2. Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 92
When asked about Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Cramer said the stock is “expensive” when compared to Devon Energy.
“This is not the moment to own oil. It is finally cratering. Because the demand was never there I don’t understand why it was up so much.”
While Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM) is investing in other forms of energy, the company still has a long runway in the traditional oil business.
According to Goldman Sachs, oil demand won’t peak until 2034, even with the push for electric vehicles and green energy. Goldman forecasts peak oil demand at 110 million barrels per day by 2034, potentially rising to 113 million barrels by 2040 if EV adoption is slower.
In Q2 2024, Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM) posted adjusted net profits of $9.24 billion, or $2.14 per share, up from $7.88 billion, or $1.94 per share, a year earlier. The 10.3% increase in diluted EPS was driven by higher commodity prices and increased production following its acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources in May. Revenue surpassed $93 billion, beating consensus estimates.
Exxon continues to manage its debt effectively, lowering its debt-to-market-cap ratio to 13.5% from 16.7%. The company’s debt-to-equity ratio remains well below that of its peers, while its liquidity ratios significantly exceed the industry median.
Recent acquisitions and expansion into areas like carbon capture, hydrogen, and renewable fuels should keep the company stable, even if oil prices slump. At the Barclays Energy-Power Conference, Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM) CEO emphasized the company’s focus on decarbonization, including the Baytown hydrogen project, which is set to be the world’s largest low-carbon hydrogen facility by 2029.
Madison Dividend Income Fund stated the following regarding Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“This quarter we are highlighting Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) as a relative yield example in the Energy sector. XOM is a leading integrated oil and natural gas company. It has upstream assets that develop and produce oil and natural gas, along with downstream refining and chemical manufacturing assets. We believe it has attractive low-cost acreage in the Permian basin and has a sizeable growth opportunity in Guyana. Further, we think XOM has a sustainable competitive advantage due to size and scale, and its ability to integrate refining and chemical assets provides a low-cost advantage versus competitors.
Our thesis on XOM is that it will grow production volumes of oil and gas moderately over the next few years, while limiting excessive capital investment that plagued the industry from 2014-2020. Production growth will come from its 2023 acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources, which is the largest producer in the Permian basin. XOM plans to double its Permian output by 2027, to 2 million barrels per day. Capital spending will be limited to $20-25 billion per year through 2027, which should allow for significant amounts of cash to be returned to shareholders including a $35 billion share repurchase program and continued dividend increases. Higher oil prices would provide a tailwind to our thesis but are not necessary. We think XOM can grow earnings and cash flow if oil prices remain above $60 per barrel…” (Click here to read the full text)
