Obesity is a growing pandemic for many industrialized nations, especially in the U.S., where it now affects almost 36% of adults and 17% of adolescents. As with any sweeping problem, there are many ways to attack obesity. One new approach is through weight-loss pills that have successfully completed the regulatory gauntlet of clinical trials and scientific panels. In the last year alone, the Food and Drug Administration approved Belviq from Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARNA) and Qsymia from VIVUS, Inc. (NASDAQ:VVUS). Both drugs work by suppressing the appetite and have demonstrated their effectiveness and safety in clinical trials.
Unfortunately, doctors have not been knocking down the doors to prescribe Qsymia, and I foresee a similar slow start for Belviq when it launches this June. This wasn’t unexpected for the new treatments, but over time the prospects should brighten. Market research performed by Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:OREX) suggests that obesity prescriptions could grow 300% to 400% in the next five years from just 7.8 million in 2012. Given the obesity market’s ability to support multiple blockbusters, investors may be wondering what other weight-loss therapies are being developed elsewhere in the industry. Here are three compounds in the pipeline that could become the future of the fight against obesity.
Contrave (bupropion and naltrexone)
After completing four phase 3 trials, Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:OREX) submitted a New Drug Application for Contrave in March 2010. An advisory committee voted 13 to seven in favor of the drug and 11 to eight that a cardiovascular study be completed post-approval rather than pre-approval. Despite the vote, the FDA issued a complete response letter in Jan. 2011 requesting the additional safety study be performed as a requirement for approval. Thus, Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:OREX) and its investors have been forced to wait several years.
The cardiovascular study, named the Light Study, is now under way with 8,900 patients. Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:OREX) believes Contrave could be resubmitted with the additional safety data by the end of 2013 or early 2014 with approval occurring shortly thereafter. While investors wait for the drug to be proven safe, there is no questioning its effectiveness. The drug was shown to be three times more effective than placebo in helping patients lose at least 5% of their body weight.
Empatic (bupropion and zonisamide)
Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:OREX) is also responsible for developing the drug Empatic (Think the company is sold on the potential of the obesity market?) Similar to Contrave, Empatic is a polytherapy, or combination of multiple drugs. The company completed a phase 2b trial that met its primary efficacy endpoint and was proven more effective than combinations of either drug plus placebo.
The good news is that the FDA won’t require a cardiovascular safety trial for Empatic if phase 3 data are comparable to data from Contrave’s trials. That would allow Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:OREX) to save much-needed cash and speed Empatic’s time to the market as long as other problems don’t arise. The bad news is that the phase 2b trial was completed in Sept. 2009 and phase 3 trials have yet to begin. The company is actively searching for a developmental and commercial partner before proceeding with late-stage studies.