Miller/Howard Investments: “We Expect PPL Corp. (PPL) to Rerate Toward US Peers”

Miller/Howard Investments, an investment management firm, published its  first quarter 2021 investor letter – a copy of which can be downloaded here. Miller/Howard’s Infrastructure Strategy remains well-positioned to capitalize on momentum toward value and income stocks. The strategy has a yield over twice that of the S&P 500 and is trading well-below the broader market’s EV/EBITDA. You can view the fund’s top 5 holdings to have a peek at their top bets for 2021.

Miller/Howard Investments, in its Q1 2021 investor letter, mentioned PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL), and shared their insights on the company. PPL Corporation is an Allentown, Pennsylvania-based energy company that currently has a $22.1 billion market capitalization. Since the beginning of the year, PPL delivered a 2.15% return, extending its 12-month gains to 7.16%. As of June 16, 2021, the stock closed at $28.68 per share.

Here is what Miller/Howard Investments has to say about PPL Corporation in its Q1 2021 investor letter:

PPL Corp. (PPL) announced the sale of its UK utility business to National Grid (NGG). In a separate transaction, PPL acquired NGG’s Rhode Island utility business. Once the dust settles, we expect PPL to rerate toward US peers.”

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Our calculations show that PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL) does not belong in our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As of the end of the first quarter of 2021, PPL Corporation was in 25 hedge fund portfolios, compared to 21 funds in the fourth quarter of 2020. PPL delivered a -2.98% return in the past 3 months.

Hedge funds’ reputation as shrewd investors has been tarnished in the last decade as their hedged returns couldn’t keep up with the unhedged returns of the market indices. Our research has shown that hedge funds’ small-cap stock picks managed to beat the market by double digits annually between 1999 and 2016, but the margin of outperformance has been declining in recent years. Nevertheless, we were still able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that outperformed the S&P 500 ETFs by 115 percentage points since March 2017 (see the details here). We were also able to identify in advance a select group of hedge fund holdings that underperformed the market by 10 percentage points annually between 2006 and 2017. Interestingly the margin of underperformance of these stocks has been increasing in recent years. Investors who are long the market and short these stocks would have returned more than 27% annually between 2015 and 2017. We have been tracking and sharing the list of these stocks since February 2017 in our quarterly newsletter.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.