TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ:TMC) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ:TMC) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript November 9, 2023

TMC the metals company Inc. beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $-0.04, expectations were $-0.15.

Operator: Good afternoon everyone and thank you for participating in the metals company’s Third Quarter 2023 Corporate Update Conference Call. Joining us today are the metals company’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Gerard Barron; and Chief Financial Officer, Craig Shesky. Following their remarks, we’ll open the call for your questions. Before we go further, I would like to turn the call over to CFO, Craig Shesky, as he reads the company’s Safe Harbor statement within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that provides important cautions regarding forward-looking statements and information about the use of non-GAAP measures. Craig, please go ahead.

Craig Shesky: Thank you very much. Please note that, during this call, certain statements made by the company are going to be forward-looking and based on management’s beliefs and assumptions from information available at this time. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which may be beyond our control. Additionally, please note that the company’s actual results may differ materially from those anticipated, and except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Our remarks today may also include non-GAAP financial measures, including with respect to free cash flows. And additional details regarding non-GAAP financial measures can be found on our slide deck with this call.

And you’re welcome to follow along with that slide deck or if joining us by phone, you can access it at any time at investors.metals.co. And I will now turn the call over to our Chairman and CEO, Gerard Barron. Gerard please go ahead.

Gerard Barron: Thanks, Craig and thanks to all of you for joining us today for our third quarter 2023 corporate update call. And thanks also in order to my team for the tremendous effort this quarter as we remain on track for the expected launch of our application for an exploitation contract over the NORI D Area following the July 2024 ISA session. I’m pleased to say we’ve made significant progress on prefeasibility work this quarter as well as our environmental impact statement, both of which are key prerequisites for our application. Our environmental program has not been cheap with cumulative spending of approximately $150 million over the last decade plus. But that investment in science is resulting in a growing body of data that we believe is making a definitive case for the responsible collection of polymetallic nodules.

We’ve already been sharing this environmental data with stakeholders around the world including presentations during the recent ISA Meeting in Jamaica, and it’s heartening to see how well-received these insights have been. This study of evidence will continue to grow and will include the results our previously disclosed upcoming offshore campaign, the company’s 20th Environmental Campaign in the CCZ in order to gather further information on ecosystem recovery and functioning, 12 months after last year’s successful nodule collection system test. I’m also delighted that we’ve published our Second Annual Impact Report, which examines the full scope of our existing and future potential impacts including life cycle comparisons versus land-based resources.

We also recently debuted our sustainability approach and I’d encourage everyone to read through our press release from October 31 with links to these documents. And of course, we’re always looking to improve, so feel free to share any feedback via impacts@metals.co. At the same time, progress on the regulatory front continues at the ISA member states continue to work on streamlining the various regulatory tax into one document. The ISA Secretary General, Michael Lodge summarized the progress this week in a press briefing reported on the Dow Jones Newswire, and “I can’t say it’s going to be exactly the same by the time it’s adopted as the financial terms are open for discussion. But what you have on paper right now is a pretty good indication of the overall shape of the document include.” We’re excited to see this progress continue over the next two scheduled ISA meetings and intersectional work, as member states put their shoulders into this final push to adopt the mining code as is legally mandated by Unclass and the 1994 Implementation Agreement to allow for the commercial exploitation of this important resource.

While the first question we get asked is typically about the regulations, the second is usually about our capital position. And as we’ve shown before, we have very committed shareholders, and this was demonstrated again with the capital raise announced in August at $2 per share plus a Class A loan, mainly from existing investors, including our two largest shareholders, ERAS Capital and Allseas. We provided a further update on this capital raise in October, noting that we expected gross proceeds of $25 million or roughly 23.5% net of fees, including $9 million of additional closings at the same terms from ERAS Capital over the next few months. This puts our pro forma liquidity position at roughly $56 million, inclusive of the $9 million expected additional capital raise proceeds plus our cash balance of $22.5 million as of September 30, and our undrawn $25 million unsecured credit facility from Allseas.

So, on the agenda today, we’re going to take you through the following items. A brief reminder of TMC’s value proposition, an update on the progress of our NORI D project. Further detail on our recently released impact report and sustainability approach. A snapshot of the environmental case for TMC and nodule collection more broadly, a regulatory update on this one ISA session, and finally, our financial update. So, as we’ve said many times before, our resources and outlier are amongst the world’s nickel projects, not only NORI and TOML ranked by mining.com come as the largest two undeveloped nickel projects in the world, but the nickel equivalent grade of this resource truly stands apart. The location of this resource also makes it special, given that nodules can be collected and shipped to wherever the processing and refining capacity exists.

And this presents an important alternative feedstock to a nickel market, which is increasingly dominated, supply controlled, and funded by China. And while China is well ahead in processing and refining battery metals on land, they do not yet dominate in the deep ocean, but they are certainly making strides. In fact, the Washington Post released a long-form piece on October 19 regarding China’s increasing activity in the deep ocean as well as their increased involvement at the ISA. And the article notes that TMC is ahead in technology, following our successful integrated collection tests last year with Allseas, but China is looking to catch up and become a leader in this space. China’s deep sea mining ambitions are also the focus one week later in the Bloomberg piece by US Admiral James Stavridis, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO, in which he implored the United States to focus more on what he calls a strategically essential resource.

So, this elevated media attention has also led to prioritization of the issue from certain leaders in Washington, D.C. with repeated calls to action by congressional members to the Defense and Energy Departments, on a plan for developing the processing and refining capabilities for deep sea nodules. The latest news was a letter this week from five US House members from the state of Texas, writing to the Department of Defense advocating for funding support for a potential processing and refining facility on the Texas Gulf Coast for nodules from TMC’s NORI Area. This does not change our capital-light approach to begin production at an existing facilities such as PAMCO in Japan, but it underscores the massive long-term potential that we represent for the US, which could go from near total import dependence for nickel, cobalt, and manganese to metal independence in all three, just from our contract areas alone.

Now, to an update on the NORI project and as I said at the outset, we’re devoting a majority of our resources to the environmental impact statement and the pre-feasibility work and it’s proving to be money and time very well spent. We’ll zoom in first on the pre-feasibility work. For the offshore segment of the PFS, together with Allseas, we have gone through several mine planning iterations and design reviews of the Project Zero nodule collection and transport system. And as announced in August, together, we have upgraded the expected maximum capacity of the Hidden Gem vessel to 3 million wet tons of nodules per year, a 130% increase versus the previous estimate of 1.3 million wet tons per year. For the offshore segment of the PFS, we’ve made great progress — sorry, the onshore segment, we’ve made great progress in Japan, where Pacific Metals Co, or PAMCO we know them, has done considerable work and validated that seafloor nodules can be told through their current facility producing intermediate products that align with our specification.

The expected binding agreements with Allseas and PAMCO, both of which are anticipated to be finalized before the end of this year, will be key inputs for our PSS modeling work, including CapEx and OpEx estimates for Project Zero. And with the help of one of the world’s leading EPC firms in Bechtel, we expect this PFS work to be completed in the first half of 2024. And as you see on the right-hand side of this page, our PFS work will inform many of the key components of our application for an exploitation contract over the NORI D Area expected to be lodged following the July 2024 session of the ISA. So, for over a decade, NORI has been gathering key data to inform its environmental and social impact assessment. Since our first campaign in 2011, and NORI has embarked upon 20 offshore research expeditions to better understand the module resource and develop a rigorous environmental baseline of the ecosystem of the NORI D Area.

But of course, to understand the absolute impacts of potential module collection, you have to go out and collect nodules. So, the three offshore campaigns that made up last year’s prototype nodule collection system test, and environmental monitoring marked a watershed moment in our data collection effort, providing infield observations of the impacts of collecting nodules from the sea floor and lifting up four kilometers to the surface. As a company working at the forefront of a new industry, we knew that we could not do this alone. And that’s why NORI partnered with many of the world’s leading marine research institutions and expert industry contractors to ensure that our application is founded on the best possible science, prepared by the best minds in marine research.

After more than a decade of exploration, we are entering the final stages of our environmental and social impact assessment. The gray boxes represent the work completed, with the blue representing work ongoing. And running in parallel with our environmental baseline and impact studies, we continue to invest in research to better understand how modules perform against traditional mining operations on land. This began in 2019 with an in-depth life cycle assessment covering 19 different impact categories and drawing upon NORI data to assess the comparative impacts of sourcing metals for approximately 1 billion EVs from both modules and land-based stores. And then following successful tests of our pilot offshore system and onshore processing technology, we commissioned Benchmark Minerals for a project-specific lifecycle assessment to compare our NORI D project against key land-based production routes for the same target metals.

Though their scopes differ, the big picture remains the same. The NORI D project model outperformed all analyzed land-based production routes to nickel and copper and most to cobalt. Thanks to this investment, we now have a refined assessment of the NORI D project impact hotspots that we can address prior to starting commercial production. In our inaugural impact report last year, we outlined who we are, why we exist, and how we intend to go about delivering our mission. And this year’s report focuses on the significant progress made in understanding the potential impacts of our operations and the work we’re doing right now to reduce and mitigate these as much as possible. Several developments merit highlighting. Our subsidiary, NORI, executed a complex three desal campaign, while independent scientists carefully monitored the absolute impacts of our pilot nodule collection impact system.

And Benchmark Minerals completed their lifecycle assessment of our NORI D project, providing a clear picture of the relative impacts of our planned operations against terrestrial sources of metal supply. NORI spent 145 days at sea in 2022 alone as it continues to build upon its rich deep-sea data set. It has been fantastic to see the novel insights uncovered by the scientific community with the help of this information with eight peer reviewed papers now in publication and many, many more to come. We also advanced our industry-first digital twin, DPE, our engagement with Kongsberg Digital to bring AI and hybrid machine learning to our future deep sea nodule collection operations with potential applications on land as well. And work is well underway for the first social impact assessment for a seabed mineral project in international waters.

With our team engaging a broad cross-section of stakeholders in our sponsoring state of Nauru on the details of our project and its potential implications for this developing Island Nation. And of course, the incredible work that our in-country teams in both Nauru and Tonga are doing to support community projects and the next generation of leaders continue to go from strength-to-strength with grants to over 40 grassroot initiatives and two dozen fully funded scholarships and training opportunities awarded in 2022 alone. And finally, this year, we were proud to join other private companies, NGOs, and multilateral institutions to pioneer an ESG handbook for Marine Minerals, an initiative which has transparency at top of mind and which will serve as a blueprint for disclosing material topics associated with marine mineral projects, while showcasing best practices.

As a company, our destination is clear, a carefully managed metal commons that is used and recovered and reused for generations to come. And getting there will be a challenge for as long as the world’s metal demand keeps growing. Existing metal stocks will not be enough and so we have made it our mission to find a workable path to this future. Alongside this year’s impact report, the sustainability team had been hard at work behind the scenes preparing for our new sustainability approach, which outlines the principles that will guide our decisions as we work towards realizing this vision. As part of this approach, the team has developed a comprehensive set of sustainability goals. And while too exhaustive to list here, I encourage you all to visit our website where you can share your thoughts on our approach, the goals we have set ourselves and how you feel these may be improved.

We are sharing this approach now so that it may serve as the basis for a broad dialogue about how we intend to go about our business and welcome all stakeholder feedback that will bring valuable insights to refine and finalize a robust set of targets and KPIs, and we look forward to publishing these early next year. If the assessment of these impacts against a comprehensive environmental baseline that has been the primary focus of our team for the past decade. And through our work in this regard remains ongoing, the extreme depth pressure and near freezing temperatures of the perpetually dark environment in which nodules sit, bring some clear advantages over other ecosystems commonly impacted by metal extraction. I always say that if our goal is to supply metals with the least planetary impact, then it makes sense to go to parts of the planet where there is the least life, not the most life.

And that’s what we have on the abyss of seafloor, where biomass levels are measured in grams and are lower than any other ecosystem on the planet and roughly 1,500 times lower than in the tropical rain forest that source — that are the source of most new nickel production. And this lower abundance of life also has a bearing on species diversity on the seafloor. The ocean plays host to relatively few of the world species and at the extreme depths where our operations will take place, the lack of sunlight and other challenging conditions mean that millions of trees, plants, insects, and vertebras that exists on land are absent. But while the abyssal ecosystem exhibits relatively low levels of biodiversity compared to other terrestrial ecosystems, that does not mean that what is down there isn’t important.

And that’s why we spent over a decade developing a very robust environmental baseline so that we can understand what could be impacted by our operations and then develop strategies to minimize those impacts as much as possible. In July, we announced that data from two of NORI’s offshore campaigns had been published to the Ocean Biodiversity Information System and that NORI had become the single largest data contributor to the ISA node, providing 60% of total records. And research has continued the painstaking process of going through the remaining biodiversity data from a further seven campaigns as well as data concerning ocean geochemistry, bathymetry, and pelagic biodiversity. It has been fantastic to see the scientific community engaged with this rich wealth of information.

And for those with a keen eye, you may remember how in Q2 update, we reported how NORI’s total data set had been downloaded some 300 times and specific interrogations of taxa had seen NORI occurrences downloaded over 22 million times. Well, I’m pleased to report that engagement with the NORI data library has greatly accelerated in the last quarter, and we are fast approaching 1,000 downloads of the full data set with over 70 million downloads of NORI occurrences. Further, the localized and low line nature of seafloor plumes also has encouraging implication in terms of limiting biodiversity impacts. As I mentioned earlier, last year’s collection system test proved a historic moment in the development of this industry. Beyond the 3,000 tons of nodules collected, one of the most important outcomes of the test was the ability to observe real-time impacts and generate hundreds of terabytes of in-field data.

This information is particularly important when it comes to settlement plumes at the sea floor. We now have multiple lines of evidence from in-field verifications, sedimentation models built by leading experts, as well as through pioneering methods like thorium tracing, which paint a remarkably different picture to the one put forward by Actavis and in the media. And clearly, in-field observed data is more powerful than speculation. Leading experts in the field of deep sea settlement plume dynamics, including a team led by Professor Tom Peacock at MIT and researchers at Scripps, have found that 92% to 98% of settlement disturbed during offshore system trials conducted by fellow contractor GSR, remained within two meters of the seafloor, as they noted in the conclusion of their study, it’s quite a different picture of what these plumes look like compared to some of the conjecture.

And on our own ground, in the NORI D Area, preliminary findings by leading experts at DHI, support the findings of MIT. Our teams had over 50 monitoring stations in the water to monitor every aspect of the plume during noise collector trials last year. And using this data, DHI has built a model that brings some clarity to how plumes actually behave at these extreme depths. In-field observed data indicate that the sediment plume is low line, over 90% of the settlement initially stays less than two meters above the sea floor, and the sediment plume initially forms a ability current, which is a gravity-driven spreading of sediment-laden water under its own weight away from the collector tracks, meaning that the plume does not waft higher into the water column, but instead, follows the contour of the sea floor, behaving more like a liquid than a gas.

In this plume model by our partner, DHI, the cloud represents the plume that was generated — and particles and purple, the lowest. The purple and blue bands represent sediment concentrations less than 20 milligrams per liter, which would not be visible to the naked eye. And the key takeaway here is that contrary to widespread conjecture, disturbed settlement settles rapidly with projections indicating that impacts from the plume will be highly localized around the mining footprint and are highly unlikely to extend beyond the boundaries of the contract area. And this high-quality data is actually leading to tangible change amongst those prone to speculation. Following NORI’s presentation at ISA side event just a few days ago, the Deep Sea Conservation Coalition or DSCC, lead our position NGO against this industry change their website wording on plume to reduce their suggested scale of potential impact by nearly 100 times.

Instead of the previous DSCC website were in plumes of settlement possibly spreading tens of thousands of square kilometers beyond the mining site. The new DSCC wording says the rooms, which could disburse over to hundreds of kilometers. It may look like a subtle change, but upon careful reading, it knocks 20s off of the scale of their initial speculation and we believe the evidence shows that they are still overstating the potential impacts. As noted at the outset of this call, we’ve been encouraged by the progress at the most recent ISA media in Jamaica, as further evidenced by the positive commentary this week from the ISA Secretary General on how he believes the close to final form of the regulations are taking shape. This latest ISA meeting as in prior sessions saw a clear majority of participating states expressing their continued support for negotiating robust regulations that ensure the protection of the marine environment in line with their legal obligations.

23 ISA member states, representing a relatively small minority of the 169 ISA members under strong pressure from NGOs and have called for a precautionary pause or a moratorium or a ban on deep sea mining, most recently the United Kingdom and Monica. However, the legal obligations on member states to deliver the mining code has not changed, and this obligation was reiterated in July following a compromised consensus decision reached. In fact, what we’ve observed on the ground in Jamaica at the ISA is a recognition from the majority of member states, including many of those in the pause or moratorium can that the best path forward is to finalize a robust set of regulations in a timely fashion to ensure the effective protection of the marine environment while also delivering on their obligation to allow this industry to begin and this will continue to be a noisy topic, and there may ultimately be a few more that joined the pause or moratorium list.

But will clearly continue to be a very small minority in the context of the entire ISA. And the truth is that there continues to be no legal basis for moratorium and the obligation to deliver the mining code is a legal obligation and is not up for debate. As noted earlier, we maintained our previous guidance on our intention to launch our application for an exploitation contract over the NORI D Area following next year’s July ISA meeting. On the next slide, you will see the time line for an exploitation contract review from the draft regulations. The breakdown may change a little bit between now and our expected submission. But they should provide an illustrative guide for the review process. And again, we are encouraged by the keen interest in our ISA side events, which have allowed us to present our environmental findings to stakeholders as well as the ISA’s Legal & Technical Commission, the body of experts who will be reviewing our application and making a recommendation to the ISA Council.

So I’d now like to turn the call back to our CFO, Craig Shesky.

Craig Shesky: Thanks very much, Gerard. As shared in previous update calls, this will be a very familiar slide that in March 2021, AMC Consultants issued a SEC Reg S-K 1300 compliant initial assessment of the project economics for the NORI D Area. And that initial assessment is available on the Investors section of our website, both in Excel and PDF 4. And the initial assessment arrived at a net present value of $6.8 billion at the time for NORI D, and that was around the beginning of 2021. And running the same model simply updated for current metal prices, the net present value of NORI D will be approximately $8.6 billion. Now this is a lower valuation than what we’ve shown previously, due mainly to nickel prices being down approximately 40% year-to-date.

And yet, that’s still a whole lot of value. And it’s why we’re fortunate to have four key metals in one resource. We anticipate being able to withstand commodity cycles better than most win in production due to the high grades of these metals inherent in the resource. Now, the next page lays out some of the critical milestones that had that can lead to re-ratings potentially in our public valuation even amidst a tough point in the commodity cycle. And we’re still only trading at roughly 3.5% of the underlying NPV for NORI D at current oil prices. And keep in mind, that’s only roughly 22% of our total estimated resource. Now, the milestones ahead that can lead to potential valuation changes are as follows: reaching binding agreements commercially with our partners, all Season PAMCO which will then feed into our prefeasibility study, the finalization of our environmental impact statement, continued progress from the ISA, which Gerard just discussed, nor submitting an application for an exploitation contract over the NORI D following the July 2024 session.

The ISA ultimately granting Orion exploitation contract and then the beginning of commercial production shortly thereafter. And to submit an application following the July 2024 session, we disclosed in August that we’d expect to need roughly an incremental $60 million to $70 million of additional funding. And this was announced prior to the announcement of the registered direct offering. So the proceeds from that registered direct offering are expected to offset that forecast dollar per dollar, indicating a remaining funding amount of roughly $35 million to $45 million over that same time frame to deliver the application. So on to our third quarter financial results. TMC reported a net loss of approximately $12.5 million or $0.04 per share in the third quarter of 2023 compared to a net loss of $27.9 million or $0.12 a share for the quarter ended September 30, 2020.

Exploration and evaluation expenses during the third quarter of 2023 were $7.9 million compared to $22.7 million for the same period in 2022. The decrease in 2023 was primarily due to a reduction in environmental study spending and a reduction on the pilot and mining test system as the collector test was completed in November of 2022, partially offset by increased spending in 2023 on pre-feasibility studies as well as mining, technological and process development activities due to engineering work, which commenced in the fourth quarter of 2022 and increased spending on sponsorship programs. General and administrative expenses were $4.6 million in the third quarter of 2023 compared to $5.9 million in the third quarter of 2022. The lower spending in 2023 reflects lower share-based compensation and a decrease in insurance costs.

These decreases were partially offset by higher consulting costs on corporate activities and other expenses. Free cash flow for the third quarter of 2023 was negative $12.6 million compared to negative $9.1 million in the third quarter reflecting an operating loss of $12.5 million, a decrease in working capital of $2.9 million due to timing of payments, offset with equity settled expenses of $2.5 million and other noncash items. And finally, on the balance sheet, at the end of September, the balance sheet included a new asset related to the agreement with Allseas on our exclusive use of the Hidden gen vessel. In consideration for the exclusivity, we issued 4.15 million common shares to Allseas on August 14, 2023, and recorded a right-of-use asset with an unamortized value of $6.2 million.

At September 30, 2023, TMC held cash of $22.5 million and held no debt. Total pro forma liquidity stands currently at $56 million, including cash, our upcoming additional closings of $9 million on the registered direct offering for various Capital and the $25 million Allseas undrawn credit facility. We believe that this liquidity will be sufficient to meet our working capital and capital expenditure requirements for the next 12 months from today with respect to committed amounts. I would now like to turn the call back over to Gerard just for some quick closing remarks, and then we will open it up for Q&A.

Gerard Barron: Yes. Thank you, Craig. So in closing, it certainly feels good to see how much progress we continue to make. And finally, we’re at a stage where the results of our hard work over the last decade plus on the environmental and social impacts can be shared openly with stakeholders around the globe, and we’re delighted by those initial reactions. In the quarters ahead, I can promise you this we will remain laser-focused on the key deliverables in front of us being prudent with our cash and achieving what we say we’re going to achieve in a transparent manner. As the first contract expected to launch an application for the mining of the Seaport resources in international waters, the world should expect no less. I would like to extend my sincerest thanks to my entire TMC team to our extensive network of highly skilled partners [Technical difficulty] to the team of highly skilled engineers designing our new offshore collector system at all fees, thank you for your dedication to this very important project.

And thanks to everyone who tuned in for your interest and attention. And with that, we’d like to turn it back over to the operator for some Q&A.

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Q&A Session

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Matthew O’Keefe with Cantor Fitzgerald.

Gerard Barron: Hey, Matt. How you doing?

Matthew O’Keefe: Good. Good. Thanks. Thanks for taking my call, and providing that extensive overview. It’s been a lot of work has obviously been done. I’m just pausing here on Slide 21, which is the regulatory update. And you’ve highlighted 23 member states out of 169 publicly expressing reservations, which is great that you actually did highlight that. But I’m just wondering if you can provide any kind of sense of — there’s a lot there. I mean I’ve heard Canada and I’ve heard France come out. But the other nations, is there a common theme among them? And do any of these hold more sway or less way within the assembly than others? And what’s to prevent more delays? And not to say that, the last delay was politically motivated, but I was just wondering if you had a little more color around this.

Craig Shesky: Yes, happy to provide some and Gerard, happy for you to weigh in as well. I think a takeaway look, there is sometimes a gap in what is said coming out of, let’s say, a President of Prime Minister’s office versus what you sometimes see on the ground in terms of everybody focused on rolling up their sleeves and delivering what the ISA is mandated to deliver, which is mining code, which protects the environment from serious arm, but does allow this to go forward. This isn’t a question of — yes, it is a question of when. And the future exploitation of the resource has always been contemplated and that’s why the ISA is had a dual mandate to first put in place the exploration rigs and now to deliver those exploitation rigs.

So in terms of who has more or less influence, we may not get into that, but suffice it to say, what we did see in July from a lot of the member states, even some of those who are on the list of supporting a sensible a pause or moratorium, a real good faith effort to say, look, here’s the additional time that we need to push this forward. We need additional thee meetings, we think. And — there was a view that providing this additional time to them by TMC and noting that we had a recommendation from the legal and technical Commission to do some additional environmental work, which we are embarking upon. That would be the right path forward. So we do see that the statements that you sometimes see from those 23 member states don’t always line up with the reality of how hard they continue to work on the ground at the Gerard, I’m not sure if you want to add anything to that.

We may have lost a connection, but that’s okay. And with respect to other states, I think you should expect going forward, while we continue to hear a lot in terms of those who might take a position against it, they do represent the minority. And what we are seeing now is that out of the more silent majority you’re getting more states that are pushing ahead. And also we would expect to see some additional states perhaps coming out in support and trying to be sponsoring states themselves. So as we get closer to final regulations, I think we can expect it’s not just going to be the voice is coming from one side that are yelling the loudest but a more varied approach to public opinion.

Matthew O’Keefe: Okay. Thanks. I’ll let someone ask a question.

Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Dmitry Silversteyn with Water Tower Research.

Craig Shesky: Hey, Dmitry, can you hear us okay?

Operator: Dmitry you may be on mute? [Operator Instructions]

Craig Shesky: As we’re waiting for that to compile, we have a question in the chat from Christian Hornbeck at current projections, if nothing changes negatively when do we expect the company to turn a profit. I think you can expect to see a lot more detail on what the economic model is going to look like as we release some of the results from the pre-feasibility study. We do expect that even with the first vessel at relatively small scale that it won’t take very long for us to be free cash flow positive on that vessel. But we’re going to allow ourselves a little more time to put that pen to paper and you can expect quite a bit more detail on that coming up in the first half of 2024.

Operator: We have a question from the line of Dmitry Silversteyn with Water Tower Research. Your line is now open.

Craig Shesky : Looks like the Dmitry might be having some technical difficulties. So could we see if there are any else on the audio queue. And I’ll also have a little look at the Q&A chat online.

Operator: I’m not showing any further questions on the phone at this time.

Craig Shesky : There’s a question online from Timothy Burn. What has been done with the processing of the 22 million tons of nodules sent to Japan and the remaining 3,000 tons of nodules? That is a good question, and we get this one a fair amount. The 22 tons that we delivered to Pacific Metals in Japan have already been used to really show that they can use their existing facilities to produce the intermediate products such as nickel-copper-cobalt alloy and the manganese silicon product. So that 22 tons was really instructive in giving us confidence both on our side and PAMCO to potentially take that next step and enter into a binding agreement. And again, all of that would roll into our pre-feasibility studies as well. So that 22 tons has already done quite a lot in showing and demonstrating the viability of this capital-light approach with PAMCO in Japan.

In terms of the remaining roughly 2,980 tons, we — before we had our exploitation contract, cannot commercially sell those. So we do have them. We won’t say specifically where they are at any point in time, but we are using that massive sample to potentially share with other potential strategic partners. And make sure that others who want to be able to do some test work on the nodules can use this as a sample. But there is no ability for us to sell those nodules prior to being in commercial production with an exploitation contract.

Operator: [Operator Instructions]

Craig Shesky : So Dmitry is able to get in touch via the chat. The question is on the $9 million still to be collected on the capital raise. What’s the timing of that and why the delay? As we negotiated this, and there was some detail on it back in August when we released it, with ERAS Capital, there was a view of they wanted to participate at $2 a share. But for reasons in terms of portfolio construction and some of the other positions within ERAS Capital, it made sense to fund it in the staggered approach. We would have approximately $2.5 million of that funding coming in expected by the end of November and then the other amounts to be received in the month of January of $6.5 million. But of course, ERAS Capital remains our largest shareholder, Andrei Karkar, is family Allseas, on our Board of Directors and has consistently been a great supporter of us as has our partner Allseas, in terms of these recent capital raises that we’ve done.

So that was the reason for it and some additional context beyond that. Now the operator, if you don’t mind giving a call back to Gerard, you should be able to get back in here and I’ll take a few more questions from the chat. Another one from Christian Hornbeck. With China active in the Pacific. Is there any concern that they might begin mining illegally? Is this going to be an issue? What we would say is it’s very constructive the way that China is behaving with the ISA. They are more engaged, certainly, as we’ve seen over the last couple of years. And it’s highlighted in the Washington Post article from October, they are really using their sphere of influence to make sure that regulations are put in place. So we’re not going to speculate on what they may or may not do in the future.

But we would say that the work that they’ve been doing at the ISA in Jamaica continues to be constructive. And then from Dmitry Silversteyn at Water Tower Research with the post-collection test campaign, when will it be undertaken? How long will it be at C? And then how long before the data is shared? Good questions there as well, Dmitry. We are not giving specific data on when the campaign is launching part of that for security reasons. But it will be at for a good amount of time. And I would say, we do already have some sense of what the environmental regeneration in the collector test area might look like in part because we were there for effectively a month following the collector test last year and measuring some of those post disturbance effects.

So we do anticipate that what we’re going to see out of this post mining campaign is going to further add to the quality of our application, and we don’t expect there to be any showstoppers. But of course, we’re going to see what the research brings us. You can expect that some of the initial results are like we start rolling out probably towards the end of Q1 next year and then quite a bit more that in the second quarter as all of that then rolls into our environmental impact statement as a prerequisite for our application for an exploitation contract. We might take one more from the chat. And then if the operator can check if there’s any other questions in the queue on the phone. Ray Figaro [ph], is there a possibility that China will also submit an application in July of 2024?

I think what’s important to keep in mind here is in terms of the technology to collect the nodules, that’s something that we see a lot of parties potentially able to do in investing in it. And it’s not just China, Norway is investing heavily in this and you’re seeing some individual companies, mainly in the offshore oil and gas space, not only Allseas, but Transocean and others who are devoting assets here. So the technology is something that really that’s not where the competitive advantage is where the competitive advantages is having a great resource, having a resource it’s very abundant and high grade. But also having a team that’s been willing to, over the course of the last decade plus, focus so much on resource definition and environmental work.

If China were to want to submit their application, there was a prerequisite to have at least three-plus years of environmental baseline data. So that’s not something that you can really accelerate. That’s not something that you can say, well, we’re going to try to compress that down into a couple of months. You really have to put your equipment out there and then just observe it for a while and set a baseline to then measure your operations and what those impacts would be against that baseline. So that’s the element that would make it unlikely for China or frankly, any other contractor to submit an application within several years of TMC [indiscernible].

Operator: [Operator Instructions] I’m not seeing any phone questions at this time.

Craig Shesky : And then we’ll take one more question from the chat David Larkam at Edison Research. What’s the likely cost of the additional offshore campaign? And is it within the guidance cash flow for the requirements for the application? Yes, David, it is within our guidance, saying that what we would need to deliver that application following the July 2024 session, that amount of the initial guidance would be offset dollar for dollar for the capital raise that we’ve announced. So assuming that $23.5 million of net proceeds that will leave you in the ballpark of $35 million to $45 million of funding remaining. That does incorporate all of the costs anticipated for this post mining campaign. In fact, the timing of our announcement for the capital raise did coincide with us deciding for certain based on feedback from the legal and technical commission that, look, if this is a campaign that needs to be done, let’s go out and make sure that we raise funding to keep the project on track, and most of that funding was raised with a view to spend it on the post-collection test campaign.

So that is within our estimates. That’s within the guidance we provided, and we’re happy to be kicking out of the reason. Are there any more questions on the line?

Operator: No questions on the phone lines at this time.

Craig Shesky : Very good. Well, everybody, thank you for your attention. Sorry to those who may not have been able to answer — or excuse me, ask a question, but feel free to reach out. You can reach out to us directly through our website for investors@metals.co, and we’d be happy to follow-up. Thanks again for your attention, and we look forward to chatting with you soon on our next quarterly update call in March and a lot of progress to be reported between now and then. Thank you all very much.

Operator: This concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.