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Super Micro Computer (SMCI), Back To Where It All Started

Super Micro Computer is currently trading just around the $32 mark. Its one-year returns stand at a paltry 10%, nothing to write home about. Yet the stock has been in the news throughout the year, for both good and bad reasons. It quadrupled in no time before sliding down to reasonable valuations. Then the Hindenburg report came out and the company has been battling financial issues since.

Super Micro Computer, Inc. specializes in designing high-performance servers, server management software, and storage systems, aimed to work in data centers, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence.

Its SuperBlade servers are designed for high-density environments like data centers, its BigTwin server combines high performance with energy efficiency and is ideal for cloud applications, and its Ultra servers are optimized for AI and big data applications.

All of these servers are known for ensuring minimal downtime and operational continuity, as well as superior thermal management and energy efficiency, contributing to a reduced total cost of ownership.

Roughly 64% of the company’s revenue comes from selling OEM appliances and large data center solutions. The U.S. markets represent 67% of total revenue for the company, while Asia and Europe generate approximately 14% each.

The end markets of the company are enterprise data centers, cloud computing services, artificial intelligence applications, and telecommunication services. Among its top clients, we find NVIDIA, Intel, Advanced Micro Devices, Amazon Web Services, IBM, Alibaba, Oracle, and Microsoft.

The stock has now fallen to levels it traded at for most of 2023. One may therefore be inclined to think that the worst is past us and that the current levels provide good support. However, the underlying business continues to worry investors, making it unlikely that new investors would like to buy the stock even at current prices.

Super Micro delayed filing its annual report after the short seller report claiming there were financial irregularities in the company came out. There has been minimal visibility into the company’s finances since. This is worsened by reports of the company pursuing a Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) deal. A PIPE deal is when private investors buy equity in a company at a discount to its current market price. If this materializes, it will confirm the financial crisis, as no sound company would sell its shares at a discount otherwise.

For existing shareholders, this would mean a shareholding dilution, something that is scaring off new investors. At just 14 times forward earnings, the company’s valuation is attractive. We believe the valuation can become even more attractive once the company announces its annual report in February and lays out a plan to get out of the crisis. Until that time, there is hardly any good reason for investors to take a position in this stock.

SMCI is not on our latest list of the 31 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 33 hedge fund portfolios held SMCI at the end of the third quarter which was 47 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of SMCI as a leading AI investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is as promising as SMCI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: $30 Trillion Opportunity: 15 Best Humanoid Robot Stocks to Buy According to Morgan Stanley and Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA ‘Has Become A Wasteland’.

Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

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It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

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  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

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