1. Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 63
Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth: 59
Forward Dividend Yield: 1.46%
Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) is one of the most recognizable brand names in the United States. The company has matched that brand quality with a stellar dividend history going back almost six decades. Investment bank Morgan Stanley recently termed the stock as a top pick in the Overweight ratings section. It gave the stock a price target of $240. Analyst Simeon Gutman is covering the stock.
Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) declared a quarterly dividend of $0.80 per share in late August, in line with previous. The company has recently assured shareholders that supply chain issues are getting better and that the firm is in a much better spot than earlier this year.
At the end of the second quarter of 2021, 63 hedge funds in the database of Insider Monkey held stakes worth $4.9 billion in Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW), up from 61 the preceding quarter worth $5.1 billion.
In its Q2 2021 investor letter, Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd., an asset management firm, highlighted a few stocks and Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:LOW) was one of them. Here is what the fund said:
“Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, Lowe’s has experienced a signifi cant acceleration in demand driven by consumers nesting at home, higher home asset utilization and the reallocation of discretionary spend. In the three years since Marvin Ellison became CEO, the company has executed a multi-year transformation plan to bolster Lowe’s retail fundamentals, reduce structural costs, expand distribution capabilities, and modernize systems and the company’s online capabilities. This transformation has allowed Lowe’s to meet consumers’ needs during this highly elevated period of demand, and positioned the company for continued success and accelerated earnings growth.
In the second quarter, Lowe’s reported U.S. same-store-sales growth of 2.2%. Growth was bolstered by strength from the critical Pro consumer, where Lowe’s reported growth of 21%, off setting moderating do-it-yourself (“DIY”) demand. While DIY demand has receded from peak-COVID-19 periods, Pro customer demand has accelerated as consumers engage Pro’s for larger renovation projects.
Notwithstanding the headline growth fi gure, which is impacted by comparisons to COVID-19-aff ected months from spring of 2020, demand remains extremely elevated relative to baseline 2019 levels. July same-store-sales, the most recent full month for which the company has provided disclosure, were up 31.5% on a two-year basis and management indicated August month-to-date results are substantially similar. More signifi cantly, Lowe’s reported Pro growth of +49% on a two-year basis in Q2, evidence that Lowe’s focus on the Pro is bearing fruit. Share gains with the critical Pro customer will provide a tailwind to growth that should allow Lowe’s to outperform market-level growth going forward.
Even as the robust demand experienced during the height of COVID-19 stabilizes at a new base, the medium and longer-term macro environment remain very attractive for the home improvement sector and Lowe’s in particular. This favorable context for the sector is evidenced by consumers’ enhanced focus and appreciation of the importance of the home, higher home asset utilization, rising home prices, historically low mortgage rates, an aging housing stock, strong consumer balance sheets, and the general lack of new housing inventory.
Against this backdrop, Lowe’s is focused on taking market share and expanding margins. Pro penetration today is still only 25% of revenue as compared to Lowe’s medium-term target of 30% to 35%, providing a runway for continued abovemarket growth. Management continues to execute against various operational initiatives (Lowe’s “Perpetual Productivity Improvement” program) designed to improve the customer experience while enhancing the company’s margins and longterm earnings power. The company’s long-term outlook implies signifi cant opportunity for continued margin expansion and earnings appreciation as it executes its business transformation.
Lowe’s currently trades at approximately 17 times forward earnings. Home Depot, its closest competitor, trades at approximately 22 times forward earnings despite Lowe’s superior prospective earnings growth. We find this valuation disparity to be anomalous in light of Lowe’s strong execution and potential for further operational optimization.”
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