We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Canadian Stocks To Buy According to Wall Street Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) stands against the other Canadian stocks.
In the ever-evolving landscape of investment opportunities, keeping an eye on the broader economic environment can be as crucial as analyzing individual stocks. As we delve into the best Canadian stocks to buy, it’s important to consider the country’s current economic outlook. Canada’s economic environment reveals a complex mix of challenges and potential opportunities. The global economy is still reeling from historically high inflation, which has triggered the most aggressive monetary tightening in decades. While the U.S. economy has demonstrated an unexpected resilience, balancing robust growth with moderating inflation, Canada’s situation requires closer scrutiny. The Canadian economy, though strong in many respects, is particularly sensitive to interest rates. High levels of household debt and relatively short mortgage terms amplify the effects of rising interest rates, making Canadian consumers and businesses more vulnerable compared to their U.S. counterparts. Nevertheless, the latter part of 2023 showed unexpected economic strength, buoyed by record immigration and positive spillover from a resilient U.S. economy, leading to a significant easing of recession fears in Canada.
Yet, the Canadian economy is not entirely out of the woods. Growth is anticipated to remain below trend in 2024, with the Bank of Canada forecasting a modest GDP increase of 1.25% to 1.5%. This slowdown is partially attributed to Canada’s distinct economic vulnerabilities. For instance, productivity growth has been alarmingly weak, with Canada’s senior deputy governor labeling it as an “emergency”. This decline is largely due to insufficient business investment in key areas such as equipment and intellectual property, compounded by limited competition in essential sectors like telecommunications and banking. On a positive note, this slower growth is expected to ease inflationary pressures. Headline inflation has been gradually decreasing, and core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is moving closer to the Bank of Canada’s target range. This scenario provides the Bank with some flexibility, with expectations for a 50-75 basis point reduction in interest rates later this year.
Despite strong job creation, particularly a notable surge in April 2024, employment growth of 2.0% over the past year has not kept pace with the 3.4% rise in population. This disparity has pushed the unemployment rate up by nearly a full percentage point to 6.2%, and it is projected to remain high through the rest of this year before beginning to decline in 2025. Wage growth, which averaged 5.3% in 2023, has decelerated to 3.9% (annualized) in the first quarter of 2024. With inflation pressures easing, this slower wage growth is expected to continue through 2024 and into the following year. Although the Bank of Canada’s decision to cut its policy rate is a step in the right direction, Canadian households remain the most indebted in the G7. The interest rate hikes since 2022 have strained household finances, resulting in a decline in real consumer spending per capita over five of the last seven quarters as more income is diverted towards servicing mortgage and loan interest payments.
The housing market has felt these effects more acutely. Real residential investment per capita dropped by 22.8% in the first quarter of 2024 compared to two years earlier. Looking forward, consumer spending and residential investment are expected to recover as lower interest rates stimulate demand. However, with low consumer confidence, hesitation to make significant purchases, ongoing housing affordability issues, and elevated savings rates, the pace of recovery in the latter half of 2024 is likely to be slow. Deloitte forecasts that more substantial improvements in consumption and residential investment will occur next year as confidence improves. Overall, Canada’s economy performed better in the first half of 2024 than expected, but this strength is projected to be counterbalanced by slower real GDP growth in the latter part of the year due to reduced household spending. The updated forecast anticipates real GDP growth of 1.2% for 2024, accelerating to 2.6% in 2025. On a per-capita basis, real GDP is expected to decline by 1.6% this year before rebounding to 1.1% growth in 2025.
For investors looking to capitalize on these evolving conditions, understanding the underlying economic indicators and trends is essential. With this context, we now turn to a detailed examination of the best Canadian stocks to buy according to Wall Street analysts.
Our Methodology
For this article we first used a stock screener to identify Canadian stocks that analysts see material upside to, as of September 9. From this list we chose 10 stocks that have the highest upside potential from their current price based on average analyst price targets.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A closeup view of a large gold mine, illustrating the company’s gold properties.
Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA)
Upside Potential: 142%
Average Analyst Share Price Target: $39.04
Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) stands at number five on our list of ten best Canadian stocks to buy according to wall street analysts. Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA), headquartered in Toronto, Canada, focuses on acquiring and exploring gold properties, with key projects including the Kerr-Sulphurets-Mitchel (KSM) in British Columbia, Courageous Lake, Iskut, and 3 Aces. Its flagship project, KSM, achieved a significant milestone in July 2024 when it received the “substantially started” designation from the BC Government, solidifying its environmental assessment certificate and ensuring its long-term viability. This is a crucial step for Seabridge as it advances the KSM project, which is expected to be a major copper and gold producer. Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) is also actively exploring the Iskut and 3 Aces projects, with a $12 million drill program at Iskut and a $6 million exploration initiative at 3 Aces. Both projects show strong potential for copper-gold porphyry systems, with recent discoveries supporting further resource expansion. At Iskut, the first mineral resource estimate for the Bronson deposit reveals an impressive 5.4 million ounces of gold and 1.06 billion pounds of copper.
Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) commitment to sustainability is evident in its 2023 report, highlighting progress in environmental compliance, indigenous partnerships, and safety. The company aims to lead in low-carbon copper production at KSM, while maintaining strong community ties and a focus on decarbonization. Financially, Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) reported a net profit of $45.2 million for Q2 2024, driven by gains from its secured note liabilities. With solid working capital and ongoing exploration, Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) is well-positioned for growth, making it an attractive stock for investors seeking exposure to the gold and copper markets.
Old West Management made the following comment about Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) in its Q4 2022 investor letter:
“Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) was founded by current chairman and CEO Rudi Fronk in 1999. To say Seabridge is Fronk’s life work would be accurate. Fronk, who has two degrees in mining and minerals, is a top shareholder of the company. Seabridge owns the KSM project in northwestern British Colombia. KSM has proven and probable reserves of 47 million ounces of gold and 7 billion pounds of copper. Seabridge also owns attractive deposits in Nevada and Northwest territories of Canada, although much smaller than KSM. The average grade of KSM’s gold deposit is less than one gram per ton, but there is good accessibility to the site, and it is in the safe jurisdiction of mining friendly Canada.
Seabridge’s market cap is C $1.5 billion, they have no long term debt and C $200 million cash. They have been burning C $75 million of cash per year. The company is openly looking to partner with a major miner to develop their properties.”
Overall SA ranks 5th on our list of the best Canadian stocks to buy according to Wall Street Analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of SA to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than SA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.