We came across a bullish thesis on Marvell Technology (MRVL) on ValueInvestorsClub by jso1123. In this article we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on MRVL. Marvell Technology shares were trading at $65.50 when this thesis was published, vs. yesterday’s closing price of $63.06.
A close-up view of a computer motherboard with integrated semiconductor chips.
Marvell Technology (MRVL) is a leading fabless semiconductor company specializing in data infrastructure solutions. Its key products include networking, storage, and custom ASIC chips. MRVL serves diverse end markets such as data centers, carrier infrastructure, enterprise networking, automotive, and industrial applications. The company’s top clients include Amazon and Google. Unlike Broadcom (AVGO), which holds a 50-60% market share in the custom ASICs market, MRVL has a 15-20% share.
Networking is increasingly becoming a performance bottleneck for AI applications, necessitating advanced semiconductors. MRVL, with its comprehensive end-to-end networking portfolio, including market-leading optical DSPs (acquired through the 2021 Inphi acquisition), is well-positioned to benefit from this trend. The demand for high-speed, low-latency networking components is rising, driven by AI’s computational intensity, which requires robust connectivity. MRVL’s dominance in PAM4 optical DSPs, essential for reducing networking bottlenecks, is expected to drive significant growth, particularly as AI deployments increase.
As Moore’s Law slows, the shift towards custom silicon (ASICs) tailored for specific applications is accelerating. MRVL’s custom ASIC business, which leverages its extensive IP portfolio and advanced SerDes technology, is a direct beneficiary of this trend. The company’s custom silicon solutions, already showing strong demand from major customers like Amazon and Google, are projected to generate $1.5-2 billion in revenue by 2026. This positions MRVL to capitalize on the growing need for specialized, high-performance computing solutions.
MRVL’s cyclical end markets, including Enterprise Networking, Carrier Infrastructure, and Storage, are showing signs of recovery. These segments, which account for 50% of MRVL’s business, are not fundamentally broken and are expected to rebound, contributing to the company’s overall earnings growth. As these cyclical markets improve, they will provide an additional boost to MRVL’s financial performance, supporting the projected EPS growth and stock value increase.
With an expected EPS of $4.00-4.50 in 2026 and a conservative P/E multiple of 25x, MRVL’s stock could see a 50-70% upside. The downside risk is limited, with normalized earnings and a lower P/E multiple still aligning closely with the current stock price.
MRVL is not on our list of the 31 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 87 hedge fund portfolios held MRVL at the end of the first quarter which was 53 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of MRVL as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is as promising as MRVL but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: Analyst Sees a New $25 Billion “Opportunity” for NVIDIA and 10 Best of Breed Stocks to Buy For The Third Quarter of 2024 According to Bank of America.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
Hedge Fund Resource Center