We recently published a list of 10 Stocks to Watch as Trade Wars Begin. In this article, we are going to take a look at where NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) stands against other stocks to watch as trade wars begin.
Bill Strazzullo, Bell Curve Trading chief market strategist, said in a latest program on CNBC that the market isn’t done going down and urged investors not to buy every dip and wait for real opportunities. The analyst made some specific predictions about the market bottom:
“Still think it’s not over. I think you know probably across the board it’s another 15% to go to the downside. Look, the top wasn’t that difficult to call. It really wasn’t. And I think the bottom, typically on these major trends when they roll over, they do the same thing. They mean revert to fair value, which is a fancy way of saying that the market should drop down to where most of the trade activity has taken place on the major trend, which is the rally off the March 2020 lows.”
Strazzullo thinks the S&P 500 could fall to 4,500 to 4,100 before seeing a bottom. He repeatedly said during the interview that the market’s gains from the pandemic days are “tapped out.”
“The key driver here was the rally off the March 2020 lows in the height of the pandemic when we knew we were going to get historic monetary and fiscal stimulus. If you knew that, that was the right trend, you could have known months in advance when the market was going to top out. I gave the targets months in advance. If you missed this fundamentally or technically, you were asleep at the switch.”
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For this article, we picked 10 stocks Wall Street is closely watching amid the US-China trade war. With each stock, we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 193
Jim Cramer in a program earlier in April said that he’s “not selling” NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) because he still believes AI demand is strong.
“Nvidia.. okay now listen to me for a second listen to me it’s down another 7% today it’s horrendous I’ve been saying that right is that if I hit that from you why Nvidia because the White House blessed its goods that are made Taiwan with no tariff to import and yet few noticed I know there’s a widespread belief that we’re seeing a slackening in demand for AI infrastructure all I can tell you is that I monitor this thing like a hawk and there hasn’t been a slackening it’s been in total acceleration move but nobody cares and I know it’s headed lower but at least you know why I’m not selling.”
The market will keep punishing Nvidia for not coming up to its gigantic (and sometimes unrealistic) growth expectations. About 50% of the company’s revenue comes from large cloud providers, which are rethinking their plans amid the DeepSeek launch and looking for low-cost chips. Nvidia is facing challenges at several levels. Competition is one of them. Major competitors like Apple, Qualcomm, and AMD are vying for TSMC’s 3nm capacity, which could limit Nvidia’s access to these chips. Why? Because Nvidia also uses TSMC’s 3nm process nodes. Nvidia is also facing direct competition from other giants that are deciding to make their own chips. Amazon, with its Trainium2 AI chips, offers alternatives. Trainium2 chips could provide cost savings and superior computational power, which could shift AI workloads away from Nvidia’s offerings. Apple is reportedly working with Broadcom to develop an AI server processor. Intel is also trying hard to get back into the game with Jaguar Shores GPU, set to be produced on its 18A or 14A node.
Alger Spectra Fund stated the following regarding NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its Q1 2025 investor letter:
“NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) is a leading supplier of graphics processing units (GPUs) for a variety of end markets, such as gaming, PCs, data centers, virtual reality, and high-performance computing. The company is leading in most secular growth categories in computing, and especially artificial intelligence and super-computing parallel processing techniques for solving complex computational problems. In our view, Nvidia’s computational power is a critical enabler of AI and therefore essential to AI adoption. During the quarter, shares detracted from performance due to several factors. In January 2025, investor concerns grew regarding the emergence of advanced AI models from China, reportedly developed at lower costs and with reduced computing requirements, raising doubts about Nvidia’s market dominance. Additionally, U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs targeting industries increased worries about higher operational costs. Despite these headwinds, Nvidia reported robust fiscal fourth-quarter results, highlighted by significant revenue growth driven by its data center segment. On the earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang emphasized the increasing computational requirements of future AI models, noting, “The more computation, the more the model thinks, the smarter the answer,” and adding that future reasoning models could demand substantially more compute resources. We believe Nvidia’s leadership in scaling AI infrastructure—including advancements in inference and reasoning during inference—continues to drive adoption among enterprises and startups, ensuring sustained demand for its high performance chips and software solutions. As older-generation chips are repurposed and new clusters deployed, we see Nvidia as well-positioned to capitalize on rising computational needs across AI applications.”
Overall, NVDA ranks 2nd on our list of stocks to watch as trade wars begin. While we acknowledge the potential of NVDA as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NVDA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.