We recently published a list of 8 Stocks Under $20 To Invest In Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) stands against other under $20 stocks to invest in now.
Will We Have a Soft Landing?
There has been a lot of discussion happening lately regarding the economy and the markets. While the economy was doing great with the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and analysts expecting the markets to continue the bullish outlook, the recent geopolitical circumstances have again created doubt among investors.
We recently covered an article about 10 Stocks Under $10 With High Potential, where we talked about how the market is expected to perform if the geopolitical situation escalates. Tom Lee, managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, mentioned that he would be buying the dip if the market goes there and also presented his bullish thesis regarding how the market tends to perform well after such tensions. Here’s an excerpt from the article:
“Tom Lee, managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, appeared on CNBC to discuss what the stock market looks like in the current geopolitically tense environment. Lee has been bullish on small caps for a long time however, he has also remained cautious regarding some bumps in the start before the market for small caps starts to rise. He maintained a bullish stance, projecting a year-end target of 6,000 for the S&P 500, despite acknowledging potential short-term volatility due to upcoming events like the election and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
He emphasized that current market conditions are tricky, with headline risks stemming from a potential port strike that could impact the economy. Lee suggested that if a significant dip occurs, it would be a good opportunity to buy, as he believes the long-term outlook remains positive despite temporary setbacks.
Talking about how the market has performed during wars in the past. Lee noted that historically, market reactions to geopolitical conflicts have often been more positive than anticipated. He cited past conflicts where buying during initial downturns proved beneficial, except for the recent Russia-Ukraine war which went otherwise due to concurrent Federal Reserve tightening.”
Building upon how the market is progressing, Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James, says that the current market is exactly what a soft landing looks like. Adam recently appeared in an interview on CNBC to talk about how the lower interest rates will benefit the small caps in particular the Russell 2000. He believes that the bull market will continue while the economy inches towards a soft landing.
When it comes to small-cap stocks they get around 56% of their financing from the short end of the curve. The short end of the curve refers to the short-term interest rate on the yield curve, which typically represents the yields on bonds with shorter maturities, such as 2-year or 5-year Treasury notes. Whereas the large-cap companies get only 26% financing from these short ends of the curve. Therefore, Adam believes that as the Fed continue to lower interest rates it will help small caps meet financing needs.
He further pointed out that it is expected that the Fed will cut twice this year and another four times the next year. Another reason why he likes small caps is because the economy going towards a soft landing. Adam emphasized that we have already seen that the rate cuts helped small caps outperform the large caps. Historically speaking whenever the economy has a soft landing it typically helps the small caps greater than the rest of the market.
Moreover, while mentioning his favorite sectors, Adam likes technology, healthcare, and industrials in both the small caps and large caps categories. While reasoning his interests in these sectors, he mentioned earnings in these sectors to be one of the prominent likable factors. Technology has been the only sector in the large caps category that has seen upward revisions. Moreover, the cash flow that these sectors are generating is being utilized in buybacks, paying dividends, and future growth expansions.
Our Methodology
To curate the list of 8 stocks under $20 to invest in now, we used the Finviz stock screener and Insider Monkey’s database for Institutional Investors. Using the screener we shortlisted stocks trading under the price tag of $20 (recorded on October 4th). Once we had the list of stocks under $20, we ranked them according to the number of hedge fund holders as of Q2 2024. The list is ranked in ascending order based on the number of hedge funds.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A movie theater auditorium filled with an audience enjoying a blockbuster film.
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (NASDAQ:WBD)
Share Price: $7.74
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 48
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (NASDAQ:WBD) was formed in 2022 by the merger between WarnerMedia and Discovery Networks. As a result, the company has developed a wide portfolio ranging from TNT, TBS, CNN, and Discovery. Not only this, but the company is also one of the top content distributors that comprises film, television, streaming, gaming, and music.
It is one of the best stocks under $20 to invest in now. The stock was held by 48 hedge funds in Q2 2024.
The company faced some serious challenges arising from the gap between the market cap and the book value of the company. Moreover, there was also some softness in the advertising business which led to a 5% decrease in revenue year-over-year.
However, regardless its D2C business saw significant growth. The number of new subscribers added during the second quarter reached 3.6 million on top of the 2 million that were added during the previous quarter. Moreover, the upcoming and ongoing sports league resulted in double-digit growth for Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (NASDAQ:WBD) sports coverage.
This topped with the recent premier series on HBO including The House of the Dragon and The Penguin is expected to keep the company on track to achieve $1 billion in EBITDA by the next year.
Bonhoeffer Capital Management stated the following regarding Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (NASDAQ:WBD) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
In remembrance of Charlie Munger, I listened to and read his investment speeches in Poor Charlie’s Almanac. His speech to the University of Southern California business school specifically dealt with the application of worldly wisdom to investment management and business. There were five ideas presented by Munger in that speech which are particularly relevant in the Bonhoeffer portfolio. First, over the long term, it’s hard for a stock to earn more than the underlying business earns. As an illustration of this principle, we examined two firms, Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) and Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (NASDAQ:WBD).
WBD is an example of a value stock whose value has been impaired by a declining intrinsic value over time. Historically, WBD has been consolidating media content and distribution firms. However, the media content and distribution industry has been fragmenting over the past 20 years, with many new competitors and lower barriers to entry. Based upon Morningstar’s estimates, WBD is almost always undervalued, but stock price declined by 13.4% per year less than intrinsic value which declined by 5% per year, which is still a disaster compared to the index which increased by 12.7% per year. The average RoE was 7.2% and was declining through the period and ended negative. The chart below shows both the stock and Morningstar’s estimate of its intrinsic value over time.
These trends of growth and their effects on returns are reflected in the new investments we have invested in and those firms we have sold recently. We have sold most of our telecom and media firms (which have had flat to declining intrinsic values over time). These firms have been replaced by consolidating capital light distribution firms and specialized financial services firms (which have had increased intrinsic value over time) one of which is described below.
Overall, WBD ranks 4th on our list of 8 Stocks Under $20 To Invest In Now. While we acknowledge the potential of WBD to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a promising AI stock that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
