We recently published a list of Jim Cramer Recently Shed Light on These 9 Stocks. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) stands against other stocks that Jim Cramer recently discussed.
Last Wednesday, Jim Cramer, the host of Mad Money, questioned whether the market was still following a clear and predictable business cycle, suggesting there were “huge conflicting currents” that made the economy difficult to navigate. Reflecting on his early days in the industry, Cramer explained that back then, understanding the business cycle was important.
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“If business was too strong, the Fed might raise rates, pull things off. If business was too weak, you might have some rate cuts. You always had to pay attention to these things, right, because you didn’t wanna fight the Fed.”
But on that particular day, with the Dow gaining 71 points, the S&P advancing by 0.24% to reach a new all-time record, and the Nasdaq edging up by 0.07%, Cramer began to reconsider whether the traditional concept of the business cycle had become outdated.
Cramer went on to highlight the puzzling movements in specific sectors, especially food and beverage and drug stocks, which showed some unexpected gains. These industries, often seen as immune to economic cycles, seemed to defy the typical patterns.
He pointed out that in light of the current administration’s stance on food policy, especially with a health and human services secretary who has expressed disdain for processed foods and vaccinations, it was not just a cycle affecting these sectors anymore, it felt more like a targeted attack on the industries themselves. Cramer wondered, “What if RFK Jr. wakes up tomorrow and says, ‘I’m banning Fruit Loops’ or stopping weight loss shots?”
“I mean, everyone in this administration seems to think that the federal government could do whatever it wants. That’s not, that’s not how our system works or at least it’s not how the Constitution says it works, but the blight’s very much with us, even with today’s reprieve.”
Our Methodology
For this article, we compiled a list of 9 stocks that were discussed by Jim Cramer during the episode of Mad Money aired on February 19. We listed the stocks in the order that Cramer mentioned them. We also provided hedge fund sentiment for each stock as of the fourth quarter of 2024, which was taken from Insider Monkey’s database of over 1,000 hedge funds.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
A team of architects meeting around a blueprint to discuss the design of a high-end apartment rental.
Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 64
Cramer discussed the recent contrasting cycles in the market, specifically addressing the bearish trend in the housing sector. He pointed out that Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), one of his preferred home builders, recently reported a mixed quarter, and as a result, its stock took a significant hit. Cramer noted that the downturn was not isolated to just Toll Brothers, the entire homebuilding sector experienced a similar decline. He added:
“Wow. Conference call was instructive because it showed there are cracks developing with lower average housing prices around the country. Some very soft markets, something that’s not supposed to happen when the Feds cut rates.
Mortgage rates are still way too high for this group. I want you to listen [to] what CEO, Doug Yearley, on the conference call said, “Those areas where the buyers are a bit more hesitant, I think it’s number one. Those areas that have had more significant price appreciation through the Covid years than other areas so instead of a 40 or 50%… percentage price increase over the last five years, there are end markets where there [has] been a 60%, 70%, 80%… and a 100% price increases, that includes Florida, primarily Austin, Texas. Those prices have to come down. That’s, that’s raw inflation. Those have to come down before we beat inflation in this country. Toll Brothers created the entire industry.”
Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) specializes in designing and constructing high-end homes, such as condominiums and single-story residences, while also developing communities that offer a range of amenities.
Overall, TOL ranks 1st on our list of stocks that Jim Cramer recently discussed. While we acknowledge the potential of TOL as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TOL but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.