Markets

Insider Trading

Hedge Funds

Retirement

Opinion

Jim Cramer on D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI): ‘It Was The Forward-looking Metrics That Really Hurt’

We recently compiled a list of the Jim Cramer on AMD and Other Stocks. In this article, we are going to take a look at where D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI) stands against the other stocks Jim Cramer is talking about.

Jim Cramer, the host of Mad Money, expressed concerns about the impact of rising bond yields on the stock market, suggesting that this trend could restrict the recent tech rally and limit broader sector gains. On Tuesday, he remarked that the bond market is creating significant disruptions, stating:

“Bonds are wrecking the narrative, driving the people outta everything that works when the Fed cuts rates and they’re going right back into tech. That’s the opposite of what, if you’re a true bull, you want to see.”

READ ALSO Jim Cramer’s Latest Game Plan: 20 Stocks to Watch and Jim Cramer’s Latest Lightning Round: 11 Stocks to Watch

Despite the Dow experiencing a modest decline of 155 points, the S&P 500 managed a slight increase of 0.16%, while the NASDAQ achieved a record close with a 0.78% rise on Tuesday. Cramer pointed out that the market is becoming increasingly narrow and exclusive, primarily benefiting tech stocks at the expense of broader participation, which he considers unhealthy. Cramer explained that this trend was somewhat anticipated.

He recounted how, when news broke about the Fed potentially implementing a 50 basis point rate cut, there was a surge of enthusiasm among investors who began buying bonds. They were betting on a series of rapid rate cuts, leading to expectations that bond yields would fall. Cramer noted, “It seemed a total legit thing, right? I mean the economy was slowing, that’s been the pattern historically.” He added that as inflation began to ease, it appeared that history was repeating itself.

However, following the significant rate cut on September 18th, something unusual occurred: long-term rates rose for the first time since 1995. This shift, which he described as a “total buzzkill,” is beginning to manifest in corporate earnings reports. He went on to say:

“If the bond market doesn’t start behaving, or at least calming down, if longer-term interest rates don’t stop going up, we’re going to start losing the groups that have led us higher for months now.”

In conclusion, Cramer warned:

“If it [the bond market] doesn’t stop its retreat, then we’re gonna start questioning the idea that the Fed will keep cutting rates, ushering in a fabulous economy for 2025, which is what I was looking for.”

Our Methodology

For this article, we compiled a list of 7 stocks that were discussed by Jim Cramer during the episode of Mad Money on October 29. We listed the stocks in ascending order of their hedge fund sentiment as of the second quarter, which was taken from Insider Monkey’s database of more than 900 hedge funds.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

A construction site of a multi-family residential complex, a modern urban skyline in the background.

D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 62

On Tuesday, during Mad Money’s episode, Cramer said that D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI) stock “absolutely imploded” despite the fact that the company is a big operator in its industry.

“This excellent operator which builds predominantly starter homes, if you can call $400,000 a starter home, reported a clear top and bottom line miss with weaker-than-expected revenues, 5% revenue shrinkage, and earnings down 12% year-over-year. Ouch. But as bad as the headline numbers were, it was the forward-looking metrics that really hurt.”

Cramer noted that the company reported a modest year-over-year increase in net sales orders, rising just 1% to slightly over 19,000 units. He highlighted that Wall Street had forecasted orders to exceed 20,000, indicating a shortfall in expectations. Additionally, Cramer remarked that the value of these net sales orders declined by 2%, falling short of forecasts. Even more concerning was the significant drop in the company’s sales order backlog, which decreased by 19%.

“Horton’s forecast for the 2025 fiscal year, the 12-month period that ends next September, came in pretty light. They’re expecting 90,000 to 92,000 closings, the analysts were looking for 94,000. They’re talking $36-$37.5 billion in revenue, Wall Street was looking for $39 billion. That’s a big miss. Basically, Horton’s projecting closings up just 1.5%… Those are not the numbers that I wanted to see from a home builder in a world where the Fed’s cutting rates.”

Cramer expressed no surprise at the stock’s significant drop of over 7% on Tuesday, noting that it had actually fallen even further at one point. He remarked that the decline was justified, suggesting that the stock could have seen an even steeper fall. Cramer anticipates a wave of downgrades in the days ahead.

“On the conference call, CEO Paul Romanowski pinned the weaker number on “the volatility of rates” and buyers’ expectations that rates will be lower next year. In fact, management referred to a pause three separate times in the conference call, with COO Michael Murray describing a very choppy selling environment in the quarter with a buyer that seems on pause until mortgage rates come down. It makes sense to me. And remember, these guys are really good operators. We’re not dealing with some company that gets it chronically wrong. We’re talking about something that gets it chronically right.”

D.R. Horton (NYSE:DHI) has a track record of closing over 1,100,000 homes and operates in 125 markets across 36 states. For fiscal 2025, its management has projected revenues between $36 billion and $37.5 billion, along with plans for closing between 90,000 and 92,000 homes. This outlook shows a recalibration of previous targets, considering the ongoing challenges in the housing market.

Despite these adjustments, D.R. Horton (NYSE:DHI) management emphasizes a commitment to strategic land acquisitions and careful inventory management, aiming to sustain growth and optimize operations across different regions. Management also highlighted the importance of maintaining adaptable financial operations to address fluctuations in interest rates and issues related to affordability.

Overall DHI ranks 4th on our list of stocks Jim Cramer is talking about. While we acknowledge the potential of DHI as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DHI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

The best part? You can discover everything about this company and its groundbreaking technology right now.

I’ve compiled everything you need to know about this groundbreaking company in a detailed, members-only report.

Trust me — you’ll want to read this report before putting another dollar into any tech stock.

For a ridiculously low price of just $9.99 a month, you can unlock a year’s worth of in-depth investment research and exclusive insights – that’s less than a single fast food meal!

Here’s why this is a deal you can’t afford to pass up:

• Access to our Detailed Report on this Game-Changing AI Stock: Our in-depth report dives deep into our #1 AI stock’s groundbreaking technology and massive growth potential.

• 11 New Issues of Our Premium Readership Newsletter: You will also receive 11 new issues and at least one new stock pick per month from our monthly newsletter’s portfolio over the next 12 months. These stocks are handpicked by our research director, Dr. Inan Dogan.

• One free upcoming issue of our 70+ page Quarterly Newsletter: A value of $149

• Bonus Reports: Premium access to members-only fund manager video interviews

• Ad-Free Browsing: Enjoy a year of investment research free from distracting banner and pop-up ads, allowing you to focus on uncovering the next big opportunity.

• 30-Day Money-Back Guarantee:  If you’re not absolutely satisfied with our service, we’ll provide a full refund within 30 days, no questions asked.

If you’re thinking about getting in, don’t wait – because once Wall Street catches wind of this story, the easy money will be gone.

Space is Limited! Only 1000 spots are available for this exclusive offer. Don’t let this chance slip away – subscribe to our Premium Readership Newsletter today and unlock the potential for a life-changing investment.

Here’s what to do next:

1. Head over to our website and subscribe to our Premium Readership Newsletter for just $9.99 a month.

2. Enjoy a year of ad-free browsing, exclusive access to our in-depth report on the revolutionary AI company, and the upcoming issues of our Premium Readership Newsletter over the next 12 months.

3. Sit back, relax, and know that you’re backed by our ironclad 30-day money-back guarantee.

Don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity! Subscribe now and take control of your AI investment future!

No worries about auto-renewals! Our 30-Day Money-Back Guarantee applies whether you’re joining us for the first time or renewing your subscription a month later!