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Microchip Technology (MCHP): Analysts’ Top Data Center Stock Despite Recent Challenges

We recently published a list of 11 Best Data Center Stocks To Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) stands against other best data center stocks.

In the ever-evolving landscape of technology, data centers have emerged as the unsung heroes that underpin our digital world. These critical infrastructures are not just the backbone of the internet; they are the engine driving the exponential growth of data, cloud computing, and advanced digital services. The data center industry is on a trajectory of significant expansion, with the market size projected to reach an impressive $418 billion by 2030, according to estimates from IndustryARC. This represents a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.6% during the forecast period from 2023 to 2030. This remarkable growth is fueled by a combination of factors that are reshaping the data center landscape, making it a crucial sector for both technological advancement and investment opportunities.

At the heart of this growth is the increasing demand for hyper-scalability, sustainability, and automation in data centers. In today’s digital age, businesses and organizations require data centers that can scale rapidly to accommodate ever-increasing data volumes, support advanced technological applications, and provide reliable and efficient services. Hyper-scalability, which refers to the ability of data centers to scale up their resources rapidly and efficiently, is becoming a vital requirement as data usage continues to surge. This demand for scalability is driven by the rise of cloud computing, big data, and the Internet of Things (IoT), all of which require robust and flexible data center solutions.

Sustainability is another critical factor influencing the data center market. As environmental concerns become more prominent, there is a growing emphasis on creating data centers that are energy-efficient and environmentally friendly. Green data centers, which focus on reducing energy consumption and minimizing environmental impact, are gaining traction as both businesses and consumers become more eco-conscious. The Department of Energy highlights that data centers account for approximately 2% of all electricity used in the U.S., underscoring the need for more sustainable practices in the industry. Automation is also playing a significant role in transforming data centers.

Modern data centers are increasingly adopting automation technologies to enhance operational efficiency, reduce human error, and streamline processes. Automation in data centers includes everything from automated cooling systems to intelligent data management solutions, all of which contribute to more efficient and reliable operations. The market dynamics of data centers are further influenced by the adoption of advanced technologies such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML), cloud computing, and edge computing.

AI and ML are revolutionizing data center management by enabling predictive maintenance, optimizing resource allocation, and enhancing overall performance. For instance, AI-driven systems can analyze data center operations in real-time, identify potential issues before they become critical, and automate corrective actions. This proactive approach not only improves operational efficiency but also extends the lifespan of data center equipment.

Cloud computing has become a cornerstone of modern IT infrastructure, and its growth is driving increased demand for data centers. As businesses and individuals continue to shift towards cloud-based services, the need for data centers that can support these services is growing. Cloud computing allows for the storage and processing of vast amounts of data in remote data centers, providing flexibility and scalability that traditional on-premise solutions cannot match.

Edge computing is another transformative technology impacting the data center industry. Edge computing brings data processing closer to the source of data generation, reducing latency and improving the performance of applications that require real-time data processing. This shift towards edge computing is driving the development of smaller, geographically distributed data centers that can support the growing demand for low-latency applications and services.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the data center industry cannot be understated. The pandemic accelerated the digital transformation of businesses and highlighted the critical role of data centers in supporting remote work, online services, and increased internet traffic. With fewer people out in public during the pandemic, global internet traffic surged as more people worked and engaged online from home. This increase in demand led to a 30-35% rise in data center capacity in 2021, as organizations sought to support remote work and ensure the continuity of their operations.

The pandemic also underscored the importance of data centers in maintaining business operations and delivering essential services. Data centers became the backbone of remote work, online education, telemedicine, and other critical services that became indispensable during the pandemic. As a result, the data center market experienced accelerated growth, and this trend is expected to continue as businesses and individuals increasingly rely on digital solutions.

Geopolitical events, such as the Russia-Ukraine crisis, have also impacted the data center industry. The ongoing conflict has led many companies to reassess their operations in the region, with some choosing to suspend or withdraw their services. For example, SAP SE announced in March 2022 that it would halt sales of new products in Russia and shut down all data centers in the country. This situation highlights the need for data center operators to have resilient and adaptable strategies to navigate geopolitical uncertainties.

Regionally, North America remains a dominant force in the data center market, holding a substantial market share. The region’s dominance is attributed to significant investments by major players and the high adoption of advanced technologies. In 2021, North America saw the launch or construction of over 100 data center projects, with major colocation service providers and hyper-scale operators leading the way.

The IT infrastructure segment holds the largest market share within the data center industry. This segment encompasses the hardware, software, and network components required to support data center operations. As businesses continue to migrate towards data center solutions for improved data management and operational efficiency, the demand for IT infrastructure is expected to grow. This growth is further fueled by the increasing adoption of automation and enhanced storage solutions.

Hyper-scale data centers are another significant segment within the industry. These data centers are designed to handle massive volumes of data and high computing power requirements. The rise in IoT-connected devices and the growing emphasis on processing large volumes of digital data are driving the demand for hyper-scale data centers. These facilities are equipped to support the high-performance needs of modern applications and services.

The emergence of green data centers represents a positive shift towards sustainability in the industry. Green data centers focus on reducing energy consumption and minimizing environmental impact. As businesses and consumers become more environmentally conscious, the demand for green data centers is expected to increase. This trend aligns with broader efforts to promote sustainability and address climate change.

Data security remains a critical concern for data centers, especially those handling sensitive information. According to industry reports, a significant percentage of corporate data centers worry about data security. Ensuring robust security measures is essential for protecting data and maintaining trust with clients and customers. The data center industry is undergoing a period of rapid growth and transformation, driven by technological advancements, increased demand for digital services, and a focus on sustainability.

As the digital landscape continues to evolve, data centers will play a crucial role in supporting the infrastructure needed for modern technology and services. The market’s growth is fueled by factors such as hyper-scalability, automation, and the adoption of advanced technologies, while challenges like data security and geopolitical uncertainties also shape the industry’s future.

For investors, the data center sector presents a promising opportunity, with the potential for significant returns as the industry continues to expand. Understanding the dynamics of the data center market, including the key trends and challenges, will be essential for making informed investment decisions and capitalizing on the growth of this critical sector. With that, let’s take a look at the best data center stocks to buy according to analysts.

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A semiconductor wafer at various stages of fabrication, showing the company’s range of expertise.

Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP)

Upside Potential: 28.80%

Latest Average Share Price Target: $99.95

Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) has emerged as a compelling investment in the data center sector, despite recent challenges. As a leading provider of microcontrollers, analog, and FPGA solutions, Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) plays a crucial role in the rapidly growing data center industry, where demand for high-performance computing and advanced data processing solutions continues to rise. In its Q4 2024 earnings report, Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) demonstrated resilience in the face of a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company’s revenue for the quarter was $1.326 billion, reflecting a 24.9% sequential decline due to an inventory correction. However, the non-GAAP gross margin remained strong at 60.3%, underscoring the company’s efficient cost management. Operating income was also robust at 32.9%, indicating solid profitability despite revenue pressures. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.57 met expectations, showcasing the company’s ability to maintain earnings amidst a turbulent period.

For the fiscal year 2024, Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) reported net sales of $7.634 billion, down 9.5% from the previous year. Yet, its non-GAAP gross margin of 65.8% and operating income of 43.9% demonstrate the company’s operational efficiency and effective expense management. The company’s non-GAAP net income of $2.698 billion and EPS of $4.92 reflect its strong profitability and ability to generate substantial earnings. Despite a temporary increase in net leverage to 1.57x, Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) financial health remains robust. The company’s cash flow from operating activities was $430 million in Q4, and its adjusted EBITDA stood at $503 million, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. Additionally, Microchip’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders is evident through its record cash return of $629.9 million in the form of dividends and share buybacks.

Looking ahead, Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) strategic investments in high-margin products and acquisitions, such as the purchase of VSI and Neuronix AI Labs, position it well for future growth. These acquisitions enhance its capabilities in automotive networking and AI-enabled edge solutions, key areas for data center applications. In summary, Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) solid financial metrics, strategic acquisitions, and ongoing capital returns make it a promising investment in the data center sector. The company’s resilience in adverse conditions and its focus on growth and innovation support a positive outlook for investors.

Invesco Growth and Income Fund stated the following regarding Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:

“Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:MCHP): The chipmaker has suffered through a demand downturn that by some estimates is worse than the one during the 2008 global financial crisis. However, management estimates the second quarter of 2024 was likely the bottom, so we anticipate an inflection soon. The company has a broad product line that is sold to a diverse set of end markets, customers and channels. Additionally, the company has been deleveraging and has committed to returning capital to shareholders. We believe it will be well positioned when the semiconductor cycle turns positive.”

Overall, MCHP ranks 6th on our list of best data center stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of MCHP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MCHP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: $30 Trillion Opportunity: 15 Best Humanoid Robot Stocks to Buy According to Morgan Stanley and Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA ‘Has Become A Wasteland’.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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