SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (NYSE:SITE) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (NYSE:SITE) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript May 1, 2024

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good morning, and welcome to the SiteOne Landscape Supply First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to John Guthrie, CFO. Please go ahead.

John Guthrie: Thank you and good morning, everyone. We issued our first quarter 2024 earnings press release this morning and posted a slide presentation to the Investor Relations portion of our website at investors.siteone.com. I’m joined today by Doug Black, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Scott Salmon, Executive Vice President, Strategy and Development. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today’s press release, slide presentation and the statements made during the call include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections.

Such risks and uncertainties include factors set forth in the earnings release and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Additionally, during today’s call, we will discuss non-GAAP measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. A reconciliation of these measures can be found in our earnings release and in the slide presentation. I would now like to turn the call over to Doug Black.

Doug Black: Thanks, John. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. During the first quarter, our teams continued to execute well overcoming persistent commodity price deflation and poor weather in our stronger construction markets to achieve positive organic daily sales growth and good overall growth in net sales. Though our near-term adjusted EBITDA results were dampened during the traditionally slower first quarter, we believe that we will be able to expand our adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year as we move through the selling season and lap the price declines experienced during the second half of 2023. We were also pleased to add two high-performing companies to SiteOne in April, including Devil Mountain, which is an exciting new platform for growth in our nursery product line in the western United States.

Both companies have talented teams and strong customer relationships and they expand our product lines and market presence in their respective markets. Through our acquisition strategy and our commercial and operational initiatives, we continue to build SiteOne for the long term as a world-class market leader while delivering consistent performance and growth in the near term. With our well-balanced business, strong balance sheet, exceptional teams, improved capabilities and robust acquisition pipeline, we remain confident in our ability to navigate the current environment and achieve continued success in 2024 and beyond. I will start today’s call with a brief overview of our unique market position and our strategy, followed by some highlights from the quarter.

John Guthrie will then walk you through our first quarter financial results in more detail and provide an update on our balance sheet and liquidity position. Scott Salmon will discuss our acquisition strategy and then I will come back to address our latest outlook before taking your questions. As shown on Slide 4 of the earnings presentation, we have grown our footprint to more than 690 branches and four distribution centers across 45 U.S. states and six Canadian provinces. We are the clear industry leader over three times the size of our nearest competitor and larger than two through ten combined. Yet, we estimate that we only have about a 17% share of the very fragmented $25 billion wholesale landscaping products distribution market. Accordingly, our long-term growth opportunity remains significant.

We have a balanced mix of business with 65% focused on maintenance, repair and upgrade, 21% focused on new residential construction and 14% on new commercial and recreational construction. At the only national full product line wholesale distributor in the market, we also have excellent balance across our product lines as well as geographically. Our strategy to fill in our product lines across the U.S. and Canada both organically and through acquisition further strengthens this balance over time. Overall, our end market mix, broad product portfolio and geographic coverage offer us multiple avenues to grow and create value for our customers and suppliers while providing important resiliency in softer markets. Turning to Slide 5, our strategy is to leverage the scale, resources, functional talent and capabilities that we have as the largest company in our industry, all in support of our talented, experienced and entrepreneurial local teams to consistently deliver superior value to our customers and suppliers.

We’ve come a long way in building SiteOne and executing our strategy. We have more work to do as we develop into a true world-class company. Accordingly, we remain highly focused on our commercial and operational initiatives to further build our capability to create value for all our stakeholders. These initiatives are complemented by our acquisition strategy which fills in our product portfolio, moves us into new geographic markets and adds terrific new talent to SiteOne. Taken all together, our strategy creates superior value for our shareholders through organic growth, acquisition growth and EBITDA margin expansion. If you turn to Slide 6, you can see our strong track record of performance and growth over the last eight years with consistent organic and acquisition growth and solid EBITDA margin expansion.

We have done this while investing heavily in our teams and in new systems and technologies to build the foundation for SiteOne and to create superior capabilities for our customers and suppliers. Shifting to current conditions, we are experiencing commodity price deflation which causes a temporary negative impact on organic daily sales growth, gross margin and adjusted EBITDA margin. We expect this negative impact to subside in the second half of 2024. Longer term, we have ample opportunities to increase our gross margin and improve our operating leverage through our commercial and operational initiatives. Accordingly, we remain confident in our strategy to drive revenue growth both organically and through acquisition, while expanding our adjusted EBITDA margin toward our longer term objective of 13% to 15%.

We have now completed 93 acquisitions across all product lines since the start of 2014. Our pipeline of potential deals remains robust and we expect to continue adding and integrating more new companies this year to support our growth. These companies strengthened SiteOne with excellent talent and new ideas for performance and growth. Given the fragmented nature of our industry and our modest market share, we have a significant opportunity to continue growing through acquisition for many years to come. Slide 7 shows the long runway that we have ahead in filling in our product portfolio, which we aim to do primarily through acquisition, especially in the nursery, hardscapes and landscape supplies categories. We are well-connected with the best companies in our industry and expect to continue filling in these markets systematically over the next decade.

I will now discuss some of our first quarter highlights as shown on Slide 8. We achieved 8% net sales growth in the first quarter with organic daily sales growth of 1% and 7% added through acquisition. Organic sales volume grew by 5% as our teams continued to gain market share to supplement the sluggish market demand. Overall pricing declined 4% for the quarter as double-digit deflation in commodity products like fertilizer, seed and PVC pipe more than offset very modest cost increases in our other product lines. Gross profit increased 5% driven by our acquisitions and our gross margin decreased 100 basis points to 33.3%. This result was in line with our expectations as the ongoing price deflation in commodity products continues to drive a near-term headwind to gross margin.

Additionally, in the first quarter of 2023, we were still enjoying significant price inflation which aided gross margin thereby providing a tougher comparable. Acquisitions increased our gross margin in the first quarter as our mix of acquired companies operate with a higher gross margin and higher SG&A. Our SG&A as a percentage of net sales increased by 140 basis points to 36.2%. This increase was driven by our acquisitions and by a significant increase in our healthcare costs in the base business. We expect the healthcare costs to stabilize during the remainder of the year and we expect to gain good SG&A leverage on our base business as we move through the main selling season in the second and third quarters. As a result, we expect to achieve SG&A operating leverage for the full year 2024.

We have a significant opportunity to achieve further SG&A leverage over the coming years as we implement our commercial and operational initiatives and grow our company. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter declined 47% to $21.1 million and adjusted EBITDA margin declined by 250 basis points to 2.3% as the combination of lower organic daily sales, lower gross margin and higher seasonal SG&A from acquisitions affected our short-term financial results. I would note that despite the reduction in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, our operating cash flow improved by $53 million versus the first quarter of 2023 with the benefit of our supply chain initiatives and good overall working capital management. In terms of initiatives, we continue to grow our small customers faster than our average while also driving growth in our private label brands and improving inbound freight costs through our transportation management system.

These initiatives are helping to mitigate the gross margin decline that we are experiencing in 2024 and should contribute to expanding gross margin in the future. We continue to increase our percentage of bilingual branches now at 60% and are executing focused Hispanic marketing programs to create awareness among this important customer segment. We are also making great progress in our sales force productivity as we leverage our CRM and establish more disciplined revenue generating habits among our over 600 outside sales associates. Continued rollout of MobilePro and Dispatch Track allows us to offer better customer service while also increasing the productivity of our branch staff and delivery fleet. Acquisition of Pioneer has allowed us to gain new functionality in bulk delivery and in our point-of-sale system which we plan to develop further and leverage with our existing business.

During the quarter, we continued to make good progress in growing our digital sales and cultivating regular users of siteone.com. This helps us increase market share while allowing our associates to focus more on creating value for our customers and less on transactional activity, continue to introduce new functionality for siteone.com and are ahead of our goal to double sales online in 2024. Taken altogether, we are continuing to prove our capability to drive organic growth, increase gross margin and achieve operating leverage through our initiatives. On the acquisition front, as I mentioned, we added two excellent companies to our family after the quarter with approximately $120 million in trailing 12 month sales added to SiteOne. With an experienced team, broad and deep relationships with the best companies, strong balance sheet and exceptional reputation, we remain well positioned to grow consistently through acquisitions for many years.

In summary, our teams are doing a good job of managing through the near-term headwinds, leveraging our many opportunities for improvement and building our company for the long term. Now, John will walk you through the quarter in more detail. John?

A bustling warehouse stocked with irrigation supplies, fertilizer, grass seed, ice melt products, pesticides, and landscape accessories.

John Guthrie: Thanks, Doug. I’ll begin on Slide 9 with some highlights from our first quarter results. We reported a net sales increase of 8% to $905 million for the quarter. There were 64 selling days in the first quarter, which is the same as the prior year period. Organic daily sales increased 1% in the first quarter compared to the prior year period as volume growth of 5% more than offset price deflation for commodity products. Consistent with prior quarters, price deflation in the first quarter was driven by commodity products like PVC pipe, which was down 20%, and fertilizer and grass seed, which were down 13% and 15%, respectively. We expect price deflation to be a headwind but moderate through the third quarter of 2024 as we fully lap the price decreases of 2023.

For the full year, fiscal 2024, we now expect price deflation at the high end of our 1% to 2% range. Organic daily sales for agronomic products, which includes fertilizer, control products, ice melt and equipment, increased 10% for the first quarter due to strong volume growth resulting from lower prices, solid end market demand, market share gains, more snow events and an earlier start to spring in many key Northern markets. We saw double-digit volume growth for ice melt equipment, fertilizer and control products, which more than offset the price deflation in many of those same products. Organic daily sales for landscaping products, which includes irrigation, nursery, hardscapes, outdoor lighting and landscape accessories decreased 2% for the first quarter due to lower prices for products like PVC pipe and unfavorable weather in many key construction markets.

Geographically, five out of our nine regions achieved positive organic daily sales growth in the first quarter. We saw double-digit organic sales growth in the Midwest, which benefited from solid demand, less rain and an earlier start to the spring season. Conversely, we saw organic sales declines in Southeast markets due to tough comps and less favorable weather. Acquisition sales, which reflect sales attributable to acquisitions completed in 2023 contributed approximately $62 million or 7% to net sales growth. Scott will provide more details regarding our acquisition strategy later in the call. Gross profit for the first quarter was $301 million, which was an increase of 5% compared to the prior year period. Gross margin decreased 100 basis points to 33.3% primarily due to lower price realization partially offset by the positive impact from acquisitions.

Just as we benefited from a rapid rise in market prices relative to our lower inventory costs on the way up, the drop in market prices relative to our higher inventory cost has created a temporary headwind on the way down. We are managing through the headwind and expect year-over-year gross margin comparisons to improve as we move into the selling season. The first quarter of 2023 should be our toughest gross margin comp for fiscal year 2024. Selling, general and administrative expenses or SG&A increased 12% to $328 million for the first quarter. SG&A as a percentage of net sales increased 140 basis points in the quarter to 36.2%. The increase in both SG&A and SG&A as a percentage of net sales is primarily due to the impact of acquisitions.

Excluding acquisitions, SG&A for our base business increased 2% with most of that increase attributable to an increase in healthcare costs. For the first quarter, we recorded an income tax benefit of approximately $10 million compared to a benefit of approximately $3 million in the prior year period. The effective tax rate was 33.4% for the first quarter of 2024 compared to 37.5% for the prior year period. The change in the effective tax rate was primarily due to an increase in the amount of excess tax benefits from stock-based compensation. Excess tax benefits of $2.3 million were recognized for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $0.8 million for the prior year period. We continue to expect the 2024 fiscal year effective tax rate will be between 25% to 26%, excluding discrete items such as excess tax benefits.

We recorded a net loss of $19.3 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to a net loss of $3.4 million for the prior year period. The net loss was attributable to our higher SG&A and reduced gross margin partially offset by our increase in net sales. Our weighted average diluted share count was 45.3 million compared to 45.0 million for the prior year period. The shares used in the calculation of diluted EPS this quarter do not give any effect to any dilutive securities as inclusion would decrease the net loss per common share. Adjusted EBITDA decreased 47% to $21.1 million for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $39.8 million for the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased 250 basis points to 2.3%. Now I’d like to provide a brief update on our balance sheet and cash flow statement as shown on Slide 10.

Working capital at the end of the first quarter was $910 million compared to $960 million at the end of the prior year period. The decrease in net working capital is primarily attributable to our supply chain initiatives. Inventory turns increased due to an improved replenishment and reduction of excess inventory. Cash used in operations decreased to approximately $99 million in the first quarter compared to approximately $153 million in the prior year period. The decrease in cash used in operations was primarily due to a lower seasonal inventory build resulting from improved replenishment capabilities. We made cash investments of approximately $7 million for the first quarter compared to approximately $40 million for the same quarter in 2023.

The decrease reflects the decline in acquisition investments in the first three months of 2024 compared to the same period of 2023. Net debt at the end of the quarter was approximately $508 million compared to approximately $586 million at the end of the first quarter of 2023. Leverage at the end of the first quarter was 1.3 times our trailing 12 month adjusted EBITDA which was flat with our prior year period. As a reminder, our target year-end net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage range is 1 times to 2 times. At the end of the quarter, we had available liquidity of approximately $539 million, which consisted of approximately $41 million cash on hand and approximately $498 million in available capacity under our ABL facility. I will now turn the call over to Scott for an update on our acquisition strategy.

Scott Salmon: Thanks, John. As shown on Slide 11, we acquired two companies in April for a combined trailing 12-month net sales of approximately $120 million. Since 2014, we have acquired 93 companies with approximately $1.9 billion in trailing 12-month net sales added to SiteOne. Turning to Slide 12 and 13, you will find information on our most recent acquisitions. On April 26, we acquired Eggemeyer, a single-location wholesale distributor of bulk landscape supply. The acquisition of Eggemeyer complements our recent acquisitions of Whittlesey Landscape and Adams Wholesale allowing us to provide bulk landscape supplies to our customers in the high-growth markets of San Antonio and Austin, Texas. On April 30, we acquired a 75% interest in Devil Mountain Wholesale Nursery, a wholesale distributor and grower of nursery products with 14 locations across the state of California.

The addition of Devil Mountain makes SiteOne the leader in wholesale nursery distribution in California and completes our full product line offering for our customers in the state. Devil Mountain is a high-performing company with a terrific team that will help spearhead our nursery growth not only in California but also across the Pacific Northwest and mountain states where we currently have a very low nursery market share. The transaction includes put and call options for the remaining interest in future years. Our acquisitions continue to add terrific talent to SiteOne and move us forward toward our goal of providing a full line of landscape products and services to our customers in all major U.S. and Canadian markets. Summarizing on Slide 14, our acquisition strategy continues to create significant value for SiteOne.

With a strong balance sheet and a robust pipeline across all lines of business and geographies, we are confident that we will be able to continue adding more outstanding companies to SiteOne this year. I want to thank the entire SiteOne team for their passion and commitment to making SiteOne a great place to work and for welcoming the newly acquired teams when they join the SiteOne family. I will now turn the call back to Doug.

Doug Black: Thanks, Scott. I’ll wrap up on Slide 15. With four months of 2024 behind us, our outlook for our end markets has not significantly changed and we expect to continue gaining market share with our strong teams executing our commercial and operational initiatives. In terms of end markets, we continue to expect new residential construction, which comprises 21% of our sales to grow modestly in 2024. Despite higher interest rates, builders are busy and optimistic for the full year capitalizing on the continued shortage of homes and solid home demand. This should produce growth for landscaping products in this end market, especially in the second half. New commercial construction, which represents 14% of our sales has continued to be solid in 2024 and we believe it will remain steady for the full year.

Bidding activity from our project services teams continues to be slightly positive, which is a good indicator of continued demand. Our customer backlogs remain solid and we believe that the commercial end market will be flat to slightly up this year. The repair and upgrade market which represents 31% of our sales continues to be soft but seems to have stabilized at lower levels of demand. Accordingly, we expect repair and upgrade demand to be slightly down this year. Lastly, we have seen strong volume growth in the maintenance category, which represents 34% of our sales. We expect this market to grow in the low single digits in 2024 as contractors and end users take advantage of lower commodity prices and continue to restore application rates from the depressed levels in 2022 and 2023.

In terms of pricing, commodity product deflation has been a bit more persistent this year than we had previously expected resulting in an overall 4% price decline for the first quarter. That said, as John mentioned, we still expect commodity price deflation to moderate in the second half as we lap the price decreases in 2023. Overall, we now expect prices to be down approximately 2% in 2024. This backdrop we still expect our organic daily sales growth to be in the low single digits for the full year 2024 with steady volume growth more than offsetting the 2% expected price decline for the year. We now expect gross margin in 2024 to be similar to 2023 with the negative effect of price deflation offset by our initiatives and the impact of acquisitions.

We expect to achieve SG&A leverage as we drive productivity improvements in the base business more than offsetting the negative impact of higher SG&A in our acquisitions. Accordingly, we expect to improve our full-year adjusted EBITDA margin in 2024. In terms of acquisitions, as Scott mentioned, we have a strong pipeline of high-quality targets and we will continue to add excellent companies to the SiteOne family as we move through the year. With all these factors in mind, we continue to expect our full-year adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2024 to be in the range of $420 million to $455 million. This range does not factor any contribution from unannounced acquisitions. While this does include the positive contribution from the two recent acquisitions, we are continuing to take a conservative approach as we navigate deflationary pressures and an uncertain macroeconomic environment.

In closing, I would like to sincerely thank all our SiteOne associates who continue to amaze me with their passion, commitment, teamwork and selfless service. We have a tremendous team and it is an honor to be joined with them as we deliver increasing value for all our stakeholders. I would like to also thank our suppliers for supporting us so strongly and our customers for allowing us to be their partner. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Ryan Merkel with William Blair. Please go ahead.

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Q&A Session

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Ryan Merkel: Hi, everyone. Good morning. I wanted to start off just getting some context on the first quarter myths relative to the Street. It looks like it’s SG&A and then also price deflation. I’m curious, did you guys expect SG&A as heavy as it was in the first quarter and then put the price deflation in some context because it sounds like it’s only a little worse than you expected? But correct me if I’m wrong on that.

Doug Black: SG&A in general came in where we thought it was going to be for the year when you factor in the acquisitions, as we talked about in our base business, it grew only 2% from that perspective and that was in – we didn’t. As we mentioned, we did have higher health insurance claims. That was a little unexpected, a couple of million dollars or several million dollars there. But in general, I would say SG&A came in largely in line with expectations from us. I think it’s important to remember this is a shoulder quarter. So historically we’re carrying more. We don’t have the sales, obviously, because it was before the spring season. So that kind of makes us – the leverage pretty high, the operating leverage.

John Guthrie: And then in terms of pricing.

Doug Black: Yes.

John Guthrie: The pricing did – the deflation was a little more persistent than we thought it was going to do. We thought it would stair step down a little further in the first quarter and it hasn’t. PVC pipe took another leg down and some of the commodities, but we see that stabilizing now at the lower level. And our forecast, as we start to lap that starting in the second quarter but more in the second half of the year. We still think that will come back positive in the second half. As we noted, we put a range for the full year of 1% to 2%. We now think pricing is going to be down 2%. And that’s – that reflects the more, I guess, persistent deflation that we achieved in the first quarter. And of course that affects gross margin.

And we were up against a tough comp from last year. Last year we were still experiencing inflation. We had the material variance or the price realization working for us in the first quarter last year, of course, that went negative as we went through the year. So you’re not only negative but you’re up against the toughest comp of the year. So those are the factors. So I would say it was a little more – gross margin was affected a little more than we had expected for the full year. We think the overall gross margin will end up being similar to 2023.

Ryan Merkel: Okay. That’s helpful context. When I saw the headline, I was surprised you didn’t lower the full-year guide. But now that you’ve explained that it makes sense. Let me just ask on gross margins then, I think, John, you said it would increase in the selling season. Should we interpret that as 2Q, you should have gross margins flat year over year, maybe up and just speak to the drivers.

John Guthrie: Yes, I think we’ll be much closer to flat than the 100 basis points we saw right this quarter. And I think the primary driver is we’re getting into the selling season even as we went through the quarter when we started getting selling into kind of our normal product lines, gross margins improved. We also would see kind of more of a normal seasonal increase in gross margins. Last year, as we mentioned, Q1 was very high and then Q2, we started to see the impact of deflation hit our gross margins. So this year we’re expecting that to kind of be more normal. And so we’ll be – will be more rather than the 100 basis points we put in this, where it will be closer to flat in the second quarter.

Ryan Merkel: Got it. Appreciate the help. I’ll pass it on.

Operator: The next question comes from David Manthey with Baird. Please go ahead.

David Manthey: Hi, guys. Good morning. On this gross margin issue, this Street had gross margins up 70 basis points in the first quarter. But I believe, John, you told us last quarter it would be lower. So setting that mismodeling issue aside, could you give us a magnitude of just like, how far off relative to your expectations were gross margin? Clearly, the Street had it wrong, but where were they relative to how you were thinking about it?

John Guthrie: We were probably about 30 basis points to 40 basis points lower than we thought. Most of that realized really in the first two months of the year, in January and February from that perspective. But we had it down pretty significantly already in our analysis.

David Manthey: Yes. And speaking of the months, I think you said in January, you were down mid-single digits and then you finished up 1% for the quarter overall, which would imply a slight acceleration through the quarter. Can you make any comment on April trends or anything else, any comp issues we should be thinking about looking ahead?

John Guthrie: Well, looking at April, you know, April actually has started out a little weaker. It’s improved through the month and we like the trend that’s going now. So I think when we look at the full year and how the season’s playing out, we feel good about the volume, that we’re going to get that volume growth that we need for the full year to offset – more than offset the inflation. So we’re still forecasting low single digit organic growth for the year. We feel pretty good about that. Teams are doing a good job. As we noted, we’ll have 2% inflation or deflation for the year and wind up with that low single-digit positive organic growth. So what we see, March and April is the spring season. When we look at those together, we see, we feel pretty good about the year.

David Manthey: Yes, sounds good. thanks a lot guys.

Operator: The next question comes from Damian Karas with UBS. Please go ahead.

Damian Karas: Hi, good morning, everyone.

Doug Black: Good morning.

John Guthrie: Good morning.

Damian Karas: You shared some of your numbers around the PVC and fertilizer price impacts you saw in the first quarter. Could you just give us a sense for thinking about the down two points price expectation for the year entirety. What are you kind of factoring in for the 80% non-commodity product versus the – all the commodities? Could you just kind of break that out for us?

John Guthrie: Yes, well, I don’t have that specific breakout, but what we have done is we’ve taken kind of the price, our current prices in as they are today and known prices – changes that are coming up into the season. And I should say most of the price changes we see for the non-commodity products are already built into that model. So they generally happen once a year. So we take those and we run those out and extend them out based upon volumes for the rest of the year and then do that comparison. We haven’t really seen a lot of large decreases in prices this year other than PVC pipe, fertilizer prices have been relatively stable going into this year when we haven’t seen another down like there from that standpoint. So that’s how we come up with a number with known price changes that are being built into the system and then extend those out for the rest of the year.

Damian Karas: Got it. That makes total sense. And then obviously there’s been a lot of investor questions related to your largest competitor getting acquired by Home Depot. Is it fair to assume that you’re going to see more competition on the M&A front? Maybe you could just more generally share with us your thoughts on that ownership change and how you see it impacting your business.

Doug Black: Yes, no, there’s a lot of questions around that. I’ll just start with SRS which is – owns Heritage, which is our competitor, has been in the market for three or four years and they’ve been very aggressive. They were trying to build a division, trying to build a landscape part of their company and I would – and they were trying to do it quickly. So they’re out in force and have been for several years. And so – and then on the competitive front in terms of organic competition, Heritage is also one of the more aggressive competitors in the market in terms of just being competitive price, et cetera, et cetera. So we’ve been competing against them for several years and we really wouldn’t see that dynamic changing. They’re already on the aggressive end of the spectrum if you will.

On the M&A front, still 80%, 90% of our deals are negotiated. They’re not option situations. We know the owner and they want to join SiteOne and we think we have an advantage there because we’re 100% focused on landscaping and we’re building a great company. Some owners found that to be more attractive and so we’re confident on the M&A side and then on the organic side again, given their kind of nature, we would expect that to continue. Home Depot said they’re going to run them as a standalone. We believe that they’ve got a strong team and they’re going to continue to run the business how they feel it creates the most value. They were owned by strong private equity, they had strong funding before and those supporters and sponsors were heavily – they were creating as much value as they could with the business.

So I think Home Depot will do the exact same thing.

Damian Karas: Really appreciate your thoughts. I’ll pass it along. Thanks.

Operator: The next question comes from Keith Hughes with Truist. Please go ahead.

Keith Hughes: Thank you. Just getting back to the SG&A issue, you talked about getting at least a little bit of leverage, I think, for the year. Would we start to see that in the second quarter? Is there enough – is that enough time to start seeing the leverage or is that more second half of the year issue?

Doug Black: It certainly weighted towards the second half of the year, but we’ll be in a much better position once we get into the selling season where it could be flattish to slightly – some slight leverage in the second quarter.

Keith Hughes: Okay. And then on the SG&A in the quarter, was there any one or two specific deals that drove this pretty significant increase in the period?

Doug Black: Well, the nature of some of the acquisitions that we did, especially, let’s say the Pioneer acquisition added a more seasonal mix to our business. So the answer would be yes. When you take Pioneer and then a couple of the larger deals that we had up in the North, those are heavily weighted toward the profits all happen and the kind of the summer and fall or their later spring season and kind of summer and fall. So, yes, that had an impact. The other impact in the base business was that the healthcare claims, we had some unusual claims that kind of hit and that was $3 million or $4 million in a shoulder quarter that has a bigger effect. So we had a couple of things going on there.

Keith Hughes: Yes. To your point on Pioneers, Pioneer and some of the acquisitions are – you’re a pretty heavy seasonal business. Are they even more seasonal than the rest of SiteOne?

Doug Black: Yes, they would be more seasonal. Yes.

Keith Hughes: Okay. All right. Thank you.

Operator: The next question comes from Mike Dahl with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Mike Dahl: Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. First one, just on the pricing side, Doug, I think you said maybe you saw another step down in some commodities and then I wasn’t clear if you were saying you have already seen signs of bottoming and sequential improvement or that that’s still your expectation in the months ahead. So maybe could you just clarify what you’ve seen on pricing in on a sequential basis kind of into and exiting April?

Doug Black: Yes, we’ve seen it improve on a year-over-year basis in April so far. If we were at 4%, we would be expecting to be closer to a 3% number in Q2 and then 1% to 2% in Q3 and then kind of positive – probably positive pricing in the fourth quarter.

Mike Dahl: And that down 3%. Is that effectively flat sequentially if you’re down 3% year on year?

Doug Black: Yes, I think sequentially it would be flattish from that standpoint. In general, I think the two dynamics here is, one, we’re not seeing as much bottoming this year with regards to deflation. The other dynamic that is going on is we’re not seeing as many price increases from that standpoint. So I think we see a lot of – we saw a lot of suppliers come in with flat to very low single digit price increases which from that standpoint as – and the only thing sequentially we saw really kind of a relatively large decrease in this quarter – relatively significant was in PVC pipe where we did see another leg down.

Mike Dahl: Got it. Okay. And then just shifting gears. I’m sorry to harp on the SG&A side, but it sounds like maybe it was less different versus your expectations than ours or Street expectations. But starting out this way and now you are layering in what seems to be a relatively large deal. It doesn’t seem like the easiest putt to get leverage on SG&A especially if your overall organic sales growth is going to be limited by the pricing side. So is there just – as you think through the year and talk about kind of the leverage that you could generate in 2Q, 3Q. Maybe just elaborate a little more on whether it’s – kind of help us understand the added costs coming through from the incremental M&A or on the base business, other actions that you might be taking to try to control that base business SG&A better?

Doug Black: Yes, well, we have good control on the base business and we’re going to get strong leverage there. We mentioned kind of the healthcare extra cost in the first quarter and costs like that and shoulder quarters make a much bigger difference than they do in the full year. But we know our base business, we can see in sight there for getting significant leverage in our SG&A. And then you’re right, as we layer in acquisitions, we anticipate that but we feel confident that we’re going to cover that and achieve SG&A leverage because of the leverage we’re getting in the base business. And there we’ve taken steps to make our labor more productive. Some of the initiatives that we hit last year, we’re coming into the year with a better base.

We just – the seasonal aspect of our acquisitions moves around. And so I think the first quarter looks worse. Obviously, it overemphasizes the cost when you’re in a shoulder quarter like we were on the first. So we feel good about our ability to overcome the acquisition effect which we have every year and achieve that leverage by the year end.

Mike Dahl: Okay. Thanks, Doug, John.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Matthew Bouley with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Matthew Bouley: Following up on Mike’s question there on OpEx, I guess two parts. Number one is the assumption on the base business SG&A that you would be to hit the guide sort of modeling an outright decline going forward assuming you get past these healthcare issues here from Q1. And then I think Mike had mentioned this, but if you could put a little more color on the Devil Mountain margin profile and how that will play into it as well? Thank you.

John Guthrie: We would expect that the rest of the year on our base business that it would be probably up slightly year over year on a relative to prior year from that perspective. So yes, we do expect rest of the year to be up slightly with regards to base business. Double Mountain, I should say for the full implementation throughout our P&L on Double Mountain is not necessarily fully factored. We have factored in the EBITDA in our guidance, but Double Mountain and the detail how it froze. This is why Doug referenced the base business is not completely factored into both our gross margin or our SG&A discussion since we just got the – closed it yesterday from that perspective.

Doug Black: But the Devil Mountain deal, they’re a high performing. It’s a nursery business. It’s a terrific business. It will run higher SG&A and higher gross margin. Right. So and again many of the acquisitions that we’ve done, as we said run at that – the kind of higher SG&A, higher gross margin, hardscapes and nursery businesses. But it’s a high performer. And we expect it to contribute strongly. We’re excited about it. It not only gives us full coverage of California kind of with one deal but also a leader and a team that can help us expand our nursery into the mountain states, into the Pacific Northwest, which is exciting for us because we have a very low market share in nursery in those territories. And we’re excited that we can get significant organic growth also acquisition growth with Devil Mountain as a platform.

And certainly, they bring a nice profitable business to SiteOne. So we do feel like it’ll help us in 2024. Our guide, as John mentioned, we just did the deal. So we didn’t move our guidance, but we would certainly expect Devil Mountain to be a positive impact on our full-year EBIT, on our full-year profit outcome.

Matthew Bouley: Got it. Okay. That’s helpful. Thank you both for that. And then secondly, just back up to the end markets. I think you mentioned the repair and upgrade side to be slightly down if I heard you correctly. Obviously, there’s been a progression of interest rates here over the past few weeks and maybe a little less recovery potential and existing home turnover, of course. So just any finer point on what you’re seeing with the sort of more discretionary repair and upgrade portion of the landscaping business? Thank you.

Doug Black: Yes, I think the repair and upgrade, what we’ve seen is it kind of stable. It’s at lower levels. Obviously, last year that market was down. Coming into this year, we think it’s been kind of I’ll call it sluggish, but stable. And so – so we feel like it’ll continue to be kind of consistent at low levels. If you do the math, it ends up slightly down, but we don’t see it dropping further. It’s stable at the lower levels, I guess, is how it would sum it up.

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