We recently compiled a list of the Jim Cramer Wants You to Watch Out For These 10 Stocks. In this article, we are going to take a look at where American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) stands against the other stocks Jim Cramer wants you to watch out for.
Jim Cramer noted that Tuesday’s pullback was expected as the market had been rising for eight consecutive days, and a ninth would have taken it into rare territory, a streak not seen since 2004. The session was tough, with the Dow dropping 62 points and the S&P falling 2%, almost like a 33% loss. This raises the question of whether the market still has the momentum to keep climbing, especially since bad news finally caused stocks to drop, something that hadn’t happened much during the recent 8-day rally.
“We were due for today’s modest pullback—the S&P had been up for eight straight days, and nine straight would have put us in rarefied territory. We haven’t seen that kind of winning streak since 2004. Today’s session was rough, with the Dow off by 62 points and the S&P dipping 2%, like losing 33%. We have to wonder if the market still has the momentum to go higher because today we got bad news, and guess what—stocks actually went down. That didn’t happen much during the 8-day gain.”
Cramer observed an unusual trend during this winning streak. If a company reported better-than-expected earnings, the stock surged. Even if the results were only slightly better than feared, the stock still went up. And if a company posted disappointing earnings, the market shrugged it off, assuming it was the last bad quarter because the Fed might soon cut rates, so people kept buying anyway.
“You see, we had a very odd pattern during the winning streak. It was a bit of Pangloss and a nip of Camelot. When a company reported a better-than-expected quarter, it was great. When a company reported a quarter that was just better than feared, the stock still rose. And when a company reported a bad quarter, we decided that it was the last bad quarter because the Fed was about to cut rates, so it was no big deal—buy anyway. In other words, companies could do no wrong, but not today. Today, we had a bit of a reckoning, a dose of reality.”
Jim Cramer observed that the market had been enjoying a stretch where good performance boosted stocks, and even poor performance was cushioned by the belief that the Fed would step in to help. However, after seven consecutive days of gains, he pointed out that this optimistic pattern might be coming to an end. The market has now reached a level where stocks won’t automatically get the benefit of the doubt. Cramer explained that we’re back to a more typical environment where strong stocks rise and weaker ones fall. At these elevated levels, it’s no longer enough to dismiss the bearish outlook with a simple “heads I win, tails you lose” mindset.
“We’ve reached a point where the market is sufficiently elevated, and we’re back to business as usual—where the good stocks rise, and the bad ones fall. At these high levels, we can’t just dismiss the bears with “heads I win, tails you lose.” There’s a return to rationality, and rationality is the enemy of a market where everything rallies indiscriminately.”
Our Methodology
In this article, we reviewed a recent post of Jim Cramer and his latest insights on what to watch in the stock market for Tuesday. We highlighted ten stocks he mentioned and provided details on hedge fund sentiment for each. The stocks are ranked based on the number of hedge funds that own them, from lowest to highest.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A close-up view of a payment terminal, capturing the sophistication of a payment network.
American Express Company (NYSE:AXP)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 92
Jim Cramer noted that Bank of America Corporation (NYSE:BAC) downgraded American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) from a “Buy” to a “Hold” due to weaker consumer spending. Despite this downgrade, the analysts maintain a positive long-term outlook for American Express Company (NYSE:AXP). Cramer questioned the downgrade, given the analysts’ continued optimism about American Express Company (NYSE:AXP)’s future.
“Bank of America downgraded American Express to a hold from buy. The analysts cited muted consumer spending. They still like it longer term, however, for which I say: Why downgrade it?”
American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) presents a strong investment opportunity due to its well-established brand and high customer loyalty. American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) is known for its excellent service and exclusive benefits, which attract and keep high-spending customers. American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) has shown strong financial performance, with recent reports highlighting significant revenue and net income growth, largely driven by increased spending by cardholders.
American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) benefits from rising consumer and business spending, evidenced by a 12% year-over-year increase in network spending. Its investments in digital technology and international expansion position it well for capturing a larger share of the global payments market. With a robust balance sheet, solid capital ratios, and a history of returning value to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) maintains strong investor confidence.
Artisan Select Equity Fund stated the following regarding American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) shares rose 22% this quarter. This is an interesting case study given our earlier discussion about inflation. American Express operates one of the largest credit card networks in the world. Its revenue is largely a function of a fee rate applied to the dollar value of goods and services that are transacted through its network. That dollar value is, of course, nominal. As inflation pushes up the value of those goods and services as it has for the past few years, American Express will capture that value through its fee structure. The past few years inflation has clearly been a benefit. Aside from its inherent inflation protection, the business is a very strong one. Payments continue to shift toward electronic forms, benefiting American Express. It also has a strong brand that attracts loyal and highly profitable customers that are the envy of the industry. Recent results have been strong with revenues moving nicely ahead of GDP.”
Overall AXP ranks 2nd on our list of the stocks Jim Cramer wants you to watch out for. While we acknowledge the potential of AXP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AXP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
