We recently compiled a list of the 10 Undervalued Aerospace Stocks To Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) stands against the other undervalued aerospace stocks.
The International Aerospace and Defense industry
The aerospace and defense industry is a fast-growing industry, mainly because of the increased global travel after the pandemic and increased geopolitical tensions, which has led to increased government spending on defense. According to Research and Markets, the global aerospace and defense industry was valued at $884 billion in 2023. The industry is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 5.8% to reach $1.23 trillion by 2028. Growth in the sector pertains to the rise in military modernization and increased defense spending. Whereas, increased spending on air travel is contributing to the growth in the commercial aerospace industry.
Geopolitics and Increased Spending on Defense
The world has been in a straight of turmoil, with geopolitical tensions leading to wars. While war and geo-political tensions are a dealbreaker for many industries, for the aerospace and defense companies the story is different. One of the key drivers of revenue for such companies is government contracts for military-grade aircraft, weapons, and defense systems. Thereby, with increased risks of war, defense spending goes up and aerospace and defense companies land more contracts.
According to a report by CNBC on April 22, global military spending hit an all-time high in 2023 after a 7% ramp-up. The global military spending was at a record high of $2.4 trillion last year. One of the key drivers of increased defense spending has been the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and the recent tensions between Israel and Palestine. During the previous year the United States, China, and Russia were noted to be the biggest military spenders.
According to the U.S. Department of Defense, the government has $2.09 trillion in budgetary resources and plans to spend $972.88 Billion during 2024, out of which $229.80 billion is designated for award obligations. This indicates increased business opportunities for aerospace and defense companies during the year.
Upcoming Trends in the Aerospace Industry
According to a survey conducted by McKinsey & Company, AI-powered advancements can reshape aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul, however, companies need to accept the digital transformation.
Aircraft fleet management is a challenging sector. In the US alone, airline companies have witnessed a 15% increase in maintenance costs during the past 5 years. Moreover, there has been a 14% increase in flight delays due to maintenance.
The maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) can be optimized using AI-powered solutions that allow better performance and improve efficiency. For Instance, AI-powered MRO can predict proper maintenance needs for an aircraft and the labor, material, and time needed for the maintenance. However, to leverage the power of AI, maintenance companies would have to become comfortable with adapting to new technologies and deal with the status quo disruption. The survey by McKinsey & Company found that only 33% of their respondents believed digital adoption to be critically important in achieving organizational objectives. Whereas 70% believed it could become critically important in the next 3 to 5 years, indicating hesitation towards immediate adoption of AI-powered solutions in the MRO sector.
Our Methodology
To compile the list of 10 undervalued aerospace stocks to buy according to analysts we used the Finviz stock screener and iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF. We aggregated a list of stocks that operated in the aerospace and defense industry and filtered stocks that had a forward P/E ratio of less than 22 and a positive earnings growth rate. These stocks are cheaper than the market, which currently has a forward P/E of 22 (according to data from WSJ).
Once we had our filtered list, we ranked these stocks based on the average price target upside as per Wall Street analysts. The stocks are ranked in ascending order of the average price target upside as of August 15, 2024.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A military cargo plane landing at its destination, signifying the strength of its defense arm.
Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT)
Average Price Target Upside as of August 15: 20.36%
Forward P/E as of August 15: 14
Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) is a diversified global aerospace and defense company. The company operates through various segments including Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, and Textron eAviation. Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) is known for its aircraft, helicopters, and military-grade vehicles. It serves both government agencies and commercial customers.
The competitive edge of Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) lies in the strong brand recognition of the company and its extensive product mix that allows the company to generate revenue from multiple streams. Utilizing its robust portfolio, especially its Aviation segment, the company has been able to grow its top line by 4% and its bottom line by 10% during the past 3 years.
The second quarter of 2024, proved to be a success for the company. Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) was able to grow its revenue to $3.5 billion from $3.4 billion last year. Its Aviation business witnessed the strongest growth as the company delivered 44 commercial turboprops and 42 jets during the quarter. As a result, the revenue for the segment grew 8.3% year-over-year to reach $1.5 billion and generated $195 million in profits. Looking ahead the segment continues to see increased demand as the quarter ended with $7.5 billion in backlog, up $118 million from the previous quarter.
Management of Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) has been active in improving its product portfolio through strategic acquisitions. During the quarter, the company acquired Amazilia Aerospace, which has expertise in digital flight controls and flight guidance. Management plans to integrate the expertise and products of Amazilia Aerospace to its new platforms such as Nuuva and Surveyor.
With a 32% subsequent increase in the manufacturing cash flow of the company from $242 million to $320 million and a robust backlog, the company is poised for growth. Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) is undervalued as per the analysts. It is trading at 14 times its forward earnings, which is a 27% discount to its sector. Meanwhile, the analysts expect its earnings to grow by 24% during the year to reach $1.99.
19 analysts have a consensus buy rating on the stock, with their 12-month median price target of $103.5 presenting an upside of 20.36% from current levels.
Overall TXT ranks 4th on our list of the best undervalued aerospace stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of TXT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TXT but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.