confidence in investing in Canada, stating that his firm has a significant presence in the country with many operations and investments across various entities. He feels comfortable investing in Canada, just like in the US, because he understands the business environment and economy. Buffett noted that the Canadian economy moves closely with the US economy, and the results from his firm’s businesses with Canadian operations are consistent with those in the US.
Greg Abel, Vice Chairman of Berkshire, stated that the company has a significant presence in Canada across many of its operating entities. He noted that the company is always looking to make incremental investments in Canada because it’s an environment they’re comfortable with. Abel specifically mentioned that Berkshire has made substantial investments in Alberta, particularly in the energy sector, and that the Canadian economy is consistent with what Berkshire sees in the US.
Investing in Canada offers a unique opportunity to tap into the growing demand for green hydrogen and its various applications. The region’s abundant natural resources and innovative technologies make it an ideal location for the production of green hydrogen, which can be leveraged to create new industries such as ammonia and fertilizer production, as well as green steel. With that in context let’s take a look at the 7 most profitable Canadian stocks to invest in.
Our Methodology
For this article, we used Finviz and Yahoo Finance stock screeners plus online rankings to compile an initial list of the 40 largest companies in Canada by market cap. From that list, we narrowed our choices to 7 stocks with positive TTM net income and 5-year net income growth informed by reputable sources, including SeekingAlpha, which provided insights into 5-year growth rates, and Macrotrends, which supplied information on trailing twelve-month (TTM) net income. Then we sorted the stocks in ascending order, according to their hedge fund sentiment, which was taken from our database of 912 elite hedge funds as of Q2 of 2024.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A fleet of waste management trucks driving through a city at sunrise.
Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN)
TTM Net Income: $861 Million
5-Year Net Income CAGR: 9.08%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 50
Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) is a leading Canadian waste services company that offers a comprehensive range of solid waste collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services across the United States and Canada. The company’s decentralized business model has high margins and has enabled the company to establish a strong presence in both residential and commercial markets.
In Q2, Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) delivered impressive financial results, with revenue growth of 11% and a 16.4% increase in EBITDA. The company’s growth momentum is driven by its robust pricing power and a strong pipeline of merger and acquisition opportunities. Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) has successfully exited low-margin contracts, which resulted in a more favorable margin profile and reduced volume growth. Waste Connections’ (NYSE:WCN) M&A strategy, focused on small tuck-in deals, has yielded significant cost and revenue synergies,
The company spent $1.5 billion on acquisitions this year, despite its active M&A program, Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) maintains a solid balance sheet, with a manageable debt leverage ratio of 2.67x and ample capital for future acquisitions, share repurchases, and dividend payments. The company’s disciplined pricing approach and focus on contract renewals and new contracts are expected to drive pricing growth.
Waste Connections’ (NYSE:WCN) net income has grown at a CAGR of 9.08% over the past 5 years, reaching $861 million in TTM net income as of June 30. Analysts forecast that Waste Connections’ (NYSE:WCN) revenue will grow at a compound annual rate of 10.5%, with an operating margin of 22.8% by the fiscal year 2033, driven by the company’s strong fundamentals and growth drivers. TimesSquare Capital stated the following regarding Waste Connections, Inc. (NYSE:WCN) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“Many of our Industrials positions provide necessary business-to-business operational services, highly technical components, automation & efficiency improvements, or essential infrastructure services. Adding value to the strategy was Waste Connections, Inc. (NYSE:WCN), which collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of waste for municipalities and businesses in the U.S. and Canada. Revenues and earnings topped expectations, as did management’s initial guidance for 2024. The company projects near-term growth in volumes and pricing, which recent acquisitions should make more than likely. As Waste Connection’s shares climbed 15%, we trimmed our holdings.”
Overall WCN ranks 2nd on our list of the most profitable Canadian stocks to invest in. While we acknowledge the potential of WCN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than WCN but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
