We recently published a list of 10 Best Performing Utilities Stocks So Far in 2025. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) stands against other utilities stocks.
The utility investors have had a strong 2024. Morningstar reported that utilities rose by 27%, including dividends, marking its best performance since 2000. The 2024 rally mitigated the 2023 woes, resulting in the fair valuation of utilities. Notably, the valuations fully showcase the AI-related energy demand growth potential. Even though utilities have outperformed the market in 2 of the last 3 years, the sector’s 7% average return since 2021 remains in line with the sector’s 40-year average.
Growth Drivers for Utilities in 2025
As per Fidelity, America is at an inflection in power demand, with a favourable outlook for utilities. The electrification and the growth of AI continue to act as tailwinds for exponential growth in the sector. The technology of AI has been acting as a significant boost to predicted energy demand over the upcoming decade. AI needs significant computational power, storage space, and low-latency networking for training and running models. Such applications are generally hosted in data centers. With AI becoming more common, the energy demands from data centers are expected to grow exponentially, which can translate to increased earnings growth for utilities.
As a result of such trends, the energy demand is expected to grow more than 38% over the upcoming 2 decades, believes Fidelity. Regulated utilities are required to build new power plants in a bid to satisfy this demand surge. With reserve margins tightening, power prices for existing energy are also expected to increase. Therefore, the investment firm believes that the transition of power fleet to electrification and the growth of AI are durable trends, which are expected to support utilities for years to come.
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Investing in Utilities
Morningstar believes that income-focused investors have favored utilities because of their stable cash flows and high dividend payout ratios. The firm believes that utilities are a defensive play for investors during economic downturns, providing steady returns even during the volatile market. Furthermore, utilities’ focus on sustainable energy investments and grid modernization results in creating opportunities for long-term growth, further strengthening their appeal as income-generating assets.
Utility companies that effectively steer through regulatory landscapes, make investments in infrastructure, and embrace innovation are expected to sustain their competitive advantages. Numerous factors are expected to drive renewed growth in electricity demand, including the proliferation of EVs, and the surge of data centers driven by advancements in AI. As per Morningstar, such factors reflect strong opportunities for utilities to expand services and infrastructure to cater to dynamic electricity needs.
Our Methodology
To list the 10 Best Performing Utilities Stocks So Far in 2025, we used a screener to shortlist the stocks catering to the utility sector. Next, we chose the stocks that have increased the most on a YTD basis. Finally, the stocks were ranked in ascending order of their YTD performance, as of February 19. We also mentioned hedge fund sentiments around each stock, as of Q4 2024.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Solar panel workers installing a new farm for clean energy generation.
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST)
% Gain on a YTD Basis: 13.1%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 120
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. Evercore ISI resumed coverage of the company’s stock with an “Outperform” rating and a price target of $202. The firm expects Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) to build on its 2024 momentum, with expected EBITDA and cash flow upside fueled by increased power curves and a possible large customer load power supply contract. Elsewhere, BMO Capital upped the company’s price target to $191 from $151, keeping an “Outperform” rating.
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST)’s integrated model, combining retail and generation with strong commercial acumen, has been delivering results for many stakeholders. Furthermore, the company continues to make progress on its plans to develop up to 2,000 MW of gas-fueled generation capacity. Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) has been growing its fleet of zero-carbon resources, advancing its interests via cost-effective and strategic investments.
Overall, Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) remains well-placed to reap the benefits from the growth of the broader utility sector because of its focus on a diverse power generation fleet, exposure to retail electricity markets, and expansion into storage and renewables. Meridian Funds, managed by ArrowMark Partners, released its Q3 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:
“Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company, primarily serving Texas and the Midwest. We own Vistra because we expect power markets to continue tightening as baseload supply declines, coupled with rising demand from data centers, electric vehicles, and manufacturing reshoring. These factors create a favorable pricing environment for Vistra’s generation fleet, especially its nuclear and gas assets. The stock performed well during the period for three key reasons: tightening energy markets and strengthened pricing in forward-year energy contracts, the continuation of Vistra’s aggressive share repurchase program, and the company’s announced plan to acquire the remaining interest in Vistra Vision at an attractive valuation. Additionally, the company reaffirmed its 2024 guidance, indicating that results are trending toward the upper end of the previously projected range. We took advantage of the stock’s strength this quarter to trim our position.”
Overall, VST ranks 10th on our list of the best performing utilities stocks so far in 2025. While we acknowledge the potential of VST as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than VST but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
