We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Long-term Penny Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Taseko Mines Limited (AMEX:TGB) stands against the other long-term penny stocks.
Analysis of the Current Market Environment
A market analysis discussion was held on July 8 with a CNBC panel comprising Carson Group chief market strategist, Ryan Detrick, and Wealth Enhancement Group SVP, Nicole Webb. Both panelists believe that we are in a bullish market and the trend is expected to continue. Webb expressed optimism about the market’s potential to churn higher, even during the current overbought environment. She expects continued defensiveness and earnings growth from mega-cap tech companies. Webb is hopeful for a shift towards rate normalization rather than abrupt cuts.
Ryan Detrick shared bullish sentiments, basing his outlook on the improving inflation data. He pointed out that 34% of the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) components are experiencing deflation, with notable declines in used car prices and grocery store prices. He expects the Fed to cut rates in September and November, and he believes that these cuts will be in response to declining inflation rather than a sign of economic weakness.
When the CNBC interviewer noted the significant gains leading tech companies contributed and questioned the reliance on these firms for sustained market growth, Nicole Webb acknowledged the complexity of these market themes. However, she maintained a positive outlook and expects broader market earnings growth in the second half of the year. She mentioned favorable conditions for rate cuts and ongoing advancements in AI-driven productivity and cost-cutting as supportive factors for the bull market.
Penny Stocks: Opportunities and Risks in the Current Market Environment
The current market conditions as discussed above present a mixed bag for penny stocks. On one hand, the overall bullish sentiment and expected rate cuts could provide a favorable environment. Lower interest rates typically reduce borrowing costs and can lead to increased investment in riskier assets, including penny stocks. Additionally, a strong economy and rising market indices may boost investor confidence, which could potentially drive more speculative investments into lower-priced stocks.
However, there are also significant challenges. The reliance on mega-cap tech companies for market gains suggests that investors are favoring well-established, financially stable firms over riskier, smaller companies. This preference for safety and quality can limit the flow of capital into penny stocks. Furthermore, the high valuations and earnings expectations for larger firms mean that any market corrections or shifts in sentiment could disproportionately impact smaller, more volatile stocks. This would especially be true if we take Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson’s comments into account. In a Bloomberg TV interview on July 8, he said that there is a high chance of a 10% correction between now and the US election and added that the third quarter of the current year is going to be “choppy.”
Overall, while some positive macroeconomic trends could benefit penny stocks, investors need to be cautious. The market’s current emphasis on stability and proven performance may not bode well for these highly speculative investments. Thorough research and a clear understanding of the risks should be on top priority for those considering penny stocks in this environment.
Our Methodology
For this article, we identified around 20 fundamentally strong penny stocks (trading below $5 on July 18) from several financial media websites and sources. We only chose the stocks that have been profitable for at least over a year, showed signs of earnings growth, and have significant future growth prospects. We narrowed down our list to 10 stocks most widely held by institutional investors. The stocks are listed in ascending order of their hedge fund sentiment.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Aerial view of the Yellowhead copper project, the scale of the landscape revealed.
Taseko Mines Limited (AMEX:TGB)
Share Price as of July 18: $2.22
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 8
Taseko Mines Limited (AMEX:TGB) is a prominent player in the copper mining sector, specializing in the acquisition, development, and operation of mineral properties. The company focuses on exploring rich deposits of copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver. Its flagship asset is the Gibraltar mine situated in British Columbia, which is the second-largest open-pit copper resource in Canada. After acquiring the last 12.5% stake in the mine in March 2024, Taseko Mines (AMEX:TGB) now has 100% interest in the mine. Additionally, the company holds significant interests in strategic projects including the Yellowhead copper project, the Aley niobium project, and the New Prosperity gold and copper project, all located in British Columbia.
The recent rise in copper prices bodes well for Taseko Mines (AMEX:TGB) as they have risen nearly 13% year-to-date, as of July 17 at $9,553 per metric ton year-to-date. Analysts and financial institutions have revised their forecasts amid bullish sentiment toward copper. Citi, for instance, predicts a continuation of what it terms the second secular bull market for copper in the 21st century. It expects prices to average $10,000 per metric ton by the end of 2024, with a further rise to $12,000 by 2026 under its base-case scenario as reported by CNBC on April 10. The firm also highlights the potential for even higher prices, exceeding $15,000 per metric ton in its bull-case scenario if a robust cyclical recovery occurs.
The surge in copper demand is supported by the metal’s critical role in renewable energy generation, electric vehicles, and grid infrastructure essential for achieving net zero emissions which bodes well for Taseko Mines (AMEX:TGB). The company’s Gibraltar mine has an impressive processing capacity of 85,000 tons per day and over its operational life, it is expected to achieve an average annual copper production of 130 million pounds. Additionally, the company is preparing to commence production at the Florence Copper project by Q4 2025. This in-situ copper recovery project (copper extracted from ore deposits without traditional open-pit or underground mining) is expected to produce 85 million pounds of LME Grade A copper annually once it is fully operational.
In addition, Taseko Mines (AMEX:TGB) has managed its exposure to copper price volatility through strategic hedging measures. Looking ahead to 2025, the company has implemented several key strategies. It has established a minimum price guarantee of $4 per pound for all copper sales throughout the year, which protects it from potential downside risks in the copper market. Moreover, the company has already hedged 42 million pounds of copper for $3.75 per pound, which ensures a predetermined revenue stream for this period. All these factors combined make Taseko Mines (AMEX:TGB) a stock worthy of attention.
As of the first quarter of 2024, 8 hedge funds had stakes worth $17.1 million in Taseko Mines (AMEX:TGB). While Diamond Hill Capital was the company’s largest shareholder with shares worth nearly $8 million, other prominent investors also looked at the stock favorably. Millennium Management increased its stake in the company by 1600% to shares worth $2.6 million and D E Shaw initiated a position worth $1.675 million in the company in Q1.
Overall TGB ranks 9th on our list of the best long-term penny stocks to buy. You can visit 10 Best Long-term Penny Stocks to Buy Now to see the other long-term penny stocks that are on hedge funds’ radar. While we acknowledge the potential of TGB as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TGB but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.