Janus International Group, Inc. (NYSE:JBI) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Janus International Group, Inc. (NYSE:JBI) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript May 9, 2024

Janus International Group, Inc. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Hello. And welcome to Janus International Group First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Currently all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Ms. Sara Macioch, Senior Director Investor Relations of Janus. Thank you, Ms. Macioch. You may begin.

Sara Macioch: Thank you, Operator, and thank you all for joining our earnings conference call. I am joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Ramey Jackson; and our Chief Financial Officer, Anselm Wong. We hope that you have seen our earnings release issued this morning. Please note that we have also posted a presentation in support of this call, which can be found in the Investor section of our website at janusintl.com. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that today’s call may include forward-looking statements. Any statements made describing our beliefs, goals, plans, strategies, expectations, projections, forecasts and assumptions are forward-looking statements. Please note that the company’s actual results may differ from those anticipated by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons, many of which are beyond our control.

Please see our recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which identified the principal risks and uncertainties that could affect our business, prospects and future results. We assume no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements and any forward-looking statement made by us during this call is based only on information currently available to us and speaks only as of the date when it is made. In addition, we will be discussing or providing certain non-GAAP financial measures today, including adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted net income and adjusted EPS. Please see our release and filings for a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measure. On today’s call, Ramey will provide an overview of our business, Anselm will continue with a discussion of our financial results and 2024 guidance before Ramey shares some closing thoughts and we open up the call for your questions.

At this point, I will turn the call over to Ramey.

Ramey Jackson: Thank you, Sara. The first quarter was a busy one at Janus, as we built upon the momentum established in 2023 to deliver a solid start to the year, one that was in line with our expectations. As always, everything we do at Janus is a team effort, and I’d like to thank our employees for their continued hard work, dedication and professionalism as they show every day. We delivered financial results consistent with our expectations in the first quarter, including adjusted EBITDA that was up 8.3% on a 1% increase in revenue. Our record of strong cash generation continued as we delivered free cash flow in the quarter of $24 million, with a trailing 12-month free cash conversion of adjusted net income rate over 120%.

This drove net leverage at the end of the first quarter to another record low since going public of 1.5 times, down 1.1 times year-over-year, and below our stated long-term target range of 2 times to 3 times. Our sustained strong cash flow generation put us in a position to be very active in our capital allocation activities and we have been. During the first quarter, we repurchased over 1 million shares, and subsequent to the quarter end, we made both a voluntary paydown of $21.9 million and repriced our first-lien term loan. We continue to explore M&A opportunities focusing on key areas of self-storage, commercial, technology and services. Our largest business is providing comprehensive solutions in self-storage, which consists of two sales channels, new construction and restore, rebuild, replace or R3.

Combined, self-storage makes up roughly two-thirds of our revenue and even higher percentage of our EBITDA, with similar margin profile across the two sales channels. And while we report specifics for each channel, along with our commercial and other segments, the discussion of total self-storage helps to smooth out the quarterly noise across the two segments, given the lumpiness of project timing. For the first quarter of 2024, on a combined basis, total self-storage was up 11%, driven by new construction. Industry fundamentals continue to favor investment in self-storage capacity, which over the last several quarters has focused on greenfield sites. Our commercial and other sales channel was down 19.2% in the first quarter compared to the year ago period.

The results reflected a continued decline in demand for certain product lines. We continue to innovate and broaden our reach to various end markets in order to access untapped potential on the commercial side. Despite the year-over-year topline decline, we are very excited about our opportunities there, as well as the potential we see to improve margins. Nokē, our innovative suite of remote access solutions, had another strong quarter, during which we increased the number of installed units to 300,000, from 276,000 at year-end 2023, representing a sequential growth of 8.7%. In early April, we announced the newest addition to our Nokē Smart Entry product lineup, the Nokē Ion, an inside-the-door magnetic hardwired smart locking system. This sleek yet powerful hardwired smart lock has a number of benefits.

It uses low-voltage power that’s inside the door and it’s compatible with a cloud-native software portal, and pairs with our customer-friendly mobile app for ease of access. Ion represents the next step in the expansion of capabilities of Nokē to drive accelerated adoption across our customer portfolios. In summary, we are excited about our start of 2024 as we look to build on our momentum. We look forward to working to expand our strong market position to capture additional share and create long-term value for all of our stakeholders in 2024 and beyond. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Anselm for further overview of our results, along with updates to our 2024 guidance. Anselm?

Anselm Wong: Thanks, Ramey, and good morning, everyone. As Ramey stated, we are off to a good start to the year, as our first quarter results included topline growth, margin expansion and strong cash generation, allowing us to make substantial progress on our balanced capital allocation program. Now, let me dive deeper into the numbers. In the first quarter, consolidated revenue of $254.5 million was 1% higher as compared to the prior year quarter, as strength in total self-storage more than offset a decline in our commercial and other sales channels. Together, our self-storage business was up 11% for the quarter. Within self-storage, new construction continued its momentum with growth in the quarter of 40.2% as customers continued to add new greenfield capacity.

R3 was off 17.3% for the quarter as a result of a decline in retail-to-storage conversion activity compared to the prior year. Total self-storage growth was entirely driven by North America, partly offset by a decline in international. Our commercial and other segments saw a 19.2% decline in the first quarter, driven by continued shifts in demand for certain product lines. First quarter adjusted EBITDA of $66.3 million was up 8.3% compared to the year ago quarter. This solid performance produced an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.1%, up 180 basis points from the prior year period. This improvement in profitability is a result of a positive impact of geographic segment and sales channel mix and declines in material costs, partially offset by increased operating costs as the business scales for continued growth.

With regard to the margin benefit from geographic segment mix, over 90% of our revenue are sourced from North America, which has a higher margin profile than our international business. During the first quarter, international saw revenue is down 31.9%. The primary driver of the steep decline was our largest international market of entering a recession and the corresponding impact on project launch decisions. We are encouraged that projects are not being canceled, but rather put on hold as the underlying fundamentals that make self-storage attractive in that market persist. Due to the international business’s lower margin profile, this contributed to the favorable mix and the company’s overall adjusted EBITDA margin improvement. For the first quarter, we produced adjusted net income of $31.1 million, a 17.8% year-over-year improvement and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.21.

Adjusted net income was impacted during the quarter by drivers already covered, including the higher revenue and favorable geographic segment and sales channel mix. We generated cash from operating activities of $28.6 million, continuing to demonstrate the robust cash generation profile of the business. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $4.6 million, down from $6.1 million in the first quarter of 2023. Our free cash flow profile reflects the strength of our financial results and the resilience of our business. For the first quarter, we generated free cash flow of $24 million. On a trailing 12-month basis, this represented a free cash flow conversion of adjusted net income of 123%. We finished the quarter with $303 million of total liquidity, including $178.4 million of cash on the balance sheet.

Our total outstanding long-term debt at quarter end was $606.4 million and our net leverage was 1.5 times. This is an improvement of 1.1 times versus the year ago period and 0.1 times sequentially. On the strength of our balance sheet business model, improved governance and resolution of all material weaknesses, in March, we received a credit rating upgrade from S&P to B+ from B, with a positive outlook. And in April, Moody’s upgraded our credit rating to Ba3 from B1 and revised their outlook to positive. The combination of strong liquidity, continued cash generation and balance sheet strength puts us in a position to pursue M&A targets, execute against our $100 million repurchase program and address our long-term debt. During the first quarter, we repurchased 1.02 million shares for $15.3 million, including commissions and excise taxes, and subsequent to the quarter, we made both a voluntary prepayment of $21.9 million and repriced our first-lien term loan, which reduced our interest rate by 50 basis points, from SOFR+300+CSA to SOFR+250.

Now moving to our 2024 guidance. Based on first quarter results and the visibility we have into our end markets, we are reiterating our guidance for revenues and adjusted EBITDA. Specifically, we continue to expect revenue to be in the range of $1.092 billion to $1.125 billion, representing organic growth of 4% at the midpoint versus 2023. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $286 million to $310 million. At the midpoint, this represents a 4.3% increase versus prior year and reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin at the midpoint of 26.9%. We expect total self-storage to continue to grow throughout the year. In commercial and other, we expect a return to growth in the back half of the year. In our international segment, we expect the back half of the year to be stronger than the front half, as market conditions normalize and we ramp up our operations at our new Poland facility.

We mentioned in our last call that we expect a return to normal seasonality in 2024, where the second quarter and third quarter comprise a larger portion of revenues compared to the first quarter and fourth quarter, and that remains the case. Thank you. I will now turn the call over to Ramey for his closing remarks. Ramey?

Ramey Jackson: Thank you again, Anselm. The hard work we have done and the momentum we have built are paying off, as we had a solid start to the year while also executing capital allocation on multiple fronts. Our long-term objectives remain intact and based on the reiterated guidance Anselm just laid out, we expect 2024 to feature another year of strong performance. We are the industry leader in self-storage solutions, with differentiated offerings, ever-improving capabilities to help our customers address the undersupply of self-storage capacity prevalent today. Those best-in-class offerings have allowed us to deliver strong, organic and acquired topline growth, improved EBITDA margins, and outstanding cash generation. We continue to have the expertise and dry powder on our balance sheet to pursue and execute accretive shareholder value-enhancing opportunities.

I look forward to continuing our positive momentum in 2024 and beyond, as we intend to drive long-term value creation for all of our stakeholders. Thank you again for joining us. Operator, we can now open up the lines for Q&A, please.

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Q&A Session

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Jeff Hammond with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed.

Jeff Hammond: Hey. Good morning, guys.

Ramey Jackson: Hey, Jeff. How are you?

Anselm Wong: Hey, Jeff.

Jeff Hammond: Yeah. I just want to hit on kind of how you’re seeing the backlog and pipeline. Clearly, new construction was really strong. Wondering if that drew down backlog or if there was any pull-forward there?

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. Great question. Nothing’s changed there. When you talk about new construction, self-storage, backlog, pipeline remains strong, backlog remains strong and we’re very optimistic.

Jeff Hammond: Okay. Great. And then commercial, I’m just wondering, is this kind of lingering, that the shed and carport piece of the business comping tough comps or is there something more meaningful going on? And just maybe how to think about within the 4% midpoint revenue growth guide, what you’re thinking for commercial on a full year basis?

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. I’ll let Anselm talk about the guide. But look, I think, it’s a continuation of the segment around carports and sheds. As you know, we do not have the visibility into the commercial kind of channel because of our go-to-market strategy. But we do feel like there’s a softness in general in that sector in addition to those segment lines. But Anselm, you want to talk about modeling.

Anselm Wong: Yeah. I think that the visibility is still not there, Jeff. And I think the way I look at it from the guide point of view is that, you’ve seen that the strength of the self-storage and stability there. If we still see some softness there, I think there would be enough storage strength to kind of offset that piece, as you say, in Q1. But right now, it’s still uncertain there because their visibility is low there. But I would see, if I break down the details below, like Ramey said, upward shed still seems a bit softer, but the rolling steel and the other parts seem to be holding there. So it’s just a matter of getting through that piece.

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. And just last thing for me, we’re still bullish in that segment. We’re going to continue to execute our plan. We’ve got a great plan to continue to grow and be in the right spot when there is a uptick in that macro. You — we talked about some of the initiatives about geographic expansion and then also product enhancement. So we’re — I feel like we’re in a good spot and we’ll continue to be — continue to build that line out.

Jeff Hammond: And then maybe just speak, last one, speak to our three dynamics. I know, I think, you were saying kind of conversions have kind of abated a little bit, but you have certainly the consolidation dynamic that’s playing through. Just what do you see in there?

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. I think if you look at our three, Jeff, I think, we’re still seeing that, there’s not many opportunities for the conversions, but no different than the prior quarters that we’ve been talking and that’s why you see the strength of the new construction is that, we still have to meet the demand there. I think in terms of the consolidations, that we’re starting to see slowly some of the orders coming from that. Again, we had mentioned that there was a little slowness in terms of that starting because of some of the integration issues that some of our customers are just working through that we’re helping them with. So it’s more just timing that we’re seeing still there, but I think we’re starting to see some of those orders trickle in now.

Jeff Hammond: Great. I’ll pass it on.

Ramey Jackson: Thanks, Jeff.

Operator: Our next question is from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Please proceed.

Daniel Moore: Yeah. Thank you. Good morning, Ramey. Good morning, Anselm. Thanks for taking the questions. I know…

Ramey Jackson: Good morning, Dan.

Daniel Moore: … obviously, as you tend to think about new construction and R3 work interchangeably within self-storage. That said, 40% growth jumps off the table in terms of new construction. So just talk about where that growth is coming from. Are there specific geographies that are expanding faster and do we expect new construction to continue to outpace R3 for the remainder of the year? Thanks.

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. Great question. I’m glad you brought that up. I mean, as you know, we’re agnostic in terms of how our customers add supply. But it’s a continuation of some of those secondary tertiary markets that remain robust. Obviously, the new construction topic over a year and a half has been, in terms of third-party data, it’s totally different than what we’ve been printing. So I understand the concern. But from our visibility and listening to our customers, there’s a lot of markets that are still under supply and that’s where you’re seeing our growth. And notwithstanding elevated construction cost and, obviously, cost of capital, self-storage is a long-term business. And so what’s happening today is the end market’s still strong in certain areas and they’re investing in the long-term, future of the asset. So, again, just a continuation of the markets that are under supply that kind of go under the radar.

Daniel Moore: Helps. And on the margin front, obviously, remain impressive in light of kind of a mixed macro environment and appreciate all the color on the geographic and product mix and how that plays in. Just how should we think about the cadence of margins as we look to Q2 versus Q1? I know Q2 and Q3 seasonally a little bit stronger, and as well as kind of the cadence for the remainder of the year. Within the confines of that, 27%-ish guide at the midpoint? Thank you.

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. Yeah. No. Dan, that’s how to think about it. Like you said, we always have to step up in Q2, because our volume’s larger in Q2 and Q3, so we get the benefit there. I think, one of the things we always talk about is that we’re always looking at opportunities for productivity as well. So, our factories are always looking for opportunities. Our Poland factory in Europe is just finally getting up to speed with the last piece of equipment that’s installed there. So, I think, we’re still bullish in terms of looking at margin improvement for the business.

Daniel Moore: Got it. And then, just in terms of capital allocation, obviously, well below your leverage targets and buying back stock with a lot of capacity left, just you are — talk about the pipeline and maybe kind of level of dialogues around M&A, how that’s — the bid-ask spread and whether you’re seeing more opportunity that could come to fruition in the next 12 months, 18 months?

Anselm Wong: Yeah. It’s still a lot of opportunities out there. I think we’re excited about all the different areas that we’re looking for from an M&A point of view. I think — I don’t think much has changed in terms of what the opportunity is out there. There is opportunities. I think there’s just a balance of ones that are priced reasonably for an acquisition versus some that are still asking for a higher multiple. But I think there’s still, a lot of opportunities that we’re seeing in all the different areas that we’re looking for there. And then, I think, just in general from a capital allocation, you’re right, we just — we’re doing great in terms of generating the cash and just gives us the flexibility to be opportunistic when we need to be.

Daniel Moore: All right. We’ll jump back if any follow-ups. Thank you again.

Ramey Jackson: Thanks, Dan.

Anselm Wong: Thanks, Dan.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our next question is from John Lovallo with UBS. Please proceed.

Matt Johnson: Hey. Good morning, guys. This is actually Matt Johnson on for John. I appreciate you taking my questions. I know you guys kind of touched on this already. Just to put a finer point on it, I think at the midpoint of your full year outlook, you have sales of 4%. How are you guys thinking about new construction versus R3 versus commercial on a full year basis within that?

Anselm Wong: Yeah. I think that’s why we kind of started showing the storage together. I think, again, we’re agnostic between how it goes in either one. At least from a high-low right now, what we see in the media thing is new construction is going to stay fairly strong from what we can tell from the backlog. And then, I think, from an R3 point of view, it’s really still that leveling off of the conversion opportunities out there and we’re still hopeful that that’ll come back in terms of opportunity there. But again, overall, we just feel that there’s still that strength and stability in that storage piece.

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. And just on the conversion piece, and I think, we’re on record saying this, it’s more about normalization than it is anything else. Because of the pandemic created permitting issues and occupancy rates in the high 90s, mid to high 90s, I mean, capacity needed to come online as quickly as possible and that was just the quickest way operators could bring capacity online. But in terms of what we’re seeing, it’s really just coming back to normalization and so, we feel good about it, just not at those kind of pandemic levels.

Matt Johnson: Got it. Thanks for that. And then, just if I could touch on input costs a little bit, I think steel prices are down pretty meaningfully year-to-date. So, just how are you guys thinking about the dynamics between price costs through the rest of this year?

Anselm Wong: Yeah. Steel’s actually been falling. It’s down from the beginning, but it’s more stabilized in terms of kind of looking at how it’s been year-over-year. So, the good thing about it is that it’s always going to be volatile, but it’s actually a bit more stable. So, I think that just creates a better environment where there’s not a lot of price that we have to do, because any time you have to do price, it’s not that we won’t do it, we have the ability to do it, but it’s always a tougher one to bring through there. So, I think, if it holds in kind of the air where it is right now, I think, it’ll be a bit more stable market for us from that point of view.

Matt Johnson: Got it. Thank you.

Ramey Jackson: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question is from Brad Hewitt with Wolfe Research. Please proceed.

Brad Hewitt: Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions.

Anselm Wong: Good morning, Brad.

Ramey Jackson: Hi, Brad.

Brad Hewitt: So, curious to hear what you guys are seeing from a backlog perspective. Maybe how has that trended recently, and how far does your visibility extend this year, particularly on new construction? I think some of the public REITs have kind of topped down on the new development side of things, but just curious what you’re seeing from a backlog and pipeline perspective?

Anselm Wong: Sure. Yeah. No. Like Ramey said earlier, the backlog is still holding there and I think what we’re seeing is that the tertiary markets is where a lot of the build is. And if you look at a lot of the, I would say, the mom and pop segment are the ones that are building in those areas and that’s where we’re seeing strength there that it’s still opportunity. And it is a long cycle business. It’s not something that these guys look at and say, hey, just right here and let’s stop now. I think they’re looking for the long-term and just recent new orders in the pipeline that we’ve been looking at are just a reflection of that that we’re seeing. Like Ramey and I have been kind of reviewing some of those and they’re still, those operators are still looking for the long cycle and say, hey, this is a good return for us long-term.

The rates might be a bit high now, but I think they don’t just look at the current peak. So, I think that’s kind of where we’re seeing the backlog and pipeline to hold up.

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. And just to remind you, the REITs and kind of institutional, the customer base that we view as institutional represents about 30% of the market. And so, our visibility considering our market share is really reflective of the entire market in the Americas. So, we feel like that’s kind of perhaps where the disconnect is as well.

Brad Hewitt: Okay. Great. That’s helpful. And then maybe in terms of Nokē, just curious what you guys are expecting this year from a revenue perspective and how do you think about the timing of the potential acceleration there on the topline? R Yeah. Look, I couldn’t be more proud of that team. We get 300,000 connected devices and we continue to innovate. We’re listening to our customers. The latest release around Ion, super proud, very optimistic. It gives us more flexibility on pricing. It gives us more flexibility on the offering in terms of what our customers actually need. And so, yeah, we’re very optimistic. We’ve got great feedback. We continue to refine. We continue to get better on stability. We continue just honestly to innovate there.

So, super bullish in terms of an inflection point. I can’t really predict that, but we’re doing all the right things in terms of customer engagement and just refining the offering to set it up to really accelerate adoption. Anselm, do you get anything else.

Anselm Wong: Yeah. And we don’t — as you know, Brad, we don’t disclose the Nokē piece of it, but I think what Ramey said is we’re bullish on terms of the opportunity with the new product. We’re in the middle of beta testing that product, and hopefully, we’ll have launch later in the year for that product because it just brings a lot of more optionality to our customers and a more stable product just because it is a hardwired versus a battery powered product.

Brad Hewitt: Great. Thanks, guys.

Ramey Jackson: Thanks, Brad.

Anselm Wong: Thanks, Brad.

Operator: Our next question is a follow-up from Daniel Moore with CJS. Please proceed.

Daniel Moore: Thank you again. Yeah. We couldn’t let the call go without a Nokē question, so since that was covered, I’ll go one step deeper. Just obviously, the Ion lower cost from an entry-level perspective, any differential in terms of the recurring revenue potential versus Nokē ONE and what are your expectations for uptake? I know it’s early, but do you think this could be as big or bigger or faster growth relative to Nokē ONE as we move forward? Just trying to get a sense for how you think about the relative opportunities there? Thanks.

Anselm Wong: Yeah. It opens up a lot of optionality. So, at this point in time, the recurring is still the same that either one, Nokē ONE versus Nokē Ion, but what the Ion allows for is just a bit of optionality because a lot of the feature set on the Nokē ONE are optional on the Nokē Ion, which makes it a bit more optionally, it blinds a different segment because some of our customers might not want all the features. So, this allows them to get the base features and add on as they please and what it also offers is even if they install the base model, they can actually add the different features after the fact, which is what we like about building this new product for our customers.

Daniel Moore: All right. Thank you again.

Ramey Jackson: Thanks, Dan.

Operator: We have reached the end of our Q&A session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Ramey for closing remarks.

Ramey Jackson: Yeah. Thank you everyone for joining us today. We’d like to remind you of our Annual Meeting of Shareholders coming up on June 24th. We encourage you to vote your shares and look forward to your feedback. We appreciate your support of Janus International and look forward to updating you on our progress again in the future. Have a great day.

Operator: Thank you. This will conclude today’s conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.