MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MOFG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MOFG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript October 25, 2024

Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. During today’s presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, the conference will be open for questions with instructions to follow at that time. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I would now like to pass the call over to Barry Ray, Chief Financial Officer of MidWestOne Financial Group. Thank you. You may proceed, Barry.

Barry Ray: Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. We appreciate your participation in our earnings conference call this morning. With me here on the call are Chip Reeves, our Chief Executive Officer; Len Devaisher, our President and Chief Operating Officer; and Gary Sims, our Chief Credit Officer. Following the concludion of today’s conference, a replay of this call will be available on our website. Additionally, a slide deck to complement today’s presentation is available on the Investor Relations section of our website. Before we begin, let me remind everyone on the call that this presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the financial condition, results of operations and business of MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc.

Forward-looking statements generally include words such as believes, expects, anticipates and other similar expressions. Actual results could differ materially from those indicated. Among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are interest rates, changes in the mix of the company’s business, competitive pressures, general economic conditions and the risk factors detailed in the company’s periodic reports and registration statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. I would now like to turn the call over to Chip.

Charles Reeves: Thank you, Barry. Good morning and we truly appreciate everyone joining us for this quarter’s call. Today, I’ll provide a high-level overview of our common equity capital raise and balance sheet repositioning as well as highlights regarding our continued strategic initiatives execution. Len will provide an update on our lines of business and Barry will conclude with a more detailed review of the capital raise and our third quarter financial results. We are very pleased with the market receptivity for our common equity offering, which was increased to around $109 million and with the overallotment being executed quickly resulted in an almost $125 million gross capital raised. The offering was three times oversubscribed by an outstanding mix of existing and new shareholders.

We immediately commenced with the sale of $1 billion in debt securities with the resulting proceeds utilized to pay off high-cost borrowings and purchase higher-yielding securities. The financial metric results of the transaction exceeded our communicated expectations. Our capital levels are now higher and critically of higher quality and our future profitability will be dramatically increased. Turning to the continued execution of our strategic initiatives. Our deposit franchise showed its strength as deposit costs increased minimally aided by our treasury management focus, which delivered 4% linked-quarter noninterest-bearing deposit growth. Commercial Banking led our loan growth, which grew a solid 4% annualized. Asset quality continued to improve and our SBA lending initiative had its best quarter to date.

Importantly, due to low price loan growth, repricing opportunities and the aforementioned controlled deposit costs, our tax equivalent net interest margin expanded an additional 10 basis points in the quarter, leading to a 3% quarterly increase in our net interest income. During the quarter, we continued our talent and platform investments while maintaining our expense discipline. We continue to fund the majority of these investments by reallocating expense reductions into more productive and profitable people, markets and departments. To conclude, over the last two years, we’ve transformed MidWestOne, positioning the bank to become a consistent, high-performing company. I’d like to thank our team for their continued customer focus and the extreme execution of our initiatives.

Now I’d like to turn the call to Len.

Len Devaisher: Thank you, Chip. Let’s start by talking about the ultimate driver of franchise value, our strong funding base. While the total deposits declined $43.7 million in the third quarter, we are pleased with improvements in deposit mix, including core deposits, which increased $40.5 million and noninterest-bearing deposits, which increased $35.2 million. This improving mix has shown up in the cost of interest-bearing deposits, which increased nine basis points from the first to the second quarter and only increased four basis points from the second quarter to the third quarter. Particularly in our Iowa footprint, we’ve seen some very aggressive pricing in public funds time deposits. And so we have chosen to let those funds flow out while concentrating our deposit efforts on core customer relationships.

Our consumer and commercial deposits are up year-over-year. And year-to-date, we’ve organically generated over 1,200 net new accounts in our consumer and commercial segments. The growth in noninterest-bearing balances in the third quarter has been propelled by our commercial segment deposits, which were up $47.3 million. In our strategic plan, we have described our focus on accelerating our treasury management business and C&I banking. These efforts are bearing fruit. In fact, year-to-date, treasury management fee income is up 11% year-over-year, which reflects considerable acceleration from the 6.3% gain we saw and talked about last quarter. Speaking of C&I, let’s talk about our loan portfolio. As Slide 6 highlights, C&I growth in the third quarter was 11% and CRE growth was 3%.

A person using an electronic device to view the company's banking services online.

The commercial loan growth is centered in our Denver and Twin Cities markets, again, as highlighted in our strategic plan focus areas. Total loan growth was modest at 1% in the third quarter. While consumer declined in the quarter, total commercial balances grew 5.9% on a linked-quarter annualized basis. Importantly, as Slide 8 shows, nonperforming assets declined $5.7 million, representing the second consecutive quarter of declines in this category. Commercial loan balances, excluding substandard loans increased at 6.9% on a linked-quarter annualized basis. Our strategic plan talks about commercial and treasury management, as we’ve discussed, and it also references fee income drivers. Our government guarantee SBA business generated $574,000 in gain on sale income in the third quarter.

As Slide 10 shows, Wealth management continues to be a strong contributor with assets under management up quarter-over-quarter, while fee income was down 3% from the linked-quarter, it remains up 15% year-over-year. We are pleased to welcome a new wealth adviser in the Twin Cities and a new private banker in Denver as we continue to build out the platform. You’ll note this is our second consecutive quarter of adding wealth producers. With that, I’m pleased to turn the call over to Barry.

Barry Ray: Thank you, Len. I’ll start by providing a few more details on both the common equity capital raise that we completed on September 30th, and the subsequent balance sheet repositioning that was completed earlier this month. With respect to the capital raise, including the overallotment, we issued 4,999,050 common shares at a public offering price before underwriting discount and expenses of $25 per share. Net proceeds to the company were $118.6 million. On September 30th, we invested all of those net proceeds into the bank subsidiary in anticipation of the repositioning. Though the security sales themselves did not occur until after quarter end, our intent on September 30th was to liquidate a large portion of the portfolio, including certain securities classified as held to maturity.

Accordingly, accounting rules require us to one, reclassify all securities previously classified as held to maturity to available for sale and two, recognize an earnings to the impairment related to the securities to be sold. Hence, the $140.4 million of impairment in the third quarter that drove the net loss for the period. Beginning October 1st, we commenced the balance sheet repositioning, which we completed on October 9th. Over that period, we sold $1 billion of securities, primarily corporates, munis and CMOs that had a book yield of 1.58%. Proceeds from the sales were used to pay in full our $418.7 million of Federal Reserve Bank term funding program borrowings, including accrued interest that were costing 4.77% and to purchase $590 million of Agency CMO and pass-through securities yielding 4.65%.

We estimate the earnings breakeven period on the transaction is 4.5 years, which is well short of the 5.5 year weighted average life of the securities sold. The reinvestment mix focused on securities providing predictable, stable cash flow and earnings profiles, minimal credit risk and optimal liquidity. For reference, we include Slide 13 in the accompanying presentation materials to provide a before and after summary of our debt securities portfolio volume, mix, yield and duration. We expect the capital raise and balance sheet repositioning will immediately add about 70 basis points to our net interest margin and be about a $35 million boost to annualized net interest income. Transitioning to the balance sheet. Len covered the loan and deposit changes, so I’ll touch on equity, which increased $19 million from June 30th, 2024, to $562.2 million, due primarily to the additional common stock and surplus from the capital raise, partially offset by a decrease in retained earnings driven by the securities impairment.

The tangible common equity ratio was 7.22% on September 30th, 2024, up 34 basis points from June 30th, 2024, as tangible equity growth outpaced tangible asset growth. Turning to the income statement. On Slide 14, we reported a net loss of $95.7 million or $6.05 per common share. Adjusted earnings, which exclude net investment securities losses, mortgage servicing rights adjustment and merger-related costs were $9.1 million or $0.58 per common share. Net interest income increased $1.2 million in the third quarter to $37.5 million as compared to the linked-quarter, due primarily to higher earning asset yields and lower funding volumes partially offset by lower earning asset volumes and higher funding costs. Loan interest income in the third quarter of 2024 included $1.4 million of loan purchase discount accretion compared to $1.3 million in the linked-quarter.

Our tax equivalent net interest margin increased 10 basis points to 2.51% in the third quarter compared to 2.41% in the linked-quarter as earning asset yields increased while funding costs were relatively flat. The average loan portfolio yield for the third quarter was 5.86%, a 17 basis point improvement from the linked-quarter, while the average yield on new loan originations during the third quarter were 7.58%. On the liability side, total deposit costs increased three basis points from the linked-quarter to 2.14%. Noninterest income in the third quarter of 2024 was a loss of $130.4 million due to the securities impairment. Adjusting for securities gains and losses, mortgage servicing right valuations and second quarter’s gain on the Florida branch sales, noninterest income was up $600,000 from the linked-quarter due to improved quarter-over-quarter SBA gain on sale performance of $360,000 as well as a $200,000 BOLI death benefit recognized during the third quarter.

Finishing with expenses. Total noninterest expense of $35.8 million in the third quarter was flat from the linked-quarter. Expenses in the third quarter included a $1.2 million fraud loss from a single incident and compared to linked-quarter, an additional $200,000 of costs related to foreclosed assets. Expense control remains a focus of our management team, and we continue to be pleased with our execution. And with that, I’ll turn it back to the operator to open the line for questions.

Operator: Of course. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Brendan Nosal with Hovde Group. Your line is now open.

Q&A Session

Follow Midwestone Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MOFG)

Brendan Nosal: Hey, good morning, folks. Hope you’re doing well.

Charles Reeves: Hi, Brandon.

Barry Ray: Hi, Brandon.

Brendan Nosal: Just to start off here on the pro forma balance sheet. Could you help us understand how the new sheet is positioned for additional Fed cuts over seemingly in the next 15 months or so. I mean it certainly seems like the sheet should be less liability sensitive than it was, but wondering if there’s the potential for additional margin improvement across ’25 from the new base that you’ve established with the suite of transactions? Thanks.

Barry Ray: Yes, Brendan. Certainly, we believe that there is opportunity for continued margin expansion based upon what we’re seeing or expecting with respect to the yield curve, i.e., the front end of the curve coming down and maybe getting some positive slope in the curve. So, yes, we expect that would be a good thing for us as well as all banks. Just from the standpoint if it would be — okay, great.

Brendan Nosal: Please finish with that, Barry.

Barry Ray: I was just going to say from a parallel rate shift, Brendan, we model a little bit more asset — a little bit more asset-sensitive because of the transaction, for example, paying off the bank term funding program, which was a short-term liability.

Brendan Nosal: That makes sense. Okay. Maybe just moving on to the wealth business, I mean, it looks like AUM was up quite nicely for the quarter, 2% plus sequentially, but the fees were down a little bit sequentially, implying like a bit of a lower fee capture rate on that AUM base. Just curious if there’s anything episodic in this quarter’s number or anything that’s worth calling out? Thanks.

Len Devaisher: Yes, Brendan, this is Len. So as you think about the wealth business, there’s the two pieces, right? So you think about our shop with our private wealth business as well as the trust services and you think about the Investment Services business. So Private Wealth and Investment Services has a component that’s just the straight AUM. Think of it as ongoing recurring fee as a percentage of assets. The trust business has some more episodic revenue relative to estate fees and those kinds of onetime transactions. And then finally, the Investment Services business we have seen an increased interest in annuities given the rate environment and rate outlook, and that also has some more lumpiness to it. So that’s what you’re seeing.

Brendan Nosal: Okay. That’s helpful. One more for me before I step back. Just looking at your growth markets in Denver and the Twin Cities. Just curious, of those 2 markets, where are you seeing the better opportunities today? And which product sets are you having the most success with in each of those markets.

Len Devaisher: That’s like asking me to pick my favorite child. So I don’t know if I can — where I see because I see robust opportunities for us in both places. What I would say is, as I think about the third quarter in both places. The growth is C&I-driven. And so, and in both of those, that’s one of the things we talked about being focused on and we’re seeing traction there and we feel pleased from a CRE perspective, we’re starting to see some more interest in that piece of the pipeline, and we feel really good about where we are in terms of our CRE, non-owner occupied capital, so that we can continue to support customers when the deal fits and makes sense.

Brendan Nosal: All right. Well, thank you for taking the questions. Appreciate it.

Len Devaisher: Thanks, Brendan.

Barry Ray: Thanks, Brendan.

Operator: Thank you for your question. Our next question comes from the line of Terry McEvoy with Stephens. Your line is now open.

Terry McEvoy: Thanks. Good morning, everybody. Maybe just start with Barry, your thoughts on the 4Q expenses ex the fraud item. And then when you think about 2025, the investment in people and technology, how are you thinking about expenses next year as well?

Barry Ray: Yes. I’ve got to said about $34.5 million for the third quarter, Terry, to take out the fraud and the merger-related costs. And I think that feels like a reasonable run rate for the fourth quarter. If we look into 2025, I think we’re probably in the mid-$140 million for 2025 for the year, Terry, is probably where we expect to be for the investments that we plan to make.

Terry McEvoy: Thanks for that. And then the 11% annualized C&I loan growth we talked about markets, but any specific industry or type of borrower that’s behind that growth? Because it is stronger than what we’re seeing across the industry at peer banks.

Len Devaisher: Yes. As I think about some of the larger transactions, Terry, this is Len. In the third quarter, we saw a particular acquisition activity that we were able to support. So that’s one. And then I’d say fairly balanced across, Gary, I’m trying to think of others. Would you add any color there? I’m thinking about the acquisition in Twin Cities.

Gary Sims: Yes. And it was really geographically balanced as well. Twin Cities, Denver is where most of that growth came from, Len.

Len Devaisher: Yeah. Thank you.

Terry McEvoy: Maybe one last quick one, if I could with, just commodity prices down and talks of tariff, what are your thoughts on the agricultural component of your loan portfolio as well as just ag-heavy communities or other sectors that are sensitive to ag and commodity?

Gary Sims: Hey, Terry. This is Gary and I’ll start to answer the question. And if I miss anything from the rest of the team, help me out on that. One of the things that you would note about our ag portfolio, and that’s the ag operating and farmland is over the course of the past five years, we’ve really up-tiered our customer base and really are in a more resilient customer base than we were really five years ago. And what that means is that we have customers that, by and large, have better ability to weather market fluctuations, et cetera. The other thing to think about for our markets in Eastern Iowa is, we’ve experienced a very good yield — crop yield cycle this year. So a lot of the pressure on prices will be offset by yield this year.

Now as we look to ’25, cost inputs as well as price fluctuations will continue to be a concern in terms of impacting our customer base. But we feel about as good about our ag space as we have felt over that five-year period of time, going into this more variables into the ’25 crop year. Hope that helps some, Terry, and give you a perspective. I’ll also touch on, you mentioned, markets that are impacted by ag. We certainly do have those markets that are heavy on the ag side. We feel similar about those marketplaces because of how we feel about the ag portfolio itself. And I’ll stop talking and see if any of my colleagues have anything to add. And I’m getting shaking heads, so I think I covered it good, Terry.

Terry McEvoy: Definitely. Thanks so much. Appreciate it.

Gary Sims: All right. Thank you.

Len Devaisher: Thanks, Terry.

Operator: Thank you for your question. Our next question comes from the line of Nathan Race with Piper Sandler. Your line is now open.

Nathan Race: Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Hope you’re doing well. Barry, I was wondering if you could just help us with kind of a good starting point for earning assets just given all the various dynamics.

Operator: Nathan, your line is now open.

Charles Reeves: Nathan, we can’ t hear you

Nathan Race: Hey, guys. Can you hear me now? Hello?

Charles Reeves: We can. Hi, Nate.

Nathan Race: Hey, sorry about that. Not sure what happened. Barry, I was wondering if you could just help us with a good starting point for earning assets in the fourth quarter. Obviously, a lot of dynamics on the balance sheet recently.

Barry Ray: Yes, absolutely. Nate, give me one second. I think we’re going to be at around — for average earning assets for the fourth quarter, around $5.7 million would be a starting point, Nate.

Nathan Race: Okay. Perfect. And it seems like the margin had some nice expansion this quarter, maybe more than we were anticipating to come out of last quarter. And I think with the capital raise and the balance sheet actions that you guys outlined recently, you were thinking like a 3.18% margin with everything that’s been completed recently. Is that kind of a good starting point for the fourth quarter? Or do you think some of the improvement that was maybe a little ahead of the schedule from a margin perspective, maybe drive some upside to that 3.18% number that was laid out in the slide deck earlier last month.

Barry Ray: Yes. A couple of things. I’ll touch on there, Nate. The 10 basis points of margin expansion, we did have some loans in the third quarter go back to accrual. So that created some noise. But positive noise and that drove some of that expansion. But I do think, to your question, there is some upside with respect to the 3.18% that you referenced Nate for the margin for next year.

Len Devaisher: Yes. I think, Nate, in various prepared remarks, we spoke about 70 basis points, potentially 70 plus basis points on top of.

Nathan Race: Got you. And Barry, do you just have kind of the — just going back to an earlier question, do you have kind of like the static NII impact from each 25 basis point red cut or maybe on a basis point percentage as it relates to the margin.

Barry Ray: We haven’t disclosed that, and I don’t have that right in front of me, Nate.

Nathan Race: Got you. I guess just what I’m getting at is, does the balance sheet still lean somewhat liability sensitive in terms of what you have repricing tied to the short end versus what you have on the other side.

Barry Ray: Well, as we discussed earlier, Nate, I certainly think that what’s happening with the shape of the yield curve with potentially getting some positive slope, we expect to see some opportunity for margin expansion if that continues.

Nathan Race: Okay. Great. And it seems like you guys are still feeling pretty constructive on the loan growth prospects. I think in the past, we’ve been speaking to kind of the mid to high single-digit range. Based on what you see out there today, hopefully, a more kind of conducive macro environment and with all the talent that you have put in place recently. Is that still kind of a reasonable expectation for 2025?

Len Devaisher: Yes. Nate, this is Len. I think that’s exactly the number that we’ve got our sights set on. I think the only — and I — we are seeing good pipeline activity that gives me confidence. I think probably the only moderating factor I see is we do have just some scheduled or expected CRE payoffs as projects fund up and mature and move off to the secondary market, which is, of course, how that business should work, and we’ve seen that happen. So that’s the one headwind that I see, but mid-high singles are exactly where we’ve got our target set.

Nathan Race: Okay. Just lastly, maybe one more strategic one for Chip. The increase in TCE was a little bit higher than what you kind of guided to when the capital raise was announced. And you guys will obviously be building capital at much stronger clips going forward with the improvement in the profitability profile, so just curious how you’re thinking about allocating excess capital going forward? Are you guys still going to be largely internally focused or just any other thoughts on how capital may be managed, maybe between buybacks or looking for additional acquisitions.

Charles Reeves: Yes, Nate, thanks. Really good question. I think right now, our focus is on, what I will call, execution, execution, execution and what we stated in our capital raise investor presentation of bringing all of that, frankly, to the bottom line and doing that for the fourth quarter and into 2025. As you mentioned, we accrete capital on a much quicker basis. I do believe from a, let’s call it, let’s just go. You mentioned TCE, let’s go to CET1. We need to be moving that more into the, call it, 10.5% range. And then, frankly, as we accrete capital, bring the expected performance to the actual performance that we anticipate. From there, I think we have the team and the platform to potentially consider M&A, but I think we’ll also look at, is it stock buybacks, is it increased dividend, et cetera. So optionality, I think, is the name of the game post execution of this raise and post execution throughout ’25.

Nathan Race: That makes sense. Thank you for all the color. Appreciate it, guys.

Charles Reeves: Okay. Thanks, Nate.

Barry Ray: Thanks, Nate.

Operator: Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of Damon DelMonte with KBW. Your line is now open.

Damon DelMonte: Hey, good morning, guys. Good morning, guys. Hope everyone is doing well today.

Barry Ray: Hi, Damon.

Damon DelMonte: Hi, just wanted to touch on credit a little bit. We saw a nice decline in nonperforming assets this quarter. Just wanted to hear a little bit about some of the trends you’re seeing regarding that and kind of maybe some movement between classified or watchlist loans.

Gary Sims: Yes. Good deal, Damon. This is Gary, and I’ll touch on it begin that conversation. What you saw in the third quarter was really a continuation of identifying the assets as nonperforming and creating resolutions to work them out. And we got — we did get good movement in the third quarter on that regard. Back to my comments earlier about the ag space, one of the big movers in that list was a credit that we’ve been working on for probably three, four years to work out of the bank, and we finally got paid off with the sale of farmland. So really, our resolution efforts coming to fruition. We’re continuing down the path. You’re going to continue to see resolution in the fourth quarter, nothing to report about specifically, but we anticipate that resolution activity continuing.

As you look at our classified and criticized assets, we had a material decrease in our classified assets. Again, that’s identifying those assets and working to get them out of the bank. You did see a slight increase in our criticized, we did identify two credits in our book of business that we felt like had elements of potential risk, and we downgraded them to special mention. Between the two of them, one was $17 million, one was $21 million. So what that be, $38 million between the two of them. These were C&I credits, longtime customers. Both of them have been customers of the bank for over two decades. We believe in their management team, we believe they have the ability to come out of this, but we did see potential weaknesses that caused those downgrades.

So feel pretty comfortable with where we’re at from a risk assessment perspective at this time, Damon. Hopefully, that helps.

Damon DelMonte: That was great. Appreciate that color. And then how should we think about the reserve level at this point? If you continue to kind of work out some of the nonperforming loans, could we see a little bit of a release here in reserve over the coming quarters?

Gary Sims: So one of the things you’ve probably noted, Damon, is we’ve stayed in that mid to high 120s through the course of this cycle. We don’t believe we have enough clarity on the cycle to really moderate that level of release, I’m sorry, of reserve at this time. So we feel like we’re going to be in that range for the foreseeable future, if that helps you, Damon.

Damon DelMonte: It does. Thank you very much. And then just a question on deposits and kind of the landscape of competition. How did most of your competitors react to the 50 basis point cut, and what does that tell you about upcoming cuts? Are people being aggressive in lowering costs or are they — the betas not necessarily 100%?

Barry Ray: Yes. What we observed, Damon, around some of the competition was that some of the folks really started front-running the expected cut in the month of September. And so we did not — we didn’t front run it, but we took action on the cut the week of, and so it seems to me as if folks are being fairly aggressive with respect to deposit pricing. And so we expect the betas to be, we were, what, around 40% beta on the way up. We think that we have an opportunity to achieve something like that perhaps on the way down. That’s what we observed.

Damon DelMonte: Great. Okay. Excellent. That’s all that I had. Thank you very much.

Barry Ray: Thank you, Damon.

Charles Reeves: Thanks, Damon.

Operator: Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Martin with [indiscernible]. Your line is now open.

Brian Martin: Hey, good morning or good afternoon, guys.

Charles Reeves: Hey, Brian.

Barry Ray: Still morning here, Brian. You’re good.

Brian Martin: That’s right. Hey, just wanted to touch base on, Gary, those two credits that were — you talked about, maybe can you just comment on what the industry is. And if those were some of the bigger credits at the bank, it seems like those were a little bit outsized in terms of size, but just in terms of just industry on the CMS side?

Gary Sims: Sure thing, Brian. The $17 million relationship is in the higher education space and the $21 million relationship is a gasoline retailer and wholesaler space. And so that’s those two. They’re not the largest credits that we have in our bank, but they are kind of at the high end of our, what I call, our sweet spot in terms of risk profiles that we like to maintain. And realistically, these are relationships, as I said, decades-old relationships with these customers, full relationships, we have their full relationship with depository, et cetera. So they’re as close to house accounts as we come.

Brian Martin: Got you. Okay. That’s helpful. Thanks, Gary. And maybe just one for Barry or I know Chip mentioned the 70 basis point pickup. Just if we’re thinking about it, it sounds like question earlier about the margin. It’s probably maybe a touch better to start in if you just take the 70 basis points on the current level. And then I guess, Barry, just in context of that, I guess, if we don’t see, I guess, kind of the bull case and bear case, if we see the bull, if we see the curve steepen, then margin ought to be expanding despite kind of the asset sensitivity, if you will. But if we don’t do the steepening in the curve or as much, how does the margin play out in kind of that scenario.

Charles Reeves: Brian, what I’d say, too, is that asset sensitivity is a parallel shock 200 basis points on both sides, right? So right, ultimately, go ahead, Barry.

Barry Ray: Yes. I guess can you clarify, Brian, what you’re saying is if we don’t get shortening on the front, is that what you’re saying?

Brian Martin: Yes. I guess if you get the shortening on the front end, then obviously, you’ve got the expansion and kind of the more, I guess, I’ll call it the bull case, if you don’t get that, and you reset to this 320-ish type of level, how would you anticipate kind of the margin playing out with that scenario.

Barry Ray: Well, I mean, that would suggest it sounds to me, Brian, like somewhat of a flat yield curve, which I think presents challenges to all banks, including ours. But I think with respect to — we still have good opportunity for asset repricing asset repricing higher. And so I don’t know — I think that there’s — it’s a challenging question to answer, but I think that there’s still some opportunity there with respect to just on the asset repricing side, Brian, for us.

Charles Reeves: Brian, this is Chip. I mean, ultimately, what you’re asking is the environment that we’re just coming from, and you’ve seen our NIM inflect and increase over the last few quarters. Now it’s increased at a slowing pace, but we still believe no rate cuts, belly stays where it is, we have enough repricing opportunities that we frankly expand margin.

Brian Martin: Got you. And Barry, can you just remind us the repricing that you have available? Kind of where — how much is that? And then just kind of what is it coming off at.

Barry Ray: Yes. On the loan side, Brian, we’ve got about over the next 12 months around $375 million of repricing, and that’s coming at 4.38% average rate on that?

Brian Martin: Got you. Okay. And kind of the resetting rates today are kind of the —

Len Devaisher: Yes, I was going to say, pardon my interruption, Brian, but I’m just looking at weighted averages of commercial production. And we — with the rate changes, we’ve seen a little shift. But as I look at the third quarter, we started the quarter weighted average just above 8. We ended the quarter in the high 7s. So that’s what we’re seeing. So you can see it the asset reprice that Barry is talking about. That’s the upside we see.

Brian Martin: Got you. Thanks for that. And maybe just last one or two, just on the fee income side, it looked like some nice traction in the SBA business this quarter? And just kind of thinking about the sustainability and just how you’re thinking about that going forward along with other businesses you’ve kind of gotten into. Can you provide any thoughts on just kind of the outlook there on SBA going forward.

Len Devaisher: Yes, Brian, this is Len. I think I see that continuing to be and expect that to be a continuing contributor at this kind of level. What I would say is that’s a platform we’ve — as we talked about in our strategic plan, we’ve done what we said we’re going to do. We’ve invested in the platform in terms of talent including an addition in the last quarter. And so that’s something that we’re very focused on to continuing that as a key driver for us.

Brian Martin: Got you. Okay. That’s super helpful. And maybe just last big picture for Chip. Chip, you talked just about the improving the profitability and the profile of the bank. I mean, I guess, with the capital raise and kind of things behind now as you kind of look at 2025, can you just talk about how you’re thinking about ROA and kind of maybe where it shakes out, whether as you get later in the year or full year, however you can frame how you’re thinking about your outlook for ’25 would be great.

Barry Ray: Yes. Ultimately, we ended up disclosing some of this in our capital raise as well in the investor presentation. I mean, ultimately, as we see ’25 evolve, I think we’ll be above 1% and with the possibility of moving to ending Q4 is about the [indiscernible] range.

Brian Martin: Got you. Okay. perfect. This was just, I guess, checking on that, given kind of the deal with upside, maybe a little bit more better than you’re thinking currently trends were. So Okay. I appreciate the update and thank you for taking the questions.

Len Devaisher: Great. Thanks, Brian.

Barry Ray: Thanks, Brian.

Len Devaisher: Appreciate it.

Operator: Thank you for your questions. There are no additional questions waiting at this time. That concludes today’s call. Thank you for your participation and enjoy the rest of your day.

Follow Midwestone Financial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MOFG)