We recently published Jim Cramer’s Exclusive List: 10 Stocks You Should Keep an Eye On. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) stands against Jim Cramer’s other stocks to keep an eye on.
In a recent episode of Mad Money, Jim Cramer expressed frustration with analysts who attempt to explain stock movements during each trading session without acknowledging the unpredictable nature of the market and those who trade stocks for a living. He noted that while the Dow rose by 125 points, the S&P increased by 1.07%, and the NASDAQ jumped 2.17%, these gains resulted from conflicting market perceptions. Only one view can hold up in the end, and the process restarts the next day.
“Okay, look, it keeps happening, and it’s beginning to drive me even crazier than I already am. I’m talking about analysts attempting to explain why stocks do what they do in any given session without taking into account the capriciousness, if not the lunacy, of those who trade stocks for a living.
Sure, the averages appear to tell a decent story. The Dow inching up 125 points, the S&P climbing 1.07%, and the NASDAQ vaulting 2.17%, but those percentages are the product of a furious battle between competing visions of reality. And only one vision can survive.
Cramer explained that the day saw the release of an important, though not game-changing, Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, just days before an anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut. With market tensions high, the inline CPI data didn’t surprise anyone. However, Cramer pointed out that despite the CPI meeting expectations, stock futures remained down early in the day. When the market opened, stocks continued to drop, confusing commentators. Some analysts attributed the selloff to disappointment over the possibility of only a quarter-point rate cut rather than a half-point cut. Cramer was shocked by this explanation, calling it inaccurate.
“Only one vision can hold up under close scrutiny before it all starts over again the next morning. Today, like many days, we got a somewhat crucial set of figures from the government. This time it was for the Consumer Price Index. Notice I said “somewhat” crucial because we’re now just days away from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, where we’re likely to get a rate cut. Any session between now and then could be an outlier that might alter the Fed’s core mindset.
When you’re in Fed mode, as we are, you know that tensions are heightened, which is why it was good to see a basically in-line CPI reading— nothing important, nothing shocking, just a number we all expected. So, we’ll probably get the quarter-point rate cut that we’re looking for. But next, you know, various speakers and interviews started ginning up reasons to explain why the Dow had dropped more than 700 points in the first hour of trading, and the NASDAQ was off 1.5%.
The pontificators were frantic. After a few tries, they settled on a new narrative that we had to listen to for a couple of hours. Many people were banking on a half-point rate cut, they said, and this 2.5% inflation number made a double rate cut very unlikely. We were told that led to disappointment and then furious selling of stocks.”
Jim Cramer mentioned an earlier interview with Doug Yearley, CEO of Toll Brothers, who had a positive outlook on the housing market, expecting it to strengthen further if rates were cut. Cramer believed the upcoming rate cuts could spark a housing boom, which would benefit the broader economy. Confident in this view, Cramer and his colleague Jeff Marks, during their CNBC Investing Club show, expressed confusion over the market’s decline, with Cramer even predicting that the averages could end the day higher, though that didn’t materialize.
“Now, I was aghast. Can I just say? I was aghast at this wholesale license of the truth. I had just come from an interview with Doug Yearley on Squawk on the Street. He told me the business had gotten very strong in August and September and could only get stronger as rates fell. Doug is a straight shooter, not a lot of fluff, but he basically said, “Look out if rates go down from here.”
He was effusively, empirically positive on the coming rate cuts. He and I are both students of financial history, and these rate cuts, 25 basis points at a time, could ignite housing sales. That’s huge for the business of our country, even though housing is only 10% of the economy. It’s connected to so many other areas that I always like to say it punches above its weight. So I figured it was time to commit heresy.”
Cramer criticized the notion that the market’s decline was due to disappointment over the CPI reading, calling it “nonsense.” He argued that sellers were misjudging the situation and misunderstanding the potential power of rate cuts. For him, there’s no harm in calling out irrational behavior in the market and stating that sellers were clueless in this instance. He dismissed the idea of inventing justifications for market actions, especially when they clearly didn’t make sense.
“I predicted that the average could actually finish up but it didn’t happen. I refused to dignify the musings of commentators who clung to the fiction that bulls were disappointed by the CPI reading. I knew the early action was just nonsense. Furthermore, I knew the sellers were wrong.
What’s wrong with honestly stating the sellers are clueless and don’t understand the power of rate cuts? Why can’t I do that? Where does it say we always have to be descriptive and can’t be judgmental? I don’t feel like making things up to ratify, if not justify, the action in a given day, especially not when the action is so clearly wrong and nonsensical.”
Our Methodology
This article talks about a recent episode of Jim Cramer’s Mad Money, where he highlighted several stocks. We selected ten of those companies and analyzed hedge fund investments in each. Finally, we ranked the companies based on hedge fund ownership, from least to most owned.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A technician working at a magnified microscope, developing a new integrated circuit.
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 130
Cramer noted that Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) has traded above its previous levels following a quarter that was initially poorly received. He compared Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) ‘s turnaround to an “angry swan,” emphasizing that the stock’s performance has improved, despite market volatility. Cramer remarked on the emotional nature of the market, highlighting how quickly sentiment can change.
“Did you know that today Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) traded above where it was sitting before the aforementioned quarter, which I told you was good anyway? The one that seemed to be hated but now seems to be transforming from an ugly duck into a beautiful, but angry, swan. Have you ever noticed swans are really angry? Look, we’re in a highly emotional market.”
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) remains a strong investment due to its solid financial performance and strategic position in high-growth sectors like artificial intelligence. In its September 2024 earnings report, Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) beat expectations with $1.24 earnings per share, slightly above analysts’ estimates of $1.20. Revenues also surged to $13.07 billion, reflecting a 47% year-over-year increase. This growth highlights Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO)’s success in its semiconductor business, supported by increasing demand for AI-related chips.
With AI and cloud infrastructure driving demand for its products, Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) is poised for further expansion. Analysts expect earnings to grow by 33.7% next year, and nearly all analysts covering the stock maintain a “buy” rating, projecting a potential 25% stock price increase. These factors make Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) an appealing long-term investment in sectors like semiconductors and AI.
Overall AVGO ranks 1st on Jim Cramer’s list of the stocks to keep an eye on. While we acknowledge the potential of AVGO as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AVGO but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
