UWM Holdings Corporation (NYSE:UWMC) Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript

UWM Holdings Corporation (NYSE:UWMC) Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript March 1, 2023

Operator: Good morning. My name is Chris, and I’ll be your conference operator today. At this time, I’d like to welcome everyone to the UWM Holdings Corporation’s Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. Thank you. Blake Kolo, you may begin your conference.

Blake Kolo: Good morning. This is Blake Kolo, Chief Business Officer and Head of Investor Relations. Thank you for joining us and welcome to the fourth quarter and full year 2022 UWM Holdings Corporation’s earnings call. Before we start, I would like to remind everyone that this conference call includes forward-looking statements. For more information about factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements, please refer to the earnings release that we issued this morning. I will now turn the call over to Mat Ishbia, Chairman and CEO of UWM Holding Corporation and United Wholesale Mortgage.

Mat Ishbia: Thanks, Blake, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. I appreciate you guys being here and looking forward to going through another great quarter and an awesome year here at UWM. 2022 was great across the board. As I’ve been saying all along, a higher interest rate environment is where you’ll see the best mortgage companies separate even further from the rest of the mortgage companies remaining and we definitely saw that happened in 2022. I’m confident UWM is the best mortgage company in America because of our efficiencies and partnership with mortgage brokers. The broker channel is the best place for consumers to get a loan and the best place for loan officers to work, and we’re seeing that happen in front of all of our eyes.

With that being said, UWM is not slowing down. Regardless of interest rates, we continue to invest in our people and our technology. We continue to focus on our effort to help brokers win in the market. Our 54% market share of the broker channel in the fourth quarter is proof for that partnership, has never been stronger. And I’m sure everyone knows on this call, that is an all-time market share record in mortgage and it’s truly amazing accomplishment for the broker channel and for UWM as their partner. Before talking about the fourth quarter, I’d like to touch base on the new — a few full year financial and business highlights. So first off, best purchase year of all time 2022, about $91 billion. In addition, it’s our third best production year with 100 — over $127 billion of total production.

We delivered almost $1 billion in profit in a market where most lenders lost money, were laying people off or went out of business altogether. I’m also very proud to announce that it’s our ninth consecutive quarter paying a $0.10 per share dividend, which is close to a 10% yield at today’s stock price. I explained nine quarters ago, when we first went public, I feel comfortable paying this dividend in various market environments, and we continue to demonstrate this in best market conditions and even in very tough market conditions. This will continue. Lastly and most important to me, while my competitors are cutting investments and laying off thousands and thousands of people, we continue to invest in technology, take care of our people and have never laid off a single team member in our 37-year history.

I’m extremely proud of our team members and the brokers we are continuing to push forward and grind and ultimately win regardless of the market. 2023 is another huge opportunity for UWM and the broker community to continue to separate ourselves further from our competition, invest in the future and continue to win together as a team. Now let’s look closely at the fourth quarter. We closed $25.1 billion of production for the quarter, about $21.7 billion of this coming from purchase. Brokers are dominant in purchase market, and we see that continue to happen in 2023 and beyond. As I mentioned earlier, UWM has 54% brokers market share in the fourth quarter, the highest share reading ever, up from 41% in the third quarter. There’s a 100% result of our commitment to the broker channel.

Our partners continue to improve and win regardless of the market. Helping our partners grow faster than the rest of the market has been a huge part of this success. We’ll remain dedicated and committed to helping the mortgage brokers across America, dominate, provide the best service, rates and technology to their consumers, so they can grow in their individual markets as they continue to win as well. The fourth quarter was our second consecutive quarters in number one overall mortgage lender America. And to add a little perspective on this, we’re the — this is the third consecutive year as the number one purchase lender, the eighth consecutive year as the number one wholesale lender. And as I said before, doing mortgages, look, everyone is doing mortgages, looks decent when rates are low and having success in a purchase market continue to set us apart in high rate purchase market, are you succeeding or are you not?

That’s a difference you see at UWM. If you actually look at the market, with brokers being about 20% and us being about 54%, like we’re about 11% of the overall mortgage market which is crazy to think about while we only are in the wholesale channel. It’s great for brokers. It’s great for UWM and we’re continuing to win together as a team. Now in the fourth quarter, we showed a $62.5 million loss, but that’s inclusive of about $151 million decrease of fair value of MSRs. So really operationally profitable once again. Our gain margin was 51 basis, well within our guidance. And the momentum with the broker channel has never been stronger in the last six months since announcing game on strategy, as a result of more retail loan officers joining the wholesale channel than ever before.

In addition, the second largest month of all time of retail loan officers converting over was January of this year, just 1.5 months ago. And so amazing numbers, and a lot of that stuff takes six, nine, 12 months for them to actually produce, get going, get license and switch over. So all of the benefits have still not really come to fruition. We’re really proud of the game on strategy and all the great things that’s done for the broker community and for UWM as a partner with brokers. As you can tell, I’m excited about 2023, a year in which we can expect our competitive advantage to continue to become clearer to everybody as we continue to invest in our people, the brokers and our business. We know this formula works because we’ve seen it in similar market cycles and every time we’ve emerged stronger and more dominant.

Right now, it is not any different. Before I turn things over to Andrew Hubacker, I want to congratulate him on officially being named our Chief Financial Officer. He’s done great work since joining us over two years ago, and I’m excited for him to continue to take this next step in his career and continue to help UWM grow and be more successful. So Andrew, take it away.

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Andrew Hubacker: Thanks, Mat. We finished 2022 strong with fourth quarter production volume on the high end of our outlook and gain margin well within the range we expected. Our fourth quarter profitability was impacted by negative MSR fair value marks, but we delivered strong net income for 2022 in a challenging and volatile mortgage market. The rising rate environment throughout the year resulted in positive MSR fair value marks, but our core purchase business was strong in 2022 with the year-over-year increase in purchase origination volume. We’ve said this before, but it’s worth repeating. Our servicing portfolio remains very strong, with a total UPB of approximately $312 billion as of the end of 2022, as newly originated and retained MSRs largely kept pace with sales and payoffs throughout the year.

With a low ac and very low delinquencies and high asset quality, our MSR portfolio remains strong and continues to provide balance to our business model, a recurring quarterly cash flow stream and a strategic source of additional liquidity if and when we choose to sell our MSRs in the bulk secondary market. On the call last quarter, we discussed steps we took in Q3 to further enhance our access to liquidity, which included establishing a line of credit secured by our agency MSRs. Our available borrowing capacity on the secured facility was $750 million at the end of the year and our total available liquidity increased to approximately $2.1 billion as of the end of 2022 compared to just over $700 million at the end of 2021. We believe the measures we took last year and plan to continue to take in 2023 to enhance our liquidity will allow for our continued investments in growing both the wholesale channel and our market share.

On the cost side, we continue to focus on prudent cost management in the current origination environment. Excluding the impact of an incremental addition to our repurchase reserves recorded in Q4 due to changes in estimates and increased interest expense from borrowings under secured line of credit, total expenses decreased in Q4. Year-to-date, total operational expenses are also down as our cost structure aligns with the current mortgage origination environment. Okay, turn things back over to our Chairman and CEO, Mat Ishbia, for some closing remarks.

Mat Ishbia: Yes. Thanks a lot, Andrew. Before the Q&A, I want to make a quick few points to everybody, 2023 will be the year that continues to separate the best lenders from the rest, okay? We’ll continue to support the broker channel, do everything we can to help them be successful and continue to grow. At UWM, we’re investing in people, process, technology, continuing to deliver the best service experience for our brokers. In fact, this year, we’re expecting to have 20,000-plus loan officers out to our campus to get trained, improve their game and continue to grow their business, including as many of you guys know, UWM LIVE! which has been a huge success. Many of you guys actually on the call were at last year, but you can come again this year, it’s May 4.

We expect to have that to be the biggest mortgage event of the year in all the industry here at UWM, I’ll be speaking at it. Tony Robbins will be speaking at it. We’ll have a couple of great brokers. There will be a great all-around event. We’d love to have a couple of you out there. Lastly, I want to touch on I think is undervalued by the investment community. We have control of our business. The decisions we make are intentional. And for the long-term success of the business, what I continue to tell you on these calls continues to happen quarter over quarter over quarter. I think we continue to demonstrate having great control of our margins and our business in general. I’ve consistently said that 75 to 100 of annualized margin is what you can expect in a really purchase heavy market or a higher rate environment.

And as you saw, the full year ended in that range. And now we’re back to guiding that range again for Q1 2023. So realize, with that said, we expect Q1 production to be between $16 billion and $23 billion, and our margins would be in the range of 75 to 100 basis points. We have complete control of our business, complete control of our margins, complete control of what’s going on here at UWM and that we’ve been consistent with our message on strategy and the results have shown that. I want to thank our amazing team members at UWM for a great year in 2022, and we look forward to dominating again in 2023. I’ll pause now and turn it back over to Q&A for all of you guys and look forward to answering some of your questions.

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Q&A Session

Operator: The first question is from Bose George with KBW. Your line is open.

Bose George: Hey, good morning. So I wanted to start with a question just on market share. Obviously, a very impressive level just in terms of both the share overall and of the broker channel. Just can you remind us where you think the broker channel as a whole could go to? And that with your share at 54%, do you think that’s peaked? And where do you think that trends?

Mat Ishbia: Yes. Thanks for the question. I appreciate it. So if you go back to the roadshow when we went on public, and that’s why I think it’s important people go back and what we said then is happening now. What I said back then was, hey, UWM could get to 40% market share in the channel and the broker channel should be 30% of the overall market. I said 33% by 2025, 2026, like, I stated that stuff. I still believe in those numbers. 54% is off the charts crazy, right? 11% of the overall market, right? But what I told you back then, 40% of the broker channel, 30% of the overall channel — of the overall industry’s brokers would be about 12% of our market share. That’s kind of what I still see the trend. Do I think UWM will stay 54% forever?

No. But I do think UWM, 11%, 12% of the overall market is very realistic. And if you look at what we said back we’re a lot less impacted by the cycle as everyone else. Like no one expected 2022, and we still made about $1 billion. We are very competitive and very successful in market share and profitability, and we continue to pay the dividend. So the way I look at the market share, the broker channel will get to 30%, then eventually 33%, I think I stated by 2025 or 2026. We will — our belief is going to be 40%-plus of that market share. So 40% of a bigger pie being 11%, 12% of the mortgage market in general, one out of every eight or nine loans in America, we’re pretty proud of that, especially in a purchase market.

Bose George: Okay, great. Makes sense. Thank you. And then just one on the margin guidance. Just to increase — does that imply that is Game On being sort of playing a smaller role in the first quarter?

Mat Ishbia: Yes. So, the way I look at it is, Game On has made a big impact. We still have very, very competitive pricing. That’s why the margins are still in that 75 to 100 range. But as I told you, I have control of it. I decide when we want to change things and tweak things and we’ve done things to help our brokers in certain ways, and we have different initiatives out there to help brokers succeed and excel. I don’t know if it’s your phone, but €“ sorry, no worries, it’s all good. And so, as you can see with Game On, our pricing is still extremely competitive. Brokers have extremely competitive pricing, it’s helping them grow their business right now. But we aren’t going to be at that investment of being at 50 basis point margins, as you saw for two quarters.

I don’t expect that to continue unless I decide to do it again in the future. Right now, I have no expectation of that. and I think that is just a belief because you’ll see everyone else will follow because we do control the margins in this industry.

Bose George: Okay, great. Thanks a lot.

Operator: The next question is from Eric Hagen with BTIG. Your line is open.

Eric Hagen: Hey, good morning. Good to hear from you, guys. Maybe I’ve got a couple of questions. We know that the interest rate buy-downs have been popular for borrowers that are confronting affordability challenges. Are there any limitations that you see to continue offering that solution if rates head even higher and just maybe how valuable is that opportunity going forward?