We recently compiled a list of the 7 Best Big Company Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) stands against the other big company stocks.
Mega-cap stocks—major technology companies to be precise—continued to drive a disproportionate share of the total US stock market returns. Market experts believe that from 2023 beginning to May 2024 end, only a handful of the biggest and most well-established technology companies drove ~60% of the S&P 500’s 40%+ gain.
FactSet reported that, for 2Q 2024 (with 93% of S&P 500 companies publishing actual results), ~79% of the S&P 500 companies reported positive EPS surprises. On the other hand, ~60% of S&P 500 companies reported positive revenue surprises. In 2Q 2024, semiconductor companies’ stocks were the critical drivers for the S&P 500 Index. The AI themes supported other sectors, like utilities, seeking support from higher electricity demand for AI data centers.
3Q 2024 Earnings Season – A Preview
Wall Street experts believe that estimates for 3Q 2024 have seen a decline and the magnitude of estimate cuts seems to be significantly bigger than compared to the comparable periods of the first 2 quarters of 2024. Market participants opine that total S&P 500 earnings should see an increase of 3.9% from the same period of last year on 4.7% revenue growth. These estimates have come down since the beginning of the period, as the current 3.9% growth had fallen from 6.9% at the beginning of July.
The decline in estimates stems from the risks associated with economic downside, slower disinflation, expectations for higher-for-longer rates, and increased geopolitical risks. Apart from these risks, the uncertainty around the US Presidential elections remains the most important factor responsible for the decline in estimates.
Wall Street analysts believe that uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election is expected to rise as the November vote draws closer. This can act as an additional headwind in the environment already demonstrating signs of losing momentum.
Reuters reported that populism, polarization, and an expected tight race can result in a surge in the economic policy uncertainty index (EPU). This is a news-headline-based index, which was created by economics professors Steven J. Davis, Scott R. Baker, and Nick Bloom. The rise in EPU takes place when an uncertain outlook about government policy prompts consumers to delay their spending and forces businesses to put a halt on investment and hiring.
Brandywine Global Investment Management (A Franklin Templeton Company), an investment management firm, believes that this might be happening in the current environment. The firm noted that the University of Michigan’s current economic conditions index remains below the expectations index. Notably, this is a rare occurrence, suggesting that consumers are anxious.
Amidst Worries, Investors Should Stick to Big Company Stocks
Analysts at Brandywine Global believe that this year’s election cycle, whether warranted or not, continues to impact the US consumer, which in turn, is impacting the corporate sector.
In the 2020 follow-up working paper, Davis (the co-founder of the EPU index) and his colleagues revealed that the EPU index tends to increase by ~18% in the month of November during a Presidential election. When elections come close, and there is a winning margin of less than 5%, and polarized, the EPU index can jump by ~28% in election month.
Political uncertainty can be a more powerful factor in asset prices, with investors focusing on the US Presidential elections. A JPMorgan survey revealed that investors continue to see political risk in the US and abroad as the top destabilizing metric for equities.
AI fever coupled with strong earnings has supported broader equities in 1H 2024, and gains have been concentrated in technology and growth stocks. Analysts opine that some investors are still looking for areas of the market that have underperformed, and they expect that the recent rally in tech might spread into other sectors as well. Most investors welcomed the signs of a slowdown in inflation and moderation in growth. As a result, the US Fed has hinted to cut key interest rates. With uncertainties looming, market experts believe that investors should stick to the big stocks, which have a healthy track record of delivering strong gains.
Our methodology
To select the 7 Best Big Company Stocks to Buy Now, we used the Yahoo Finance and Finviz stock screeners to filter stocks with biggest market caps from different industries. Next, we narrowed our list by selecting the big and well-established companies that were the most popular among elite hedge funds. Finally, the stocks were ranked in the ascending order of their hedge fund sentiment.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A group of business people discussing plans around a boardroom table adorned with a financial services company logo.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 111
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) offers global financial services and retail banking. It provides services like investment banking, treasury and securities services, asset management, card member services, and related services.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM)’s cost advantages and switching costs are expected to act as critical tailwinds over the medium term. The financial services giant continues to focus on investing in organic expansion opportunities and distribution platforms. Collectively, these measures are expected to support its share price growth over the next decade and further strengthen its competitive position.
Wall Street analysts believe that JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) is prepared for “higher-for-longer” interest rates. If the rates continue to increase, it has a significant liquidity position which can help the company to capitalize on interest rates or pursue deals stemming from higher-for-longer rates. On the contrary, if the rates decline, the bank should benefit from higher lending. This is because a decline in interest rates can lead to increased loan activity.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) released its 2Q 2024 financial results, with net revenue coming at $51.0 billion, exhibiting an increase of 20%. The company’s net interest income came in at $22.9 billion, up by 4%. The company’s NII was supported by the impact of the balance sheet mix and higher rates, increased revolving balances in Card Services, and one additional month of First Republic-related net interest income. These impacts were largely offset by deposit margin compression throughout the LOBs and lower deposit balances in CCB.
Analysts at Piper Sandler upped their price target on the shares of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) from $220.00 to $230.00, giving it an “Overweight” rating on 15th July. As of the second quarter, 111 hedge fund managers had invested in the company and the stakes amounted to $6.97 billion.
Carillon Tower Advisers, an investment management company, released its first quarter 2024 investor letter and mentioned JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM). Here is what the fund said:
“JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) contributed positively to performance following solid financial results and positive guidance for the remainder of 2024. Moreover, growing chatter around rising capital markets activity likely contributed to the stock’s strong performance relative to other banks. Recall that JPMorgan has a robust capital markets franchise.”
Overall JPM ranks 6th on our list of the best big company stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of JPM as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than JPM but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
