We recently published a list of 10 Best Utility Dividend Stocks To Buy. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) stands against other best utility dividend stocks to buy.
Utilities are typically viewed as defensive investments. Unlike growth stocks, which are often tied to economic cycles, utilities provide essential services that are in constant demand, such as electricity, natural gas, and water. This makes them relatively stable performers during economic downturns. Despite experiencing a challenging year in 2023, the utilities sector is well-positioned for growth in 2024 and beyond.
So far, the utilities sector has been one of the best-performing sectors. There are a few primary factors driving the recent outperformance of the utilities sector. First, the market is anticipating potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Given their relatively low-risk profile, utilities are often seen as bond proxies. As bond yields decline, the attractive dividend yields offered by utilities become more compelling.
Second, the growing demand from data centers powering artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency is significantly increasing electricity consumption. The International Energy Agency estimates that electricity usage by these sectors could rise from 460 terawatt-hours in 2022 to over 1,000 terawatt-hours by 2026, rivaling Japan’s total electricity consumption.
Read Also: 8 Best Utilities Stocks to Ride the AI Boom in 2024
Electrification Trends Across Key Sectors
The growth in the electric power industry is also fueled by the ongoing electrification of transportation, buildings, and industry sectors. Within the transportation segment, electricity demand projections vary widely based on EV adoption rates. While estimates range from a 16% to a 36% compound annual growth rate over the next decade, recent developments suggest a potential for higher growth. The increasing affordability of EVs, coupled with government incentives like tax credits, is driving rapid adoption.
In the buildings sector, the transition to electric heat pumps and water heaters in residential and commercial buildings is increasing electrification. Demand within this segment is projected to grow at a rate of approximately 0.5% to 0.9% annually through 2035, with the potential to reach as high as 3,700 terawatt-hours per year.
The industrial sector might not be as fast to electrify as the buildings and transport sector. Demand is forecasted to increase at a rate of 0% to 0.6% annually through 2035, reaching over 1,070 terawatt hours. Given that only 13% of the sector’s energy needs are currently met by electricity, there is significant potential for further electrification to align with decarbonization goals.
The sector’s long-term prospects are even more promising. The global transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources is accelerating, and utilities are at the forefront of this shift. In fact, The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts a significant increase in utility-scale solar installations, with a projected more than doubling to a record-breaking 24 gigawatts (GW) in 2023. This growth is expected to continue in 2024, with an additional 36 GW of solar capacity anticipated. As a result, the renewable energy share of electricity generation is projected to rise from 22% in 2023 to nearly 25% in 2024.
Our Methodology
To compile our list of the best utility dividend stocks, we conducted an analysis of our database, covering over 900 hedge funds as of Q2 2024. Our focus was specifically on dividend-paying utility companies, including diversified utilities, independent power producers, and regulated gas, electric, and water utilities. From this list, we identified the 10 stocks with the highest number of hedge fund investors as of Q2 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Solar panel workers installing a new farm for clean energy generation.
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 92
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST), a leading utility company based in Irving, Texas, has significantly outperformed the market, with its stock price rising by 200% year-to-date. This impressive performance is largely attributed to the company’s acquisition of Energy Harbor, which expanded its nuclear generation and energy storage capabilities. As AI technologies advance and demand for clean energy rises, Vistra’s strong position in the nuclear power sector is becoming more advantageous.
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) reported ongoing operations EBITDA of $1.4 billion for the second quarter, a strong performance despite lower wholesale energy prices. Moreover, the company reaffirmed its 2024 guidance range for ongoing operations adjusted EBITDA, set between $4.6 billion and $5.1 billion. Based on performance so far and the outlook for the rest of the year, the company is confident it will achieve results toward the upper end of this range.
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) continues to follow the capital return plan set up in the fourth quarter of 2021. Since then, the company has returned about $5 billion to investors, including $4.25 billion in share repurchases through August 5 of this year. It expects to carry out at least $2.25 billion in share repurchases during 2024 and 2025.
Here’s what Fidelity Investments said about Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“An overweight stake in utility company Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) (+24%) was the top individual relative contributor. In Q1, the Texas-based independent power producer completed its acquisition of Ohio-based nuclear fleet operator Energy Harbor. The new Vistra, with its expanded geographic footprint, is in strong position to gain from the buildout of AI-capable data centers, which require enormous amounts of power to run. It is expected that local grids in the U.S. will need to invest heavily over the coming years to improve their power infrastructure and meet growing demand. In the nearer term, firms may choose to contract with independent power producers, like Vistra, rather than rely on the local provider.”
Overall, VST ranks 2nd on our list of best utility dividend stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of VST as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than VST but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
