We recently published a list of 10 Best Canadian ETFs to Buy. In this article, we are going to take a look at where iShares S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index ETF (TSX:XMA.TO) stands against other best Canadian ETFs to buy.
The State of the Canadian Stock Market
After a slow start in 2024, the Canadian stock market saw a strong third quarter, fueled by domestic rate cuts and a recovery in global markets. Year-over-year headline inflation has cooled to align with the Bank of Canada’s target rate of 2%. As a result, policymakers have implemented four consecutive rate cuts, with an additional 50 basis point reduction anticipated in December. With the central bank expected to keep cutting interest rates to support the economy, stock market strategists are cautiously optimistic that the rally will continue. In this context, Brent Joyce, chief investment strategist at BMO, shared the following:
“The environment is very attractive for equities. It’s been this trifecta of better global growth, interest-rate-sensitive companies themselves, and the interest rate sensitivity of dividends. These were headwinds for the two years that rates were going up, [but they] have flipped into tailwinds for the Canadian stock market now that rates are falling.”
While most stocks are influenced by global factors, many companies on the Toronto Stock Exchange are also cyclically driven, meaning their performance is closely tied to the economy and the business cycle. Given the strong connection between the US and Canadian economies, stable growth in the US has provided a boost to Canadian equities. On that front, Tim Hayes, chief global investment strategist at Ned Davis Research, advises clients to allocate 5% of their equity portfolio to Canadian stocks, making it the second-largest weighting after the 69% recommended for US stocks. The S&P/TSX Composite Index is on track to have its best year since 2009, having set new records 42 times this year and risen 21.09% year-to-date, closely following the S&P 500’s 27.58% gain. Hayes highlighted the broad rally and noted that the market is largely driven by energy and financial stocks, which offer the highest trailing and forward earnings yields, contrasting with the tech sector’s lower yields.
On the other hand, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump rattled the markets earlier in November with a proposal to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, aimed at addressing drug trafficking and border issues, along with a 10% tariff on imports from China. This decision had an immediate impact on Canada’s energy sector, which experienced a 2.2% decline amid concerns that rising US crude production would meet domestic demand. At the same time, the Canadian dollar dropped to its lowest level against the US dollar since May 2020, sparking worries about potential inflationary pressures on imports.
Canadian ETFs: Strong Performers in 2024
While the future remains uncertain, the Canadian ETF industry, which began with the world’s first ETF launched in Canada in 1990, has shown notable resilience over the past 30+ years, and continued growth is expected in the years to come. Despite the market volatility this year, Canadian ETFs have managed to navigate the challenges effectively and are well-positioned for another strong year. With only a couple of weeks remaining in the year, the industry is on track to surpass the previous annual record of $58 billion set in 2021. Moreover, following recent data from IFIC showing Canadian ETF sales reached their third-best month ever in October, a new report from research firm ETFGI highlights additional gains in November, along with impressive year-to-date figures. The firm reported net inflows of US$7.5 billion in November, slightly down from the C$8.2 billion reported in IFIC’s October report, but still a strong performance that contributes to the 29th consecutive month of net inflows.
Our Methodology
We have selected the top Canadian ETFs to buy and hold based on their 5-year performance as of December 10, listed in ascending order for clarity. Additionally, we’ve highlighted the top holdings of each ETF to provide valuable insights for potential investors.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Stocks
iShares S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index ETF (TSX:XMA.TO)
5-year Share Price Performance as of December 9, 2024: 57.66%
The iShares S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index ETF (TSX:XMA.TO) seeks to replicate the performance of the S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index, which focuses on Canadian materials stocks. Year-to-date, the ETF has delivered returns of 29.37%. It also distributes quarterly dividends with a yield of 0.97%.
Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE:NTR), a leading Canadian agriculture and fertilizer company and one of the world’s largest producers of potash and nitrogen fertilizers, is ranked among the top 10 largest holdings of the ETF. On December 4, BMO Capital Markets reaffirmed its Outperform rating for Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE:NTR) and maintained a $70 price target. This decision followed a strategic update from Nutrien’s leadership, outlining the company’s plans through 2025 and 2026. BMO highlighted Nutrien’s commitment to maintaining substantial potash capacity, a market that has shown steady recovery with increasing demand over the past two years. The company’s strategy positions it to capitalize on market growth while prioritizing operational efficiency and profitability.
In its Q3 2024 earnings report, Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE:NTR) showcased significant achievements despite challenges. While lower benchmark potash prices and reduced nitrogen adjusted EBITDA impacted results, the company reported higher upstream sales volumes and adjusted EBITDA for the first nine months of 2024. also announced plans to achieve $200 million in annual operational efficiencies by 2025. For the quarter, adjusted EBITDA totaled $4.3 billion, with retail adjusted EBITDA increasing 10% year-over-year.
Overall, XMA ranks 4th on our list of best Canadian ETFs to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of XMA, our conviction lies in the belief that certain AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than XMA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
