While reviewing Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA), the constant realization is that the company has no comparable competition. The beauty sector is a massive industry yet the majority of the products are sold via direct marketers, department stores, or drug stores. Neither group offers a focused, easy to visit store format. For a consumer that wants quality products, they previously had to travel to a distant mall. Enter Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) into the mix and clearly investors have been excited about the historical growth rates.
The genius of Ulta is the lack of directly focused competition, especially for investment dollars. Sure investors can chose direct marketer Avon Products, Inc. (NYSE:AVP) or professional beauty supplier Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SBH). In neither case do investors get a stock with a direct competitive threat to Ulta or even stocks with any meaningful growth potential these days.
Flat stock
The stock action of Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) over the last year highlights the major point of paying the right price for a stock. Ulta recently reported that Q1 2013 revenue surged 22.9%. These gains came from both strong comparable sales of nearly 7% and growth in square footage. Unfortunately for investors, the stock was priced for perfection as the spring of 2012 rolled along.
Adding Prestige brands
A major catalyst for the rest of the year will be the addition of the prestige brands of Clinique and Lancôme in boutiques within the stores. These premium brands will help drive the high-end customers to Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) that typically went to a Sephora store at a J.C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE:JCP) or a Macy’s.
Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) expects to add a total of 125 stores for the year with the majority added during the rest of 2013. The store base reached 576 stores at the end of Q1, helping square footage grow 24% year-over-year. More importantly, the company added eight Clinique boutiques to reach 51 and plans to add 25 Lancôme boutiques this year. These boutiques are expected to drive more high-end customers to the stores.
Competitive threats
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SBH) probably has the most comparable concept with a vast retail network. The company, though, focuses more on the professional market with a skew towards salons. In that light, Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SBH) isn’t as much a direct competitor, yet it does have over 4,500 retail stores, suggesting that Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) might be able to expand on the goal of reaching 1,200 retail locations. Unfortunately Sally only has a market cap of $5.2 billion with a revenue base of $3.6 billion. The stock trades at a solid multiple of nearly 20 times current year earnings estimates, a sign to investors that a massive store base doesn’t always equal larger valuations.
