We recently compiled a list of the 10 Most Oversold Data Center Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ:SMTC) stands against the other oversold data center stocks.
In an AI-driven world, data centers have become more critical than ever. While many people have heard of data centers, few fully understand what they entail. Simply put, a data center is a physical facility that houses an organization’s digital infrastructure, including servers, storage systems, and networking equipment. These facilities provide the computing power necessary for IT systems to function, serving as the backbone of modern digital infrastructure. They are essential to powering cloud computing, AI applications, and enterprise IT services.
With the rapid expansion of AI and high-performance computing, data centers have experienced exponential growth, a trend expected to continue for years. According to a February 5 report by the Dell’Oro Group, global annual data center capital expenditure (capex) is projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2029. Despite ongoing concerns about high power consumption, investment in AI infrastructure remains on a strong upward trajectory. Baron Fung, Senior Research Director at Dell’Oro Group, emphasizes this point:
“While AI spending has yet to yield the expected returns and efficiency improvements, long-term growth remains assured, driven by hyperscalers’ multi-year capex cycles and government initiatives such as the $500 billion Stargate Project. Although recent advancements in AI model training efficiency from DeepSeek have been disruptive, efforts to enhance efficiency and reduce the total cost of ownership in AI data centers have been underway for some time. Key areas of focus include advancements in accelerated computing through GPUs and custom accelerators, large language model (LLM) optimizations, and next-generation rack-scale and network infrastructure—all essential for enabling sustainable growth from both cost and power perspectives.”
A key challenge facing the industry was highlighted in KPMG’s “Data Center Supply Chain” report published in November 2024. The report warns of the sector’s heavy reliance on a small group of suppliers and contractors, which, despite improvements in procurement and operations, poses risks to capacity expansion, costs, innovation, and resilience—especially as demand accelerates. KPMG cautions that failure to address these vulnerabilities could destabilize the ecosystem. To mitigate these risks, the report recommends diversifying the supply chain by encouraging new market entrants and reducing dependence on a handful of general, mechanical, and electrical subcontractors.
In summary, while the data center industry is fundamental to technological progress, it is still evolving and adapting to shifting economic and demand dynamics. There is enough scope for more players to offer new and innovative solutions to support the technological advancements. The surging demand for data center facilities has attracted substantial investments from private equity and infrastructure funds, reinforcing expectations of resilient long-term growth. As a result, the data center sector remains a highly attractive space for investors.
Our Methodology
To determine the 10 most year-to-date (YTD) oversold data center stocks to Buy, we conducted in-depth research to compile a list of U.S.-listed data center companies. Our process involved analyzing relevant exchange-traded funds (ETFs), research reports, and proprietary databases to identify key industry players. We then calculated YTD returns for all identified companies and shortlisted the 10 worst-performing stocks. These were then ranked based on their potential upside, with the highest-upside stock at the top. Additionally, we also included data on hedge fund holdings in these companies as of Q4 2024 to provide further insight into investor interest.
Note: All pricing data is as of market close on February 24.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
A technician looking at a circuit board of analog semiconductor products.
Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ:SMTC)
YTD returns: -41%
Potential Upside: 85%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 57
Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ:SMTC) is a semiconductor company specializing in the design and manufacturing of high-performance analog and mixed-signal chips for data centers, IoT, and communications infrastructure. Its product portfolio includes optical networking chips, signal integrity solutions, and power management ICs, all aimed at enhancing data center efficiency and enabling high-speed connectivity.
After surging 182% in 2024, Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ:SMTC) has seen its stock decline by approximately 41% in 2025. The most significant drop occurred on Monday, February 10, when shares plummeted 43% following the company’s downward revision of its guidance for CopperEdge products. Previously, Semtech had projected net sales of at least $50 million from its CopperEdge solutions used in active copper cables but revised expectations downward due to changes in rack architecture by a major customer.
According to a MarketWatch report citing Benchmark analyst Cody Acree, that customer is believed to be Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA), which may be scaling back support for a particular server rack configuration amid the development of a new processing unit designed to address heating concerns. Despite the sharp stock decline, the analyst maintained a Buy rating, viewing the sell-off as an overreaction and considering ample opportunities in rest of the portfolio.
Several analysts continue to hold a favorable outlook on Semtech despite the Nvidia-related setback. B. Riley analyst Craig Ellis reaffirmed his Buy rating with a $68 price target, while Craig Hallum analyst Anthony Stoss also maintained a Buy rating, setting a target of $70. Market consensus still suggests a potential upside of 85%.
Overall SMTC ranks 1st on our list of the most oversold data center stocks according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of SMTC as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than SMTC but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.