We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Casino Stocks To Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC) stands against the other casino stocks.
A Quick Recap of the Global Gambling Industry
The world has seen a rapid growth in online gambling recently, which is fueled by the legalization of sports betting around in many countries. The United States ban on sports betting was lifted in 2018 since then many states have moved to allow such activities online as well.
Makers of FanDuel and BetMGM have flooded the United States market with promotional content and advertising targeted at sports fans, encouraging them to participate in their fantasy leagues. Sports betting companies use various marketing techniques to cash in the sports seasons. In one of the BetMGM promotions, its brand ambassador Jamie Foxx, a movie star, encouraged sports fans to try betting on various outcomes in the game.
The advertisements have been working well to drive revenue for the companies. As per the American Gaming Association, in 2023, online sports bookmakers took more than $114 billion in Bets. Moreover, the US revenue from online sports betting reached around $16.9 billion during the same year.
After the United States, many other countries are working on building casinos to attract foreign tourism. As per a CNBC report on September 1, Thailand after Singapore and Macau is looking to develop casinos in the country. The strategy worked well for Macau as it overtook the title of the world’s largest gambling hub from Las Vegas. Singapore has been reaping the benefits as well from its two 14-year-old casinos. Thailand has now joined the race, and it is expected that the country will give tough competition to both Macau and Singapore. Its casinos are expected to generate $5 billion in revenue, which is 1% of the country’s GDP.
In one of our recent articles titled, 7 Best Small-Cap Casino Stocks Hedge Funds Are Buying, we found that Asia Pacific is one of the major contributors to the global betting industry. Here’s an excerpt from the piece:
“Legalization of gambling, rapid urbanization, increased use of social media, and rising internet penetration rate are factors driving market growth. As per the report, the Asia Pacific region is the main contributor in the global betting industry accounting for more than 32.4% of the total market valuation. The Asia Pacific region is followed by North America and Europe. Looking ahead, South America and Africa are expected to be the next hot markets for gambling and casino companies. The South American region is expected to grow at a CAGR of 23.4%, whereas Africa is expected to grow at 8%. Rapid legalization and increasing disposable income in these regions contribute to the growth.
If we look at the segment-wise analysis, the lotteries segment accounts for more than 53% of the total market value and is expected to grow at the fastest rate during the forecasted period.”
Are Sports Betting Stocks Slipping Due to the Upcoming Tax?
Illinois lawmakers are drafting a new budget that includes a sharp increase to the state tax on sports betting operators. On May 28, CNBC’s reporter Contessa Brewer mentioned that operators in Illinois have paid 15% on sports betting since it went live in June 2021. The new tax proposal is expected to increase the tax to a range of 20% to 40% depending on gross receipts. Meaning that the largest betting operators are expected to be attacked the highest with this increase.
The law is yet to be passed, but if it gets approved it will make Illinois’ highest tax rate the second highest behind New York and New Hampshire. For context, Illinois is the 4th largest state for sports betting and betters waggered more than $1.2 billion in March 2024 alone. Sports betting associations are not happy with the tax proposal. The CEO of one of the largest sports betting operators in the United States mentioned that the burden of this tax is going to shit to the consumers.
Now that we have looked at the overall gambling and casino industry. Let’s talk about the 10 best casino stocks to buy according to analysts.
Our Methodology
We used the Finviz stock screener to come up with stocks operating in the gambling and casino industry. First, we aggregated a list of casino stocks that were most widely held by hedge funds in Q2 2024. Next, we ranked them based on the average price target upside as per Wall Street analysts. The list is ranked in ascending order of the average price target upside as of September 1.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A reputable investor betting on a sports event, confidently placing a wager online.
Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC)
Average Price Target Upside as of September 1: 47.43%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 7
Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC) engages in the online sports betting and gaming sector. It operates through two main platforms Betway and Spin.
Betway is a renowned online sports betting brand that allows users to engage in sports betting for various events and offers a user-friendly interface with extensive market coverage. On the other hand, Spin is a multi-brand online casino that provides a variety of gaming options such as table games and slot machine games.
Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC) has a strong market presence in the Americas, Africa, and Europe. With around 38% of revenue coming from the African market.
What makes the company an attractive investment option is its debt-free balance sheet with a surplus of €307 million ($340 million) in unrestricted cash. On top of this, the company left analysts astonished with record performance in FQ2 2024. It delivered record quarterly revenue of €408 million ($451 million), up 9% year-over-year. Strong revenue growth was on the back of robust performance from both its platforms.
The nibble and decisive strategies of management are paying off. Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC) is close to achieving consistent 20% EBITDA margins. For the latest quarter, it generated a record adjusted EBITDA of around $102 million, with margins at 24% indicating an 11% increase year-over-year.
The company’s online casino is gaining more traction and comprised 79% of the total revenue during Q2 2024. It has also entered into global betting partnerships with English Premier League Champions Manchester City and secured its sponsor position at South Africa’s Premier Soccer League, now known as Betway Premiership.
It was held by 7 hedge funds in Q2 2024, with total stakes worth $9.83 million. 4 analysts have a consensus Buy opinion on the stock and their median price target of $5.09 presents an upside of 47% from the current levels.
Overall SGHC ranks 4th on our list of the best casino stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of SGHC as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a promising AI stock that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
