Jim Cramer on Dollar General Corp. (DG): ‘Just A Really Bad Situation For The Discount Retailer’

We recently compiled a list of the Top 10 Stocks on Jim Cramer’s Radar. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG) stands against the other stocks on Jim Cramer’s radar.

Jim Cramer often reflects on how he would reform the American education system if it were up to him. According to him, one major change would be to incorporate personal finance education into high school curriculums. He compares this to mandatory health classes that teach practical skills, like dissection, which he finds less relevant compared to financial literacy.

In a recent episode of Mad Money, Cramer emphasizes that understanding money is crucial, and not caring about it doesn’t make someone virtuous; rather, it can lead to real-life problems like poor credit affecting personal and financial decisions, such as buying a car or a house. He notes that while conventional wisdom says money can’t buy happiness, being financially broke is undeniably challenging.

“If everyone in this country lost their minds and decided to turn America into Cramerica, you better believe I would make some changes. So, what would the 18th premiere of Jim Cramer look like? Hey, for those of you who didn’t get that reference, Google is your best friend. But because this is a show about money, let’s stick to the more mainstream elements of the Cramerican regime. For starters, it drives me nuts that we don’t really teach our young people how to handle their money. Would it be so crazy if you had to take a class on personal finance before you could graduate from high school? I mean, like those awkward health classes where they show you how to dissect a frog. I mean, come on!

So, can I just take a moment to speak some words that we all believe but very rarely get to say in polite conversation? Look, money’s important. It’s really important. And caring about the state of your finances does not make you seem like some sort of superficial bourgeois monster. Say you’ve got a lousy credit score and you want to get married—congratulations, you’ve just inflicted your horrible credit on your new spouse. Now neither you nor your partner will be able to qualify to buy a car or a home or perhaps even just get a darn credit card.”

Reflecting on his own experiences, Cramer recalls living in a car while still managing to save for retirement, which he views as a significant accomplishment. He encourages young people to invest early to achieve financial freedom and avoid dependency on their next paycheck. Through the CNBC Investing Club, he aims to guide young investors in managing their finances effectively.

“These things matter in life. They say money can’t buy happiness, but I’ve always found that piece of cliche conventional wisdom to be dubious at best. Because, hey, listen, being broke is a major buzzkill, as I know firsthand from the time I spent living in my ’78 Ford Fairmont for six months in California. I wish I had an expert to guide me through all this stuff back then. Although I still put money away for retirement while living in my car, I took it out of my homeowner’s budget.

So let me answer one of the most important questions out there: What the heck should young people do with their money? First, foremost, and always, you need to invest. That’s the only way you’re going to be able to achieve financial freedom. And by freedom, I mean living a life where you’re not totally dependent on the next paycheck. Teaching you how to do this is one of the reasons I actually put so much time and energy into creating the CNBC Investing Club. I’m always thrilled when I see younger members taking an active hand in managing their own money.”

Jim Cramer observes that many people begin saving and investing too late, complicating their financial lives more than necessary as they age. He also notes that younger individuals often feel they have plenty of time, sometimes starting to invest before they’re truly prepared. Cramer believes there are more prudent uses for their money at that stage.

“Too many people start saving and investing too late, making their lives a lot more difficult than they need to be as they get older. But I also know many young people feel that they have all the time in the world. Some start investing before they’re truly ready when there are, in fact, better things for them to do with their money.”

Cramer then offers three key lessons for young investors, especially recent college graduates. First, he stresses the importance of saving money, even if it’s not intuitive. He suggests investing in the stock market as a way to save, which can be more engaging than just keeping money in a savings account or CD. Investing helps keep your money from being spent impulsively because accessing it requires selling stocks.

Second, Cramer advises young investors to embrace higher risk in their portfolios. In their 20s, they can afford to take risks with speculative stocks or options because they have many years to recover from mistakes. In contrast, older investors should adopt more conservative strategies, focusing on safer investments like bonds and utilities. Cramer criticizes the idea of young investors holding a significant percentage of bonds, emphasizing that they should be more aggressive in their investments.

Lastly, Cramer challenges the notion that student loan debt should prevent young people from investing. He notes that student loan interest rates are generally lower than credit card debt and advises starting investments even while managing student loans. He also suggests that delaying student loan payments could be advantageous due to potential future loan forgiveness programs.

“Here’s the bottom line for young people just out of college: investing is a great way to trick yourself into saving money you might otherwise spend. Beyond that, remember when you’re young, you can afford to take a lot more risk with your portfolio. It’s never too soon to start contributing to your 401k or IRA, especially an IRA.”

Our Methodology

This article reviews a recent edition of Jim Cramer’s Morning Thoughts, where he covered various stocks. We highlight ten prominent companies he mentioned and analyze how hedge funds view these stocks. The article ranks these companies based on their level of hedge fund ownership, from the least to the most owned.

At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

A busy shopping aisle filled with discounted items in a retail store.

Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 42

Goldman Sachs has removed Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG) from its Americans Conviction List, and Barclays has reduced its price target for the stock from $154 to $102. This follows Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)’s recent cut to its full-year guidance, indicating serious challenges for the discount retailer. Jim Cramer believes that Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT)’s strong performance is contributing to Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)’s difficulties.

“Goldman Sachs pulled Dollar General from its so-called Americans Conviction List, while Barclays slashed its price target on the stock to $102 from $154. Just a really bad situation for the discount retailer, which cut its full-year guidance last week. I think Walmart’s success is partly to blame for Dollar General’s struggles.”

Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG) is an appealing investment due to its resilient business model and strong performance in both robust and challenging economic conditions. As a leading discount retailer, Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG) attracts value-conscious consumers by offering a wide range of affordable essentials. During economic downturns, Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)’s focus on low-cost products drives increased foot traffic and sales as consumers seek to save money.

Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)’s extensive network of over 19,000 stores across 47 states and its ongoing expansion into underserved rural and suburban areas give it a competitive edge and boost market penetration. Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)’s strong financial performance, marked by steady revenue growth, solid margins, and robust cash flow, reflects its efficient operations and cost management.

Investments in digital and e-commerce, such as the DG Pickup service and the DG Fresh program, enhance customer convenience and position Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG) to benefit from the growing trend of online shopping. Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)’s defensive nature makes it particularly attractive during economic uncertainty, as its focus on essential, low-cost products remains appealing when consumer budgets tighten.

Artisan Value Fund stated the following regarding Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG) in its fourth quarter 2023 investor letter:

“Our biggest full-year detractors included energy holdings Schlumberger and EOG and 2023 purchases Baxter International and Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG). Dollar General, a discount retail chain in the US, has dealt with a few struggles. The retailer had previously benefited from COVID stimulus checks, reflected in the bump it experienced in revenues and margins.

However, the effects have worn off, and its core consumer has been hurt by inflation, stiffer economic conditions, lower tax refunds and reduced SNAP benefits. Margins are also under pressure due to labor costs, shrink and markdowns. Some of the issues are likely self-inflicted. After years of focusing on store growth to drive the top line, store standards have suffered. Addressing store standards is needed to turn around flagging traffic, comps and customer satisfaction. On the positive side, discount retail due to its trade-down feature tends to be a defensive business during economic slowdowns.

Dollar General has a strong market position and faces less competition than other discounters due to its largely rural footprint. The business’s value proposition is everyday low prices, a convenient format and proximity. The company has leverage due to capital expenditures, but interest coverage of ~9X is strong. From a valuation perspective, the froth from the pandemic, when it traded in the low- to mid-twenties, is gone. So, we aren’t paying for margin upside or store growth. Those would be bonuses. If the company can continue to grow revenues, generate cash flow and buy back stock, we still see a path to success.”

Overall DG ranks 6th on our list of stocks on Jim Cramer’s radar. While we acknowledge the potential of DG as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DG but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.