We recently published a list of 13 Most Profitable Real Estate Stocks Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI) stands against the other most profitable real estate stocks now.
Real Estate and the Aftermath of the Fed Rate Cut
As reported by Redfin, buying a home has gotten affordable for the first time since 2020 as homebuyers need to earn $115,000 to afford the typical home. While Senior Economist Elijah de la Campa thinks this could be a good time to buy a home with housing affordability improving for the first time in four years, he thinks the market won’t be cheaper in the near future. This is because the Fed’s recent rate cut and the following rate cut plans have already been priced into the mortgage rates since they were highly anticipated.
Another optimistic news for homebuyers on the sidelines was the housing payments witnessing the biggest decline in 4 years ahead of the Fed’s historic rate cut. These payments have gone down by almost $300 from April’s all-time high. The median housing payment was reported to be $2,534 during the four weeks ending September 15, down 2.7% year-over-year. With lower mortgage rates and less inventory, the housing market is still unaffordable for many but it is as good as it gets in the words of Orphe Divounguy, Zillow’s senior economist.
Regarding the aforementioned optimism for homebuyers, Robert Reffkin, Compass founder and CEO, stated that homebuyers are much more active than they were before. In his opinion, consumers react more to the change in mortgage rates rather than the absolute rate itself. He told CNBC that buyers now know not to take a relatively lower rate for granted after being through a period of elevated mortgage rates. Meanwhile, the major issue has been the lock-in effect during the preceding 2 years since 75% of the homeowners were locked into 4% mortgage rates or below, a percentage which is now approaching 50%. With declining mortgage rates, he expects the lock-in effect to drop and the housing inventory to grow.
With the declining mortgage rates, refinancings have surged. Mortgage applications hit the highest levels since July 2022 as the rates dropped. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, applications to refinance or purchase a home in the week that ended September 20 increased 11% week-over-week while the refinancing applications climbed 20% during the period. This marks the 2nd consecutive week of double-digit gains in applications. Overall, the refinance activity is still modest with seasonally slow homebuying complemented with high home prices and a shortage of inventory.
Our Methodology:
In order to compile a list of the 13 most profitable real estate stocks, we created an initial list of 30 companies with the biggest market caps. Moving on, we screened out those companies that had a positive net income in the last twelve months and had grown their net income positively over the past 5 years. For the 5-year net income growth, we have considered the compound annual growth rates on a TTM basis. Finally, we ranked the shortlisted companies in ascending order of their hedge funds, as of Q2 2024.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A business executive in a sharp suit shaking hands on a real estate deal.
VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 33
5 Year Net Income Growth: 35.58%
VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI) owns one of the largest high-quality portfolios of market-leading gaming, hospitality, and entertainment destinations. The company owns 93 experiential assets across a diverse portfolio which comprises 54 gaming properties 39 other experiential properties, and four championship golf courses positioned across the US and Canada.
VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI) serves as one of the largest triple net lease REITs which reflects its significant scale. The company has also shown a track record of growth and tenant diversification. As compared to traditional net-lease REITS, the firm’s assets have high barriers to entry and high financial transparency. The REIT has also diversified itself with other revenue streams by being the largest owner of hotel room real estate and privately owned meeting, convention, and event space in America.
During the second quarter, the REIT recorded a 6.6% year-over-year revenue growth. Net income rose 7.3% to $741.3 million while AFFO attributable to common stockholders increased 9.6%, year-over-year. Simultaneously, the company announced up to $700 million in investment through VICI’s Partner Property Growth Fund strategy to fund extensive reinvestment projects at The Venetian Resort Las Vegas. With the increasing share of consumer discretionary income spent on experiences, the experiential real estate industry presents the firm with favorable secular trends.
A sustainable growth pattern with quality tenants in durable sectors across attractive geographies deems VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI) as a top experiential real estate firm. As of Q2, the stock is held by 33 hedge funds.
Overall VICI ranks 8th on our list of most profitable real estate stocks now. While we acknowledge the potential of VICI as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than VICI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.