We recently published a list of 10 Stocks Everyone’s Talking About as Trump Softens His Tone on China. In this article, we are going to take a look at where NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) stands against other stocks everyone’s talking about as Trump softens his tone on China.
Investors are desperately looking for signs of a market bottom after going through massive volatility and losses. 3Fourteen Research’s Warren Pies said in a latest program on CNBC that we are getting “close” to a market bottom based on his technical analysis. The analyst talked about key indicators he’s looking for:
“I do think that the White House is trying to deescalate the situation. One of the markers we’ve seen is that Peter Navarro hasn’t been on TV since April 13th, and that’s corresponding with this equity rally. Setting that aside, though, I think that a bottom, a confirmed bottom, has two components. You need to see washed out sentiment and positioning. We measured that in a number of ways: we measured it in inverse ETFs for retail, we measured it for vault targeting for institutions, and CTAs for trend followers. Across all those metrics, sentiment is depressed. That’s phase one of a bottom. Then, you look for technical confirmation. Philosophically, we’re always going to be late because of that ordering.”
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For this article, we picked 10 stocks investors are currently focusing on. With each stock, we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
A close-up of a colorful high-end graphics card being plugged in to a gaming computer.
NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Number of Hedge Funds Investors: 193
Bernstein’s Stacy Rasgon said in a latest program on CNBC that the demand is still strong for NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) and the company despite concerns in the industry:
“I mean, that is sort of the big question. I would say right now, at least the demand environment still looks really, really strong. Just to pick on Nvidia, like I think they’re going to sell everything that they can get out the door this year. So that that just becomes the question, how much can they get out the door? You know, but at this point, I would say like the only ones that really seem to be worried about the AI-like demand environment seem to be investors. Like the companies that are actually doing the spending right now, their capex forecasts and requirements and everything, they’re going up, not down.”
The market will keep punishing Nvidia for not coming up to its gigantic (and sometimes unrealistic) growth expectations. About 50% of the company’s revenue comes from large cloud providers, which are rethinking their plans amid the DeepSeek launch and looking for low-cost chips. Nvidia’s Q1 guidance shows a 9.4% QoQ revenue growth, down from the previous 12% QoQ growth. Its adjusted margin is expected to be down substantially as well to 71%. The market does not like it when Nvidia fails to post a strong quarterly beat. The stock will remain under pressure in the coming quarters when the company will report unimpressive growth.
Nvidia is facing challenges at several levels. Competition is one of them. Major competitors like Apple, Qualcomm, and AMD are vying for TSMC’s 3nm capacity, which could limit Nvidia’s access to these chips. Why? Because Nvidia also uses TSMC’s 3nm process nodes. Nvidia is also facing direct competition from other giants that are deciding to make their own chips. Amazon, with its Trainium2 AI chips, offers alternatives. Trainium2 chips could provide cost savings and superior computational power, which could shift AI workloads away from Nvidia’s offerings. Apple is reportedly working with Broadcom to develop an AI server processor. Intel is also trying hard to get back into the game with Jaguar Shores GPU, set to be produced on its 18A or 14A node.
Harding Loevner Global Developed Markets Equity Strategy stated the following regarding NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
“For the full year, the composite’s underperformance was primarily due to poor stock choices in the US. NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA), which we sold in the first quarter and repurchased in the fourth quarter, caused almost two-thirds of the strategy’s underperformance. We were hurt by our underweight as NVIDIA’s stock price soared during the first half of the year on the insatiable demand for the company’s graphics processing units (GPUs), which enable generative Al computing.
After ASML’s disappointing outlook led industry valuations to compress, we added a strong company back to the portfolio-NVIDIA.
There were two main reasons we sold NVIDIA last February (after holding the stock for more than five years). First, its biggest customers-data-center behemoths Amazon, Alphabet. Meta Platforms, and Microsoft-have been designing their own custom semiconductor chips, called application-specific integrated circuits (ASICS), that could eventually erode NVIDIA’s dominance. Second, it was unclear to us whether the adoption of Al by large enterprises will be as fast and meaningful as the optimistic views suggested…” (Click here to read the full text)
Overall, NVDA ranks 4th on our list of best mid cap growth stocks. While we acknowledge the potential of NVDA, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NVDA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.