We recently published a list of Retirement Stock Portfolio: 12 Safe Tech Stocks To Consider. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) stands against other safe tech stocks in retirement portfolio.
In the past, retirees could rely on bonds to provide steady income, with 10-year Treasury yields around 6.50% in the late 1990s. However, current rates are significantly lower, resulting in a major impact over time. For instance, a $1 million investment in 10-year Treasuries now yields over $1 million less than it would have 20 years ago. Adding to this concern, today’s retirees are increasingly uncertain about the future of Social Security. According to a survey by investment manager Schroders, Americans with employer-provided retirement plans estimate they’ll need $1.2 million to retire comfortably. However, nearly half expect to have less than $500,000 saved. Another study by Transamerica Institute shows that only 1 in 5 middle-class individuals feel confident in their ability to retire or maintain a comfortable lifestyle during retirement. Many of these anxious pre-retirees plan to start Social Security benefits before age 67, even though waiting until at least age 70 would maximize their monthly payments for life. Overall, pre-retirement anxiety appears to be widespread.
That said, the retirement realm may not be as bleak as it appears at first. According to this year’s survey by the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) and Greenwald Research, nearly 80% of retirees feel they can spend money as they wish, and an even higher percentage believe they are living the retirement lifestyle they envisioned. In addition to managing their current expenses, over half of retirees are still saving for the future. Key factors contributing to this success include planning—such as deciding when to claim Social Security, preparing for emergencies, estimating retirement duration, and periodically reviewing and rebalancing asset allocations to stay on track during market fluctuations.
Additionally, inflation slowed down to its weakest pace in over three years last month, as price increases continued to ease from their generational highs. With concerns about the rising cost of living playing a central role in the presidential election campaign, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its final inflation report before voters head to the polls. The consumer price index rose 2.4% year-over-year in September, slightly above economists’ expectations of 2.3% but down from 2.5% in August. The “core” index, excluding volatile food and energy prices, climbed 3.3% annually. On a monthly basis, prices increased by 0.2%. Meanwhile, the broader U.S. economy remains strong, with employers adding 254,000 jobs in September, countering fears of a labor market slowdown.
That said, during economic challenges, investors—especially those focused on securing their retirement—often gravitate toward low-risk stocks that offer steady returns amidst uncertainty. Healthcare and consumer stocks are typically favored in such conditions, but tech stocks can also be a smart investment if chosen wisely. Tech stocks have consistently outperformed the broader market for several years and now make up over 30% of the market’s total holdings. With that said, we’re here with a list of 12 safe tech stocks to consider for a retirement stock portfolio.
Our Methodology
For our list of the 12 best safe stocks for a retirement portfolio, we used stock screeners, ETFs, and online rankings to identify mega-cap tech stocks with low beta values, a track record of consistent dividend payments, and well-established businesses. These stocks were then ranked based on hedge fund sentiment, as reported in Insider Monkey’s Q2 2024 database.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A development team working together to create the next version of Windows.
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)
Beta Value: 0.90
Dividend Yield: 0.80%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 279
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), one of the world’s largest tech companies, develops productivity software, cloud solutions, and personal computing products.
BMO Capital Markets reaffirmed its bullish outlook on Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), maintaining an Outperform rating and a $500 price target. The firm made slight revisions to the company’s capital expenditure (CapEx) and depreciation analysis, leading to higher consolidated cost of goods sold (COGS) estimates for fiscal year 2026, with minimal impact on FY 2025. Despite a dip following its earnings report, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) forecasts revenue between $63.8 billion and $64.8 billion for the current quarter, slightly below the $65.07 billion estimate.
Additionally, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)’s latest financials highlight Azure as the fastest-growing cloud service among hyperscalers. Excluding contributions from per-user businesses like Enterprise Mobility and Security (EMS) and Power BI, Azure’s core growth hit 33% year-over-year in constant currency for FY 2024, up from the previously reported 30%. The company has revised its first-quarter FY 2025 guidance to reflect a 33% growth rate, compared to the earlier projection of 28-29%. Azure’s updated metrics suggest an annualized run rate of around $62 billion as of June 2024, excluding per-user businesses, down from an estimated $80 billion when they are included.
In the second quarter, 279 hedge funds held stakes in Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), with a total value of $89.068 billion. As of June 30, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust emerged as the largest shareholder, holding a position valued at $15.6 billion.
Baron Opportunity Fund stated the following regarding Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is the world’s largest software and cloud computing company. Microsoft was traditionally known for its Windows and Office products, but over the last five years it has built a $135 billion run-rate cloud business, including its Azure cloud infrastructure service and its Office 365 and Dynamics 365 cloud-delivered applications. The stock contributed to performance because of continued strong operating results and investor enthusiasm regarding Microsoft’s leadership across the secular megatrends of AI and cloud computing. Recent business momentum continued to show evidence of the strength and attractiveness of Microsoft’s product portfolio among its customer set: (1) Azure OpenAI – its suite of AI services – is now used by 65% of the Fortune 100 and contributed 7% of Azure revenue (an annualized run rate of $5.2 billion); (2) GitHub Copilot – its AI code writing service – is bending the productivity curve for developers (reports of 40%- plus improvements in developer efficiency) and now has 1.8 million paid subscribers, with growth accelerating to over 35% quarter-over-quarter; and (3) Copilot Studio – its AI application service that makes it easier for anyone to build an application, automate a workflow, or create a Copilot using natural language. 30,000 organizations across every industry have used Copilot Studio to customize Copilot for Microsoft 365 or build their own, up 175% quarter-over-quarter. In the March quarter, Microsoft again reported better-than-expected financial results, highlighted by Microsoft Cloud growing 23% year-over-year, with the fastest commercial bookings in six quarters, and Azure accelerating to 31% constant currency growth, up from 28% in the previous quarter. June quarter guidance came in-line with consensus, but the company provided higher guidance for the most important segment, Intelligent Cloud, on the back of continued strong trends across Azure and Azure OpenAI. We remain confident that Microsoft is one of the best-positioned companies across the overlapping software, cloud computing, and AI landscapes.”
Overall, MSFT ranks 1st on our list of safe tech stocks in retirement portfolio. While we acknowledge the potential of MSFT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MSFT but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
