We recently published a list of Kevin O’Leary’s Stock Portfolio: 15 Stock Picks for 2025. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) stands against other Kevin O’Leary’s stock picks for 2025.
Television personality, financier, and entrepreneur, Kevin O’Leary, also known as ‘Mr. Wonderful’ is recognized mostly as one of the panelists on the reality shows Shark Tank and Dragon’s Den. In 1986, the Irish-Canadian began his business career by launching the educational software company Softkey with $10,000 from his mother’s investment and leveraging the proceeds from the sale of his SET share.
When it comes to stock investing, Mr. Wonderful seeks names that meet three criteria: They must be quality companies that boast consistently strong financial performance and a solid balance sheet. Second, he believes that a stock portfolio must be diverse across multiple market sectors. Most importantly, however, he demands income, stressing that the companies he invests in should be ones that pay dividends to shareholders. The ALPS O’Shares U.S. Quality Dividend ETF, an ETF offered by O’Shares Investment Advisors, aims to encompass O’Leary’s strategies by holding stocks that combine all three of these characteristics. Since its launch, the ETF has returned 115.18% to shareholders. While high-risk, high-reward investments like those on Shark Tank or volatile assets like Bitcoin can be thrilling, O’Leary believes that a focus on consistent, dependable income should be the basis of a sound portfolio. The venture capitalist summed up this view in a LinkedIn post:
“OUSA is part of the S&P 500, cherry-picking the highest quality balance sheets with positive cash flow from around 100 out of the 500 names. Then there’s OUSM, which grabs the Russell 2000 and weeds out the underperformers – those companies not making any real dough. Forget Shark Tank, forget Bitcoin. Sure, I’ve got a 5% stake in Bitcoin and another 5% in gold, but the meat of my US portfolio? It’s in OUSA or OUSM.”
The Race for TikTok
Former president Joe Biden recently signed a bipartisan bill that deemed TikTok a national security threat and required Bytedance, the platform’s Chinese parent company, to either sell or divest from the platform completely in order for the social media platform to remain available in the United States. During a recent appearance on Fox News’ “America’s Newsroom”, Kevin O’Leary claimed to have made an offer of $20 billion in cash to TikTok’s owners to purchase the platform, saying “Right now, $20 billion is on the table, cash, cash, $20 billion.” However, he added that the federal government wasn’t able to verify whether the data of American account holders was actually being shared with Chinese leaders. That said, he believes the risk wasn’t worth it. Moreover, in light of the dwindling timeframe, he said that companies are weighing the risks of maintaining the app’s availability in the U.S., while keeping in mind the potential penalties for any provider who permits access beyond the cutoff date.
“As of midnight on the 19, any service provider … that could be an Apple, that could be an Oracle, it could be a video compression technology company that’s being paid as a consulting service, any of them that keep this thing alive is subject to $5,000 a day fine times 170 million. That’s over a billion dollars a day.”
Our Methodology
O’Leary typically favors equities of well-established, financially stable companies with strong balance sheets and a history of consistent dividend growth. The following holdings are the top 15 from the ALPS O’Shares U.S. Quality Dividend ETF (BATS:OUSA). For these stocks, we have also provided the hedge fund sentiment, as of Q3 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
A close-up of a modern payments terminal with a pile of credit cards on the side.
Visa Inc. (NYSE:V)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 165
Visa Inc. (NYSE:V), a global leader in digital payments, connects 4 billion account holders to over 130 million merchants and 14,500 financial institutions in over 200 markets. Holding 52% of the U.S. credit card market, Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) is the dominant player in the US payments industry and a key facilitator of the global economy.
Back in December 2024, Morgan Stanley analyst James Faucette raised the price target for Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) from $326 to $371 and maintained an Overweight rating on the stock, which is currently its top payments and processing pick through 2025. The firm bases its opinion on Visa’s “attractive valuation,” benefits in travel and value-added services, reduced regulatory scrutiny, and favorable tactical trading dynamics.
The company’s fiscal year 2024 ended with decent financial results, including net revenue of $9.6 billion, up 12% from the previous year, and earnings per share rising 16% to $2.71 in the fourth quarter. By acquiring Prosa and Featurespace in 2025, Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) hopes to strengthen its operational framework and enhance its fraud prevention capabilities.
Mar Vista Global Strategy stated the following regarding Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:
“After lagging the broader markets over the last one, three, and five years, we believe Visa Inc.’s (NYSE:V) stock now reflects a more conservative and realistic expectation for future cash flow growth. The electronic transaction toll-taker has long enjoyed a highly defensible network effect that connects global buyers and sellers and scale advantages that keep upstart competitors from disrupting the industry’s economics. At the same time, Visa directly benefits from the secular trend of replacing cash with e-payments. Penetration rates and transaction volumes in developed markets will inevitably slow over the next five years yet we expect Visa revenues to grow 8-10% over our investment horizon. Key value drivers remain global consumer spending growth, e-transaction penetration, “new flows” expansion in areas like business-to-business transactions, and lastly, value-added client service growth.
Visa’s dominant position is reflected in its nearly pristine financials: 68% operating margins, greater than 70% incremental operating margins and only 3-4% capital expenditures as a percent of sales. Awash in excess capital, Visa is one of the more aggressive purchasers of its own stock. Shares outstanding over the last fifteen years have declined by one-third and we expect the company to continue to repurchase 2-3% of shares outstanding annually. Since the 2016 acquisition of Visa Europe, total returns on capital have expanded from 25% to 50% and we expect the metric to approach 100% over the next five years as net operating profits expand roughly 60% on a flat capital base. Overall, Visa should compound per share intrinsic value at 10-13% over the next five years.”
Overall, V ranks 1st on our list of Kevin O’Leary’s stock picks for 2025. While we acknowledge the potential of V, our conviction lies in the belief that certain AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than V but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
