We recently published a list of 7 Most Undervalued Defense Stocks To Buy According To Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) stands against the other most undervalued defense stocks to buy according to analysts.
As we approach 2025 and beyond, the defense industry finds itself at a pivotal moment, characterized by a convergence of technological breakthroughs, shifting geopolitical landscapes, and heightened spending from both public and private sectors. This unique environment is set to shape the future of aerospace and defense (A&D), presenting significant growth opportunities for firms that are strategically positioned and innovative. In this article, we will delve into the most undervalued stocks to buy in the defense sector.
Deloitte highlights a significant evolution in the defense sector driven by the emergence of supersonic and hypersonic technologies. At the forefront of this transformation is NASA’s X-59 QueSST program, which aims to minimize sonic boom intensity, redefining high-speed aviation. While still in its early stages, manufacturers are optimistic, evidenced by substantial investments and partnerships with major airlines. This optimism suggests that supersonic travel could evolve into a viable economic solution rather than merely a technological novelty.
In addition to supersonic advancements, hypersonic technology is gaining momentum within the defense sector, driven by various offensive and defensive needs. The U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) has dedicated significant resources in its fiscal year 2024 budget to develop hypersonic capabilities, including glide vehicles and cruise missiles. As these technologies approach operational readiness, defense firms are likely to expedite the development of hypersonic weapon systems, potentially boosting sector growth in the coming years.
The aerospace and defense (A&D) industry is expected to grow as a result of combined defense and commercial spending. With geopolitical tensions escalating, the demand for next-generation defense capabilities is reaching unprecedented heights. The global defense budget surpassed $2.24 trillion in 2022, and the DOD has requested $842 billion for fiscal year 2024, reflecting a 3.2% increase from the previous year. This funding surge is anticipated to stimulate innovation in critical areas such as artificial intelligence (AI), advanced technologies, and the modernization of military vehicles.
Investors should focus on companies within the defense supply chain, particularly those involved in research and development of cutting-edge defense technologies. The DOD’s focus on AI, microelectronics, quantum computing, and advanced propulsion systems is set to spur rapid advancements. By concentrating on these areas, defense companies can maintain a competitive edge, offering numerous opportunities for investors looking to tap into the sector’s growth potential.
Moreover, the space sector is becoming an increasingly vital aspect of the A&D industry’s future. U.S. investment in space-related defense initiatives has significantly increased, with the U.S. Space Force (USSF) requesting $30.1 billion for fiscal year 2024—a 15% rise from the previous year. This trend is expected to persist into 2025 and beyond as the U.S. seeks to secure its strategic advantage in space, with investments in cybersecurity and resilient space forces remaining critical for sustainable growth.
Despite the promising outlook for the defense industry, challenges such as inflation could present obstacles. Rising material and production costs may offset the DOD’s nominal budget increase of 3.2% for fiscal year 2024, particularly as inflation rates hover around 6%. This situation might restrict the DOD’s capacity to initiate new missions or advance certain technologies, necessitating resource reallocation for essential operational costs. Nevertheless, firms prioritizing innovation and supply chain efficiency are likely to develop strategies to mitigate these challenges.
Additionally, the commercial aerospace sector is poised for significant investments in the near future. As passenger traffic returns to pre-pandemic levels, new aircraft orders are expected to surge, driving increased spending on digitalization, product development, and next-generation technologies, including Advanced Air Mobility (AAM). Companies that effectively tap into these emerging markets will be well-positioned to benefit from the broader recovery of the aerospace industry.
In conclusion, the A&D industry is at a transformative stage, driven by technological innovation, geopolitical dynamics, and evolving market demands. The companies that can effectively navigate these changes, by embracing technological advancements, adapting to geopolitical shifts, and addressing inflationary challenges, will be best positioned for long-term success. In this article, we will explore the top seven undervalued defense stocks poised for growth, spotlighting companies that are seizing opportunities in emerging technologies, expanding their market presence, and delivering strong financial results.
Our Methodology
For this article, we used the Finviz stock screener to identify companies in the defense industry with a forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of less than 15 as of October 7, 2024. We then reviewed the price targets set by analysts for each stock and compared them to their respective closing prices on October 7 to evaluate the upside potential. Additionally, we analyzed data from approximately 912 elite hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey during the second quarter of 2024 to assess hedge fund ownership of each company. The stocks are ranked in ascending order based on their upside potential.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Aerial view of a modern commercial jetliner in flight, its wings reflecting the setting sun.
Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI)
Upside Potential: 32.08%
Forward Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 14.06
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 25
Triumph Group, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and distributes aircraft, aircraft components, accessories, subassemblies, and systems worldwide. It operates in two segments, Triumph Systems & Support, and Triumph Interiors. Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania. Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) stands out as a compelling investment opportunity within the defense sector, especially considering its recent strategic initiatives and robust market fundamentals. As a leading provider of aerospace and defense systems, Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced military solutions and commercial aerospace components.
The company recently reported strong quarterly earnings, exceeding analysts’ expectations and showcasing impressive revenue growth driven by both defense and commercial aerospace segments. Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) defense segment, which accounts for a significant portion of its revenues, has seen increased demand due to heightened defense spending amid geopolitical tensions. The U.S. government’s commitment to modernizing military capabilities presents a substantial growth opportunity for Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI), particularly in areas like aircraft modernization, maintenance, and logistics support.
Additionally, Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) has undertaken significant restructuring efforts to streamline operations and reduce costs. This focus on operational efficiency is expected to improve margins and enhance profitability, making the company more competitive in a challenging market environment. Furthermore, the company’s strategic partnerships with major defense contractors and government agencies solidify its position as a trusted provider of critical components and systems.
Analysts also point to Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) strong balance sheet, which provides the flexibility to invest in innovative technologies and expand its service offerings. With a current valuation that appears undervalued compared to its peers, Triumph offers an attractive entry point for investors looking to gain exposure to the defense sector.
In summary, Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) represents a strong investment case, backed by its strategic positioning, solid earnings growth, and operational enhancements. As defense spending continues to rise, Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) is poised to deliver significant returns, making it a must-consider stock for investors seeking undervalued opportunities in the defense industry.
Overall TGI ranks 3rd on our list of most undervalued defense stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of TGI as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TGI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.