We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Chinese Stocks to Buy Right Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) stands against the other Chinese stocks.
Nearly every major equity market is up for the year owing to improved investor sentiments. However, it is an exception for Chinese equity markets that continue to underperform while hovering near the zero-COVID lockdown valuations of three years ago.
Over the past three years, about $6 trillion has been wiped off the value of Chinese stocks. The global index compiler MSCI has already announced plans to remove up to 60 Chinese stocks from its gauges as it responds to the underperformance of recent years. The cut will signify the waning need and demand for some of the country’s equities to overseas investor’s portfolios. Amid the cuts, the index will still keep hold of some of the best Chinese stocks to buy now.
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The underperformance comes amid growing concerns about the Chinese economy, which continues to send jitters to the investment community. The Chinese economy has always outperformed the US economy, increasing by 123% between 2012 and 2022, compared to 58% for the US.
Nevertheless, the Chinese economy has struggled in recent years amid a myriad of problems, including a downturn in the real estate sector, deflation, high debt levels, and a shift in ideology-driven policies that are scaring away foreign firms from the economy.
While the economy grew by 5.2% last year, much higher than 2.5% for the US, it was the lowest pace of growth since 1990, with the exception of the pandemic period. While economists expected the economy to slow even further in 2024, with growth averaging 4.5%, it has started showing signs of recovery. The Chinese economy grew 5.3% in the first quarter and 4.7% in the second quarter.
Nevertheless, the 4.7% growth in the second quarter, while reasonable, is far below the country’s double-digit growth rates in the past decades, which is a major point of concern in the equity markets. On the other hand, the slowdown in economic growth is not the only headwind that scares investors from the Chinese economy.
Deteriorating US-China relations has always rattled investors’ sentiments. With the US hitting Chinese firms with trade tariffs and restricting access to some key technologies, China has also hit back with its fair share of tariffs. The tariff hike on Chinese electric vehicles from 25% to 100% and the imposition of trade tariffs on $18 billion worth of imports underline the ever-deteriorating relations between the two economic powerhouses.
Amid the deteriorating macroeconomics, Chinese stocks have started showing signs of recovering in the second half of the year. Some of the promising sectors include the fixed asset investments sector, which is driven by faster manufacturing and infrastructure investment. Additionally, industrial production and services are also on the rise while playing host to some of the best Chinese stocks to buy.
In July, global hedge funds added holdings of some of the best Chinese stocks to buy now as most took advantage of their depressed valuations after steep pullbacks. Nevertheless, the hedge fund positions holdings remain near a five year low.
Additionally, analysts at BCA Research believe Chinese equities could insulate fund managers from deep losses as global risk assets face fresh dangers. The firm has already upgraded Chinese onshore equities to overweight from neutral.
“We expect Chinese stocks to fall by less than or as much as their global and EM peers in a bear market,” analysts, including chief China strategist Arthur Budaghyan, said in the report. Potential market support from Chinese state-owned funds could temper potential declines, he added.
As the economic situation in China improves and sentiments in the equity market improve, now could be the best time to pay close watch to the best Chinese stocks to buy, likely to outperform heading into year-end.
Our Methodology
To compile the list of the 10 best Chinese stocks to buy now, we scanned through the top 50 companies listed on the US stock exchange from the iShares MSCI China ETF. Analysts believe these companies have significant upside potential. Once we had a consolidated list, we ranked the best Chinese stocks in ascending order of their upside potential, as of August 17.
At Insider Monkey, we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A wide and imposing view of a supply chain distribution center, illustrating the company’s technology capabilities.
JD.com (NASDAQ:JD)
Hedge Funds Holding Stakes: 59
Stock Upside Potential: 49.60%
JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) is a supply chain-based technology and services provider that offers computer communication and consumer electronics products. The company also generates significant revenues by operating online marketplace services for third-party merchants.
JD.com (NASDAQ:JD)’s core business has been growing steadily, underlining why JD is one of the best Chinese stocks to buy now. In the second quarter, revenues were up 1.2% to $40.1 billion, and the net income attributable to shareholders was more than doubled to $1.7 billion. Free cash flow also increased by 66.2% to $7.7 billion.
While slowing the Chinese economy remains a significant headwind for JD.com (NASDAQ:JD)’s long-term prospects, DBS Bank’s Sachem Mittal said in a research report that the company has made impressive strides to offset the challenges. For starters, it has made efforts to diversify into other fields, including groceries and healthcare, as one of the ways of bolstering future earnings.
While JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) is down by about 10% for the year, analysts on Wall Street remain upbeat about its long-term prospects, going by the consensus buy rating and an average price target of $40.62, implying a 49.60% upside potential from current levels. Additionally, a total of 59 hedge funds held stakes in JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) as of the end of the first quarter, according to the Insider Monkey database.
Here is what Ariel Investments‘ Ariel Global Fund said about JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:JD) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:
“We initiated a position in China-based technology-driven E-commerce company, JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:JD). The brand has long been known across the region as a superior online shopping channel due to its unique first-party model and unparalleled fulfillment service underpinned by JD Logistics. Yet, a challenging macro environment drove shares lower as shoppers began seeking bargains. In response, the company made significant investments in elevating its third-party merchant platform to enhance its variety of product offerings and price competitiveness for consumers. We believe these actions will yield an improved product mix, stronger top-line growth and margin expansion on a go-forward basis.”
Overall JD ranks 7th on our list of the best Chinese stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of JD as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than JD, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
