We recently published a list of 13 Most Profitable Real Estate Stocks Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Realty Income Corporation (NYSE:O) stands against the other most profitable real estate stocks now.
Real Estate and the Aftermath of the Fed Rate Cut
As reported by Redfin, buying a home has gotten affordable for the first time since 2020 as homebuyers need to earn $115,000 to afford the typical home. While Senior Economist Elijah de la Campa thinks this could be a good time to buy a home with housing affordability improving for the first time in four years, he thinks the market won’t be cheaper in the near future. This is because the Fed’s recent rate cut and the following rate cut plans have already been priced into the mortgage rates since they were highly anticipated.
Another optimistic news for homebuyers on the sidelines was the housing payments witnessing the biggest decline in 4 years ahead of the Fed’s historic rate cut. These payments have gone down by almost $300 from April’s all-time high. The median housing payment was reported to be $2,534 during the four weeks ending September 15, down 2.7% year-over-year. With lower mortgage rates and less inventory, the housing market is still unaffordable for many but it is as good as it gets in the words of Orphe Divounguy, Zillow’s senior economist.
Regarding the aforementioned optimism for homebuyers, Robert Reffkin, Compass founder and CEO, stated that homebuyers are much more active than they were before. In his opinion, consumers react more to the change in mortgage rates rather than the absolute rate itself. He told CNBC that buyers now know not to take a relatively lower rate for granted after being through a period of elevated mortgage rates. Meanwhile, the major issue has been the lock-in effect during the preceding 2 years since 75% of the homeowners were locked into 4% mortgage rates or below, a percentage which is now approaching 50%. With declining mortgage rates, he expects the lock-in effect to drop and the housing inventory to grow.
With the declining mortgage rates, refinancings have surged. Mortgage applications hit the highest levels since July 2022 as the rates dropped. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, applications to refinance or purchase a home in the week that ended September 20 increased 11% week-over-week while the refinancing applications climbed 20% during the period. This marks the 2nd consecutive week of double-digit gains in applications. Overall, the refinance activity is still modest with seasonally slow homebuying complemented with high home prices and a shortage of inventory.
Our Methodology:
In order to compile a list of the 13 most profitable real estate stocks, we created an initial list of 30 companies with the biggest market caps. Moving on, we screened out those companies that had a positive net income in the last twelve months and had grown their net income positively over the past 5 years. For the 5-year net income growth, we have considered the compound annual growth rates on a TTM basis. Finally, we ranked the shortlisted companies in ascending order of their hedge funds, as of Q2 2024.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A modern city skyline with a REIT retail building at the center to symbolize the company’s reach.
Realty Income Corporation (NYSE:O)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 19
5 Year Net Income Growth: 16.67%
Realty Income Corporation (NYSE:O) serves as a real estate partner to leading firms. The company was founded in 1969 and invests in diversified commercial real estate. As of June 30, the company owned or held interests in 15,450 properties in all 50 US states, the U.K., and six other countries in Europe.
Realty Income Corporation (NYSE:O) is one of the largest REITs with a growing international presence. Its 55 years of operating history and 15,450 commercial real estate properties define its scale and size. Its real estate portfolio stands diversified spanning 1,551 clients and 90 industries. The growth potential of the firm is vast with a $5.4 trillion total addressable market in the US and an attractive growth avenue with limited direct competition in Europe. Furthermore, it has delivered nearly 5% AFFO growth in both higher and lower interest rate environments.
With a 5% median AFFO per share growth since 1996 and 27 of 28 years of positive earnings per share growth, the stability and growth of the firm is evident. The company is positioned for further growth with an estimated global net lease addressable market of approximately $14 trillion. The established portfolio of commercial real estate has historically provided dependable rental revenue supporting the payment of monthly dividends. The firm has a strong dividend track record with 29 consecutive years of rising dividends.
During the second quarter, the firm’s AFFO per share increased 6.0% to $1.06 as compared to the prior year period. With a portfolio of leading clients, a strong liquidity position, as well as a stable and growing cash flow, Realty Income Corporation (NYSE:O) is set to continue the business momentum through 2024.
Realty Income Corporation (NYSE:O) benefits from the structural advantage as investment spreads persist even with rising interest rates, something that is not a significant earnings headwind to the net lease business model. Thus, Realty Income Corporation is another profitable and promising real estate stock now.
Overall O ranks 13th on our list of most profitable real estate stocks now. While we acknowledge the potential of O as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than O but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
